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My coin-flip diary

Poker_FailPoker_Fail
edited December 2011 in Poker Chat
Lol this will be a very interesting thread Fail.


Fingers crossed you start running well and prove yourself wrong, and make some money in the process.

Hopefully you can show all these area 51ers that ya do win coin flips about 50% of the time.
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited December 2011
    I have been playing poker for about 7 months and seem to lose a rediculous percentage of the flips I take. I do NOT think the site is fixed, I just believe I have horrible luck.

    So for the next few weeks I am going to record how many flips (All in preflop obv) I win and how many I lose.

    Although I have lost the last 5 in a row :/ I will not include them in this thread as that would skew the data.

    They will mainly come from DYMs where in the late stages they are often unavoidable, and I will post them at the end of each session.
     
    I am hoping this thread will show me that I'm not as unlucky as I believe : )


    Current Stats (Updated after each session):       Flips taken:8        Flips lost:6
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited November 2011
    That's the plan Lamby : ) I "Believe" I have horrible luck and really hope I can prove myself wrong, would make dealing with run-bad a lot easier!
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  • debdobs_67debdobs_67
    edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    Lol this will be a very interesting thread Fail. Fingers crossed you start running well and prove yourself wrong, and make some money in the process. Hopefully you can show all these area 51ers that ya do win coin flips about 0. 50% of the time.
    Posted by Lambert180
    FYP ;)
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  • Dudeskin8Dudeskin8
    edited November 2011
    It's possible to win coin-flips in DYM's, nobody told me this.
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited November 2011
    Played about 6 DYMs, forced into 2 flips:

    AK vs 10s Lost
    Q9 vs 2s  Lost

    Not a good start :/
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  • Lambert180Lambert180
    edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    Played about 6 DYMs, forced into 2 flips: AK vs 10s Lost Q9 vs 2s  Lost Not a good start :/
    Posted by Poker_Fail
    Good work so far Fail.

    I assume you're gonna post up the races so that we can verify they are flips lol... not like I'm saying you're an idiot or anything lol
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  • sikassikas
    edited November 2011
    lol i had an awful night last night, so jus for the crack tonight i counted my flips

    played 13 mtt's

    ...i won 1/11 flips
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    lol i had an awful night last night, so jus for the crack tonight i counted my flips played 13 mtt's ...i won 1/11 flips
    Posted by sikas
    Ouch that's nasty, esp im MTTs :/

    @Lamby, I don't see the point of posting the HHs of a bunch of flips :P
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  • IDONKCALLUIDONKCALLU
    edited December 2011
    i find if u say 111111 time m8 u actaually win try it 8 does work lol
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  • debdobs_67debdobs_67
    edited December 2011
    FLIPS ?? i do hope ya run better than me lately , ive cashed in nearly all £2.30 mtt b/h that ive played in the last week or so and last nite was no diff as my AQ was outdrawn yet again by KJ.

    Tonite was the norm , sigh ;)
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    dgl100 Small blind  1000.00 1000.00 48815.00
    debdobs_67 Big blind  2000.00 3000.00 27238.72
     Your hole cards
    • A
    • K
    		   
    Haribokid Fold     
    hooly52 Call  2000.00 5000.00 51358.17
    gjs061252 Fold     
    AceWise Fold     
    dgl100 Call  1000.00 6000.00 47815.00
    debdobs_67 All-in  27238.72 33238.72 0.00
    hooly52 Call  27238.72 60477.44 24119.45
    dgl100 Fold     
    debdobs_67 Show
    • A
    • K
    		   
    hooly52 Show
    • Q
    • J
    		   
    Flop
      
    • 6
    • 6
    • 3
    		   
    Turn
      
    • J
    		   
    River
      
    • 4
    		   
    hooly52 Win Two Pairs, Jacks and 6s 60477.44  84596.89
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited December 2011
    define a flip
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  • debdobs_67debdobs_67
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    define a flip
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    A pp that faces 2 overcards ? AK vs QJ ?

    I would say more of the 1st option
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    define a flip
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    Pocket pair vs overcards, or vice versa

    @Debs, we'll pull through eventually!
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  • The_Don90The_Don90
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : A pp that faces 2 overcards ? AK vs QJ ? I would say more of the 1st option
    Posted by debdobs_67
    AK v QJ is 60/40 therefore cannot be defined as a flip due to the fact AK will win 20% more of the time.

    Fail i know it seems pointless but would be good if you could post up your flips as then people know it defo was a flip. Im terrible for saying after a run of 5 flips lost ill say i lost 20. It gets into ur head ur gna lose ur next 15 anyways so might aswell say it pmsl.

    No saying ur going to exadurate as youve made this for the right reasons. I for one believe some flips are avoidable.
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  • splashiessplashies
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : AK v QJ is 60/40 therefore cannot be defined as a flip due to the fact AK will win 20% more of the time. Fail i know it seems pointless but would be good if you could post up your flips as then people know it defo was a flip. Im terrible for saying after a run of 5 flips lost ill say i lost 20. It gets into ur head ur gna lose ur next 15 anyways so might aswell say it pmsl. No saying ur going to exadurate as youve made this for the right reasons. I for one believe some flips are avoidable.
    Posted by The_Don90
    I actually think AK will win more of the time, if my logic is correct...

    Overtime time you'd expect AK to win 60/100 and QJ to win 40/100, so....

    60 is 50% bigger than 40..therefore AK wins 50% more of the time than QJ does.
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  • The_Don90The_Don90
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : I actually think AK will win more of the time, if my logic is correct... Overtime time you'd expect AK to win 60/100 and QJ to win 40/100, so.... 60 is 50% bigger than 40..therefore AK wins 50% more of the time than QJ does.
    Posted by splashies
    i dont do maths anymore lol can you tell. Easy mistake to make i think. lol

    *back to school* ☺
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  • splashiessplashies
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : i dont do maths anymore lol can you tell. Easy mistake to make i think. lol *back to school* ☺
    Posted by The_Don90
    Lol i wasn't trying to pick up on a mistake m8. It just got me thinking about how more often it should win.

    Im not even sure my logic is correct.
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : Lol i wasn't trying to pick up on a mistake m8. It just got me thinking about how more often it should win. Im not even sure my logic is correct.
    Posted by splashies
    You're right, AK will win ~50% more of the time than QJ

    @Don the reason I am not going to post HHs is because even that would not be proof as I could easily post up less winning flips and this thread is mainly for my own "Unlucky" mentalitity so I know I won't cheat myself.
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  • The_Don90The_Don90
    edited December 2011
    bone to pick 30% bigger. ;)

    We're both half right. i think
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  • splashiessplashies
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : You're right, AK will win ~50% more of the time than QJ, but i'm only counting proper flips as in  will be ~50% to win
    Posted by Poker_Fail
    Oh yeh mate, i wasnt suggesting it was a flip, was just picking up on another point in this thread.

    Back on topic..I did exactly what your doing. I recorded all my flips for 1 day in DYMS but then gave up. Firstly, there werent as many flips as i thought there would be actually. You only had 2 in 6 games.

    Secondly, it wasnt losing a flip that bothered me (as long as i got it in 1st). It was overpairs losing to underpairs that gave me the biggest kick in the balls :(

    gl and run well :)
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  • ZedsDeadBaZedsDeadBa
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : I actually think AK will win more of the time, if my logic is correct... Overtime time you'd expect AK to win 60/100 and QJ to win 40/100, so.... 60 is 50% bigger than 40..therefore AK wins 50% more of the time than QJ does.
    Posted by splashies
    Or is it 33.3r% bigger ???????

    I dunno,

    :O{
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : Oh yeh mate, i wasnt suggesting it was a flip, was just picking up on another point in this thread. Back on topic..I did exactly what your doing. I recorded all my flips for 1 day in DYMS but then gave up. Firstly, there werent as many flips as i thought there would be actually. You only had 2 in 6 games. Secondly, it wasnt losing a flip that bothered me (as long as i got it in 1st). It was overpairs losing to underpairs that gave me the biggest kick in the balls :( gl and run well :)
    Posted by splashies
    Yeh, I have a habit of reading threads backwards and saw his comment after, I edited it once I saw my stupidity :)

    eh underpairs sucking out is horrible esp when it's a straight or lfush they hit imo.

    I'm also playing a few MTTS and satellites which have a lot of flips in them though

    Ty gl at the tables too, i'll be playin more £11 DYMs soon
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited December 2011
    Had some Run-good in a £3.30 BH, 2 flips taken, 2 won. So far it's even : )
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  • 68Trebor68Trebor
    edited December 2011
     Really do think this is a bit of a pointless thread.
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  • IDONKCALLUIDONKCALLU
    edited December 2011
    I NEED TO LOSE ON THE 10 PER CENT HITS AND WIN MORE ON THE FLIPS LOL :)POKER FUNNY GAME
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited December 2011
    Have had 3 more flips since earlier, one in a DYM, AKsuited vs 99

    2 in a £5.50 velocity 22 vs A7 and A3suited vs 22

    Lost all 3
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  • Lambert180Lambert180
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : Ouch that's nasty, esp im MTTs :/@Lamby, I don't see the point of posting the HHs of a bunch of flips :P
    Posted by Poker_Fail
    Fail I dont expect you to post the actual HHs cos there will be tons especially if you run as bad as you say lol... I just meant what you done for the first two so like

    77 v  AJ (lost)
    99 v AK (lost)
    44 v AQ (win)

    and so on.
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  • Lambert180Lambert180
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
     Really do think this is a bit of a pointless thread.
    Posted by 68Trebor
    Well yes it serves no point other than a bit of fun.

    Ultimately if Fail completed this thread til the end of time, then it will even out to 50/50 but there ya go.
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : Well yes it serves no point other than a bit of fun. Ultimately if Fail completed this thread til the end of time, then it will even out to 50/50 but there ya go.
    Posted by Lambert180
    @Trebor ^This^

    The only purpose of this thread is to hopefuly get rid of my "Unlucky" mentality by seeing the variance even out.
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  • Poker_FailPoker_Fail
    edited December 2011
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary:
    In Response to Re: My coin-flip diary : Fail I dont expect you to post the actual HHs cos there will be tons especially if you run as bad as you say lol... I just meant what you done for the first two so like 77 v  AJ (lost) 99 v AK (lost) 44 v AQ (win) and so on.
    Posted by Lambert180
    Oh yeh, i'll do that most of the time but forgot the BH ones as it lasted 2 and a 1/4 hours.



    EDIT: played a First to 5 HU sesion with IDONKCALLU, lots of 60/40s and 70/30s but only 1 flip, gg vs AQ, lost

    gg though donk wp
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