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50 nl is this a call on the river? with the overbet on river is it polarized to air or nuts thoughts

edited April 2013 in The Poker Clinic
leomelSmall blind £0.25£0.25£48.19the villainBig blind £0.50£0.75£29.53 Your hole cards1010   IDONKCALLURaise £1.50£2.25£102.24LudacrisFold    grimreap25Fold    leomelFold    the villainCall £1.00£3.25£28.53Flop  956   the villainBet £1.63£4.88£26.90IDONKCALLUCall £1.63£6.51£100.61Turn  3   the villainBet £3.26£9.77£23.64IDONKCALLUCall £3.26£13.03£97.35River  6   the villainAll-in £23.64£36.67£0.00

Comments

  • edited April 2013
    I personally think this is a call, What hand can he have pre flop JJ+ doubt it or he would be 3 betting with hands like this id be putting him on a hand like 10JDD
  • edited April 2013
    he took such a strange line i was gonna raise the flop but my hand would be kinda face up  so  played it snug 
  • edited April 2013
    Any reads on the opponent?

    I agree with you that it's polarised but I think it's more heavily weighted towards nutty hands. JTdd is definitely possible but as are 55/66/99 and even 56.

    He's probably donking out on the flop with either big draws or strong made hands 2pr+ that are vulnerable to alot of turns cards on a flop like this. The river is a dream for any of his made hands and I just don't give people credit for overbet jamming rivers with air unless I've seen some evidence that they aint playing relatively ABC and we aint got them reads.
  • edited April 2013
    gonna post on the poker clinic as i thought was a intresting hand 2nite
  • edited April 2013
  • edited April 2013
    His line is more consistent with missed draws than the nuts due to the half pot bets leading up to the river. You'd think if his plan all along was to valuetown you he wouldnt have left himself with so much to bet on the river. Its concievable that he has a 6 but i would be inclined to call.
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