What is the right play... for once and for all

smileychop

Right, this is a hand that i'm really not sure if I made the right play. its at an early stage in a £1.05 Heads Up against a sometimes tight player... I knew he had a flush draw after the flop, and knowing this, I call his all in, with my top pair, king kicker... is this the right move at this stage?

PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalances Small blind  15.00 15.00 1365.00 smileychop Big blind  30.00 45.00 1590.00   Your hole cards J K       s Raise  75.00 120.00 1290.00 smileychop Raise  180.00 300.00 1410.00 s Call  120.00 420.00 1170.00 Flop    3 J 8       smileychop Bet  180.00 600.00 1230.00 s All-in  1170.00 1770.00 0.00 smileychop Call  990.00 2760.00 240.00 s Show K 10    smileychop Show J K    Turn    A       River    A       s Win Flush to the Ace 2760.00

DOHHHHHHH

How did you know he had a flush draw?

If we know he has a flush draw, of course we should call.

jdsallstar

if you put him on a flush draw and no over cards that gives him 9 outs.

easy way to work out percentage to win a hand is outs times 4 on the flop and on the turn it's times 2.

therefore he had a 36% (9 x 4) chance of winning the hand when the money went in on the flop. so you're 64% fav.
 
when the turn gave him 3 more queens as outs for the straight plus the remaining diamonds he had 12 outs giving him a 24% (12 X 2) chance to win the hand on the river. so you were 76% fav on the turn.

That methods not exact as it's normally out by a percent or 2 but gives you a rough idea.

ps this sort of post should go in the poker clinic

smileychop

In Response to Re: What is the right play... for once and for all:

How did you know he had a flush draw? If we know he has a flush draw, of course we should call.
Posted by DOHHHHHHH

Gut feeling Dohhhhh. I just know hes got a flush draw... 

smileychop

In Response to Re: What is the right play... for once and for all:

if you put him on a flush draw and no over cards that gives him 9 outs. easy way to work out percentage to win a hand is outs times 4 on the flop and on the turn it's times 2. therefore he had a 36% (9 x 4) chance of winning the hand when the money went in on the flop. so you're 64% fav.   when the turn gave him 3 more queens as outs for the straight plus the remaining diamonds he had 12 outs giving him a 24% (12 X 2) chance to win the hand on the river. so you were 76% fav on the turn. That methods not exact as it's normally out by a percent or 2 but gives you a rough idea. ps this sort of post should go in the poker clinic
Posted by jdsallstar

Thanks JD. Thats a great way of doing the percentages, i' ll remember that.

I'll keep these sort of things for the poker clinic, going forward.

Thanks again

percival09

Are you a live player?