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17%?

edited July 2013 in The Poker Clinic

I know people are gonna say BBV but what i am interested in is i typed this into a %age generator and it said he had 17% chance of winning, is this correct?


Thanks
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
sikasSmall blind £0.50£0.50£189.96
RickyyyyBig blind £1.00£1.50£110.95
 Your hole cards
  • Q
  • K
   
varneyRaise £4.00£5.50£154.21
sighcallCall £4.00£9.50£93.00
bonzobobFold    
sikasFold    
RickyyyyCall £3.00£12.50£107.95
Flop
  
  • 6
  • Q
  • 2
   
RickyyyyCheck    
varneyBet £7.00£19.50£147.21
sighcallCall £7.00£26.50£86.00
RickyyyyRaise £23.00£49.50£84.95
varneyFold    
sighcallAll-in £86.00£135.50£0.00
RickyyyyAll-in £84.95£220.45£0.00
RickyyyyUnmatched bet £14.95£205.50£14.95
RickyyyyShow
  • 4
  • 5
   
sighcallShow
  • Q
  • K
   
Turn
  
  • 3
   
River
  
  • 7
   
RickyyyyWinStraight to the 7£203.70 £218.65

Comments

  • edited July 2013
    It's right that he only has 17% yes. You have his FD covered, he has 2 under cards to your pair and a GS, so he needs to either hit a 4 outer, or running 44, 55, or 45, both are pretty unlikely things.
  • edited July 2013
    HI S

    Yes in fact on the flop his equity is 17.9% from pokerstove. He needs the 3 so 4 outs. He needs to catch a non diamond 3 or runner runner non diamond 4's or 5's.I supose he thinks his flush if hitting would win though i'd have thought your raise would give him a bad feeling.


  • edited July 2013
    Ouch, that is unlucky lol. Just to add insult to injury, he gets a non diamond 7 on the river for a higher straight ;) haha.
  • edited July 2013
    yeh was a bit of a slight BBV, tbh i was suprised he has as high a %age as 17.

    ah well, guess thats poker
  • edited July 2013
    yeah defo bbv but vul in the hand gutshots always hurt

    in all fairness to opponent think i play the hand the same way because he ain`t goin to be crushed like that all the time.
  • edited July 2013
    In Response to Re: 17%?:
    HI S Yes in fact on the flop his equity is 17.9% from pokerstove. He needs the 3 so 4 outs. He needs to catch a non diamond 3 or runner runner non diamond 4's or 5's.I supose he thinks his flush if hitting would win though i'd have thought your raise would give him a bad feeling.
    Posted by profman15
    3 of diamonds gives him the straight flush.
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