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100NL, deepish - Rockstar overbet river shove
Reads/Relevant history: villain started off the match as a total animal pre and has calmed down a little but is still 3b 24%. He has, however, actually played somewhat straight forward in 3b pots. I have not been defending his 3b's very often (my fold to 3b was like 69%), and he also has seen me play draws very aggressively on a number of occasions. I had never seen him sandbag a river before, but, tbf, there hasn't been a situation close enough to this to draw assumptions that he is uncapable of it. He has folded to a few of my river overbets before in spots that I thought he could call quite wide in.
Thoughts?
Hero (BTN/SB): $237.40
BB: $229.30
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN/SB with 5h 8h
Hero raises to $3, BB raises to $10, Hero calls $7
Flop: ($20.00) Tc 9s 8d (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($20.00) 5d (2 players)
BB bets $14, Hero raises to $46, BB calls $32
River: ($112.00) 9d (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $181.40 all in
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Comments
How have you got his 3-bet stats and your fold to 3-bet stats? I thought you couldn't use things like HEM on here?