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Kingspinne | Small blind | £0.05 | £0.05 | £11.75 | |
craigcu12 | Big blind | £0.10 | £0.15 | £16.87 | |
Your hole cards |
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x | Raise | £0.40 | £0.55 | £27.53 | |
Viglante | Fold | ||||
supercrazy | Fold | ||||
Kingspinne | Fold | ||||
craigcu12 | Call | £0.30 | £0.85 | £16.57 | |
Flop | |||||
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craigcu12 | Check | ||||
x | Bet | £0.64 | £1.49 | £26.89 | |
craigcu12 | Raise | £1.68 | £3.17 | £14.89 | |
x | Raise | £3.15 | £6.32 | £23.74 | |
craigcu12 | ? |
Comments
You are behind him against his range, with or without including AK (if we assume he might overvalue AK). I'd say most times you got to be behind. Certainly call, but not 100% sure I favour a shove against his likely range.
If we could put him on 99, JJ, AA, AK, AJ and Q10 we are ahead equity wise, but not sure we could give him this range given the betting. Given his postion I might have reraised preflop as well.
This deep, if we get it in on the flop we're gonna see a set so close to 100% of the time it's unreal.
is the 3bet about seperating the small and middle pairs from the the premium pairs and AK as that is what i'm thinking makes AQ seem to get me in so much difficulty.
if he did a 4bet after my 3bet then i am folding it for sure, so if he does call i will know that i'm unlikely to be against AA and KK, QQ might still be a risk if he called a 3bet but i would be most concerned with AK more than anything.
If you are coming to the conclision we are a slight fav in a flip situation then why would shoving be bad? If we have 53% equity as you stated than shoving would be +EV. If we was infront than I'm pretty sure we are more than a slight fav also.
I'm not saying we should shove either just to clarify.
As for why in this spot I might 3bet. I range villians by postion and he is raising from MP and I use about a 13%-15% range on a fairly tight player fromt his postion. Meaning I'd be lookign at 22+, KJos+, KJs+, A10s+, A10os+ (13% range) and going down lower to hands like A7s+, K9s+, and QJ if at 15% of his range.
So with AQ we are ahead of that range in either case. So 3bet gives me two useful aspects. One I'm going to get an answer on some level how strong he is. Not always as sometimes you can get trapped by a call with a strong hand, but most times at this level they will 4bet a big hand and let you get off as cheap as you could. Rest of time they muck or call. If they call you are at least now the one in control of betting post flop, which I much prefer to being in a check/call situation.
I guess all in all it's a personal thing, and I don't always 3bet AQ to a MP player. Lot of time it depends ont he player and any reads I've got off him yet etc. Either way after I saw how often I came out badly in hands I was passive in compared to where I was more aggresive I did it less often. Meaning sometimes I'll let a reasonable hand go in the blinds etc just because playing OOP sucks a lot of the time. Each to their own style though, as both can get you into trouble if y ou aren't careful.
Also, I agree with lambert on the reasons for raising. To many have nitty 3bet ranges at lower limits and hence why people just fold to their 3bets a large percentage of the time. Also, he is right about the opening bet. If he don't normally open for 4x I wouldn't be 3betting either. Didn't spot that first time around, glad he did. If it is out of place I'd even consider folding the AQ preflop. Yep it's nitty, but AQ can be a hand that wins you a little or loses you a lot sooo often, and OOP too it can be a pain. Case by case basis on call/fold/3bet in this spot preflop.
Call flop and re-assess turn. If you get in 150bb effective on this flop villain is gonna have AJ minimum.
knowing that a jam on the flop will see me only being call by very strong ones like AJ or sets it was a stupid thing to jam.
when i do make the call on the flop if the turn were to then give a diamond what would you do yourself?