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Barclays Premier League 13th - 14th April 2013
I felt I was quite unlucky last week. My biggest bet was on Fulham/Draw. I was getting ready to collect when Cisse scored deep into added time. I'm not really sure how the Chelsea game got away from me. Everything was going to plan when Sunderland took the lead, but I wasn't counting on Fernando Torres running into some form at the right time. The West Ham performance got me out of a hole though and I ended up with a small profit. Anyway, onto this week:
Arsenal play Norwich at The Emirates. I've had a look at some of the markets and I think I've carved a chunk of value. The hosts are a best price of 13/50, so we won't be touching that. Norwich are currently a best price of 13/1. I was half tempted by this as its a huge price, but Norwich have been so negative lately I'm not sure they have a goal in them. Having said that, I'd take 14/1 if I could get it. Norwich are going to park the bus and 11/2 is a huge price for a draw in any game in my opinion.
I'm having 2 points on the Draw at 11/2.
My only other bet for Saturday comes in the game at the Madejski Stadium. 7/1 for a home team to win is always tempting, but Reading are so inconsistent I can't back it. Out of the two teams Reading arguably have the most to play for; they'll be looking to give their home fans something to cheer about. Liverpool have nothing left to play for and might already be thinking about their holidays. They're not exactly in great form anyway. I think there is a little bit of value in the draw at 15/4.
I'm having 1 point on the Draw at 15/4.
I wouldn't put anyone off backing the draw in the Everton/QPR game at 19/5 if you're desperate for another bet, but I'm giving it a miss.
Arsenal play Norwich at The Emirates. I've had a look at some of the markets and I think I've carved a chunk of value. The hosts are a best price of 13/50, so we won't be touching that. Norwich are currently a best price of 13/1. I was half tempted by this as its a huge price, but Norwich have been so negative lately I'm not sure they have a goal in them. Having said that, I'd take 14/1 if I could get it. Norwich are going to park the bus and 11/2 is a huge price for a draw in any game in my opinion.
I'm having 2 points on the Draw at 11/2.
My only other bet for Saturday comes in the game at the Madejski Stadium. 7/1 for a home team to win is always tempting, but Reading are so inconsistent I can't back it. Out of the two teams Reading arguably have the most to play for; they'll be looking to give their home fans something to cheer about. Liverpool have nothing left to play for and might already be thinking about their holidays. They're not exactly in great form anyway. I think there is a little bit of value in the draw at 15/4.
I'm having 1 point on the Draw at 15/4.
I wouldn't put anyone off backing the draw in the Everton/QPR game at 19/5 if you're desperate for another bet, but I'm giving it a miss.
Comments
On Sunday Manchester United are taking a short trip South to play Stoke. Stoke have only managed to steal one point off United since gaining promotion in 2008. Despite Stoke's excellent home form, I can't see past United. I'm doing something I usually try to avoid and backing the short-priced favourite. 8/13 seems terrible for an away team, but I think there's actually quite a lot of value in it.
I'm having 5 points on Manchester United at 8/13.
I cannot see past a 2+ margin, say meybe 0-2, 0-3, so I agree with you, grab the short cert!!
PS One Tip, NEVER BACK FULHAM away from Home!! LOL!
I have NEVER seen us win at Villa, tho we could nick a draw!!
Also some teams at mo may have funny priorites, ....like, DO Liverpool want to qualify for Europa?? hmmm...
away at reading on form is banker Liverpool, but Reading may relax & play after being relegation certs now, BUT..this is what I would call their LAST Chance so, dont count them out!!
Another real difficult One, Newcastle v Sunderland, looked at One way, it's a banker home!!
...... BUT Europa league hangover & local Derby, with Sunderland scratching could be close!! If Newcastle score early tho this could easily be landslide!! Am reckoning Sunderland not to score, so somewhere between 0-0 to 4-0!! LOLOL!!!
Arsenal WILL Beat Norwich...SIMPLES!!
BE CAREFUL OUT THERE!!