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villian weak bets and i hold a weak straight could i risk a jam?

edited April 2013 in The Poker Clinic

don't know much about this villian other than he is probably another who does weak bets.
i did a rasie on the turn and he doesn't reraise so i am still unsure weather he has a weak pair or is hiding a monster.
is the raise right and then when he min raises again should i jame or is that too much of a risk.

TINTIN Sit out     
xkjaguar8 Sit out     
xSmall blind  £0.02 £0.02 £2.69
craigcu12 Big blind  £0.04 £0.06 £4.68
 Your hole cards
  • 2
  • 5
   
jodierub26 Fold     
xCall  £0.02 £0.08 £2.67
craigcu12 Check     
Flop
  
  • 10
  • 5
  • 4
   
xCheck     
craigcu12 Check     
Turn
  
  • 3
   
xBet  £0.04 £0.12 £2.63
craigcu12 Raise  £0.12 £0.24 £4.56
xCall  £0.08 £0.32 £2.55
River
  
  • A
   
xBet  £0.16 £0.48 £2.39
craigcu12 Raise  £0.64 £1.12 £3.92
xRaise  £0.96 £2.08 £1.43

Comments

  • edited April 2013
    Well its a definite shove for me. You might be splitting some of the time, but you never know with these crazies ;)

    We have the 3rd nuts here, with only 26 and 67 beating us, so I think its too tight to flat here. Whatever he shows, its worth a note. Doesnt matter if he shows 67, a set, or complete junk, whatever it is, you will know in future that he will make a tiny 3bet on the river with that type of hand.
  • edited April 2013
    i just flat the 3 bet on the river as i think we are splitting/behind way more than we are in front.

    its an limped blind v blind pot and as they say dont go broke in a limped pot and all that. the 3 bet on the river at nl4 is almost always a very strong hand. i know some will over value 2 pair or sets here, tbh i dont think the villain has a set as i think there would be more action on turn its more likely 2 pair with the A if we are in front, but its one of the few times i reign in the agression just because of the betting on the river.  it really does look like a value raise with 67 or 62 the most likely.

    if im in front after flat calling i shout at myself for being an idiot but i honestly believe its a split at best
  • edited April 2013

    the thing that got me thinking he has not got a straight was the turn. when a villian does this sort of thing is he doing it because he thinks i will fold right away putting him on a straight or do they do it because they are too scared that a flush or FH could be hit on the river?
    i see it with premium pairs preflop, sets and weak flushes all kinds of monster hands doing it.

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