odds

tiercel

The other night on Primo Mr Giddins did a calculation. One player hit a flush ( diamonds if I remember right ) on the Turn and Mr G said the odds , assuming his opponent had a diamond, of the river also being a diamond was 3 - 1 . But surely , given that leaves 7 diamonds unseen ( 6 out ) and 44 cards left unseen that makes roughly 1 in six = 5 -1 odds and the chance of his opponent having a better flush more like 20 - 1 . Have I missed something or is r. G. wrong.

MereNovice

I would agree with you about the 5-1 odds.
i can't comment on the 20-1 without knowing what the values of the diamonds were.

scrumdown

your right  if was a flush draw on the flop  leave him 9 outs divede the 9 in to 47 unseen cards gives 5 to1 same for the river

tiercel

If I remember rightly I think there were three higher cards to come. It just shows even the experts can be wrong. lol

I would agree with you about the 5-1 odds. i can't comment on the 20-1 without knowing what the values of the diamonds were.
Posted by MereNovice

MereNovice

In Response to Re: odds:

If I remember rightly I think there were three higher cards to come. It just shows even the experts can be wrong. lol
Posted by tiercel

The analyst in the studio has to do it all in real time whilst dealing with all the other distractions of a live show - not a job that I would fancy!

If there are 3 cards to make a higher flush to come that makes 3 of 44 cards which is about 14-1.