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20NL - Turning 99 into a bluff

edited June 2013 in The Poker Clinic
Yo!

Posted this hand in my diary last night for discussion but don't think anyone has seen it/bothered to reply so I'll stick it here.

Good time to turn my hand into a bluff or not? Pretty confident by his sizing (reducing thru the streets) that he is not strong, probably hated the turn. When he (imo) confirms the weakness on the river, is this a good spot to jam cos I think he's weak but don't wanna puke when I call and he turns over like 8To

FWIW, him iso'ing (and to 5x) was pretty standard behaviour from him and doesn't tell me much about his range pre other than it's not complete trash
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
elbows7 Small blind   £0.10 £0.10 £19.12
chipchomp Big blind   £0.20 £0.30 £4.40
  Your hole cards
  • 9
  • 9
     
godofall Call   £0.20 £0.50 £37.94
X Raise   £1.00 £1.50 £19.39
Lambert180 Call   £1.00 £2.50 £19.27
BarryQueen Fold        
elbows7 Fold        
chipchomp Call   £0.80 £3.30 £3.60
godofall Call   £0.80 £4.10 £37.14
Flop
   
  • 7
  • 10
  • 6
     
chipchomp Check        
godofall Check        
X Bet   £2.05 £6.15 £17.34
Lambert180 Call   £2.05 £8.20 £17.22
chipchomp Fold        
godofall Call   £2.05 £10.25 £35.09
Turn
   
  • A
     
godofall Check        
X Bet   £2.40 £12.65 £14.94
Lambert180 Call   £2.40 £15.05 £14.82
godofall Fold        
River
   
  • 2
     
X Bet   £3.00 £18.05 £11.94
Lambert180 All-in   £14.82 £32.87 £0.00
X Fold        
Lambert180 Muck        
Lambert180 Win   £19.99   £19.99
Lambert180 Return   £11.82 £1.06 £31.81

Comments

  • edited June 2013

    I am thinking myself that you were probably ahead of him already and he was probably attempting to bluff the river himself having missed the flush draw a gut shot with KQ.
    if he did have JJ-KK he basically has played it badly should have just check called the turn or maybe do c bet the turn then check the river.
    apart from Axs I would not be able to put you on anything else myself.
    I would have ruled out putting you on hands such as 98, two pair or a set when you decided to only call the turn as the board is quite wet.

  • edited June 2013
    Sometimes I will be ahead here and calling would be fine in them spots, but he can still have hands like random Tx, maybe JJ hands that beat me that will fold.

    I guess it's a question of whether we has better hands that fold more often than he has better hands that call...
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