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Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals

edited April 2016 in Cash Strategy
There are always a lot of questions about bet sizing in the Poker Clinic and now having seen it come up a lot in Devonfish's recent diary revival, I thought I'd put together a post giving my (limited) input on some of the fundamentals you need to be thinking about when sizing your bets.

A few things to point out before I start... This guide is only going to discuss postflop betting and certain parts may seem more relevant to cash games where stacks are deeper but most of it applies to any hand you play in any format of poker.

Last point before we really get started but a very important one... Don't use the post-flop betting buttons (½ pot, ¾ pot and full pot). If you're always using these buttons then it just shows you're not thinking enough about how much you're betting and why you chose that particular amount.

===============================================================================

It might sound like a long list and a lot to think about but most of these things either already are or will become second nature with practice so here are the factors you need to take into account when deciding how much to bet...

1) Our hand and our perceived range
2) The board
3) The opponent's range
4) Reads on the opponent
5) Stack/Pot Ratio
6) Number of opponents

As a general 'default' I'd suggest all of your bets being in the range of 60-70% of the pot but the factors above may mean you should increase or decrease that figure.

==============================================================================

Our hand and our perceived range - Well the first part of this is pretty self explanatory. The second part is only relevant when you're playing a pot against an opponent that you think is actually putting you on a range. If they are then you should think about what our range looks like to the opponent. Depending on how strong/weak our perceived range is V their range, you can adapt your sizing to get the result you want.

The board - The board texture is one of the most important factors in choosing a bet sizing. On very dry boards we want to bet smaller than normal because flops like K27r are impossible for your opponent to have any immediate (non-backdoor) draws and it's a flop that is going to miss most ranges a lot of the time. For this reason betting smaller achieves two things:

1) When we are value betting, a smaller bet will get called by a wider range (so we get calls more often)

2) When we are bluffing, it's much cheaper to do so and a smaller bet should be just as effective because it's such a hard flop for your opponent to hit.

Conversely on very wet flops we should bet bigger than normal. Wet flops like 89Qss or AJThh hit the range of hands that most people like to play way more than the flop mentioned above. On flops like this, people will have lots of hands like 1pr, 2pr, 1pr + FD, 1pr + straight draw, sets, nut flush draws, OESD. So again the reason we go bigger is two fold:

1) When we're value betting, it's SO much more likely people have a hand they want to continue with.

2) When we're bluffing, again people have hands they want to continue with more often and we need to put more pressure on them to get them off the lower end of their ranges.

The opponent's range - Putting your opponent on a range allows you to have an idea of how strong/weak they are in a hand. If judging by earlier streets we can pretty much guarantee they have a strong hand that they're not gonna fold and we're sitting there with a massive hand then obv we can go really big with our sizing. Conversely if we think they have some sort of made hand but it can't stand much heat like 2nd pr/TPNK then we can go a little bit smaller to keep in these weaker hands.

Reads on the opponent - Reads on an opponent are very important and you'll only get an idea for what you can get away with by trial and error (and watching opponents when they play hands with other people), but obviously some players are a bit more on the stationy side than others. Against good players it can be important to be balanced with your sizings, against others they just simply won't notice. If they don't even notice you betting 60% pot with bluffs and 80% for value then go for it.

Stack/Pot Ratio - Unless stacks are vv deep when it's just not possible, we generally want to be setting ourselves up so that when we get to the river we can (although we don't necessarily have to) shove for a little under a pot sized bet. Not only does it mean we've set ourselves up to get it in by the river without overbetting but it also puts the max pressure on the opponent knowing that if he calls the turn, he is likely to be facing a bet for the rest of his stack on the river. Also, if you get into a 3bet pot with someone who only has say 40xBB and you flop very very strong then you can often go something like 30% pot, 30% pot, 30% pot and that's enough to get it in by the river while keeping his range as wide as possible... going smaller in these shallower stacked pots also allows us to run multi street bluffs and still get away. So you should be thinking right from the start 'what kind of sizings do I need to use to get it in by the river?'

Number of opponents - Generally, the more people there are in the pot, the bigger we should go. When we're going for value then there are just that many more ranges out there to have hit the board so higher chance of getting calls and so we get max value going bigger. Multi way pots are harder to get folds from everyone so when we're bluffing we're also using bigger sizings to put max pressure on our opponents.

This felt a bit rushed and I'm no Galfond so no doubt I missed stuff or didn't explain certain things very well so feel free to all chip in with any things you think need adding and I'll stick them in the OP.
«1

Comments

  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    There are always a lot of questions about bet sizing in the Poker Clinic and now having seen it come up a lot in Devonfish's recent diary revival, I thought I'd put together a post giving my (limited) input on some of the fundamentals you need to be thinking about when sizing your bets. A few things to point out before I start... This guide is only going to discuss postflop betting and certain parts may seem more relevant to cash games where stacks are deeper but most of it applies to any hand you play in any format of poker. Last point before we really get started but a very important one...  Don't use the post-flop betting buttons (½ pot, ¾ pot and full pot) . If you're always using these buttons then it just shows you're not thinking enough about how much you're betting and why you chose that particular amount. =============================================================================== It might sound like a long list and a lot to think about but most of these things either already are or will become second nature with practice so here are the factors you need to take into account when deciding how much to bet... 1) Our hand and our perceived range 2) The board 3) The opponent's range 4) Reads on the opponent 5) Stack/Pot Ratio 6) Number of opponents As a general 'default' I'd suggest all of your bets being in the range of 60-70% of the pot but the factors above may mean you should increase or decrease that figure. ============================================================================== Our hand and our perceived range  -  Well the first part of this is pretty self explanatory. The second part is only relevant when you're playing a pot against an opponent that you think is actually putting you on a range. If they are then you should think about what our range looks like to the opponent. Depending on how strong/weak our perceived range is V their range, you can adapt your sizing to get the result you want. The board  - The board texture is one of the most important factors in choosing a bet sizing. On very dry boards we want to bet smaller than normal because flops like K27r are impossible for your opponent to have any immediate (non-backdoor) draws and it's a flop that is going to miss most ranges a lot of the time. For this reason betting smaller achieves two things: 1) When we are value betting, a smaller bet will get called by a wider range (so we get calls more often) 2) When we are bluffing, it's much cheaper to do so and a smaller bet should be just as effective because it's such a hard flop for your opponent to hit. Conversely on very wet flops we should bet bigger than normal. Wet flops like 89Qss or AJThh hit the range of hands that most people like to play way more than the flop mentioned above. On flops like this, people will have lots of hands like 1pr, 2pr, 1pr + FD, 1pr + straight draw, sets, nut flush draws, OESD. So again the reason we go bigger is two fold: 1) When we're value betting, it's SO much more likely people have a hand they want to continue with. 2) When we're bluffing, again people have hands they want to continue with more often and we need to put more pressure on them to get them off the lower end of their ranges. The opponent's range  - Putting your opponent on a range allows you to have an idea of how strong/weak they are in a hand. If judging by earlier streets we can pretty much guarantee they have a strong hand that they're not gonna fold and we're sitting there with a massive hand then obv we can go really big with our sizing. Conversely if we think they have some sort of made hand but it can't stand much heat like 2nd pr/TPNK then we can go a little bit smaller to keep in these weaker hands. Reads on the opponent  - Reads on an opponent are very important and you'll only get an idea for what you can get away with by trial and error (and watching opponents when they play hands with other people), but obviously some players are a bit more on the stationy side than others. Against good players it can be important to be balanced with your sizings, against others they just simply won't notice. If they don't even notice you betting 60% pot with bluffs and 80% for value then go for it. Stack/Pot Ratio  - Unless stacks are vv deep when it's just not possible, we generally want to be setting ourselves up so that when we get to the river we can (although we don't necessarily have to) shove for a little under a pot sized bet. Not only does it mean we've set ourselves up to get it in by the river without overbetting but it also puts the max pressure on the opponent knowing that if he calls the turn, he is likely to be facing a bet for the rest of his stack on the river. Also, if you get into a 3bet pot with someone who only has say 40xBB and you flop very very strong then you can often go something like 30% pot, 30% pot, 30% pot and that's enough to get it in by the river while keeping his range as wide as possible... going smaller in these shallower stacked pots also allows us to run multi street bluffs and still get away. So you should be thinking right from the start 'what kind of sizings do I need to use to get it in by the river?' Number of opponents  - Generally, the more people there are in the pot, the bigger we should go. When we're going for value then there are just that many more ranges out there to have hit the board so higher chance of getting calls and so we get max value going bigger. Multi way pots are harder to get folds from everyone so when we're bluffing we're also using bigger sizings to put max pressure on our opponents. This felt a bit rushed and I'm no Galfond so no doubt I missed stuff or didn't explain certain things very well so feel free to all chip in with any things you think need adding and I'll stick them in the OP.
    Posted by Lambert180

    Jeez Louise its a Saturday night!

  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    In Response to Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals : Jeez Louise its a Saturday night!
    Posted by Donttelmum
    #lol
  • edited February 2014

    OMG so much bad advice in there, to start

    1) The paragraph titled "Number of opponents " Is just an awful blanket generalisation.

    If your not going to bother relating it to important details such as position/board texture/villain tendencies then don't bother writing it at all.

    Those that are aware don't need educating, and those that are not aware will end up in a world of trouble if they just blindly try and implement the advice given in that paragraph.

    For example, reading that paragraph in a vacuum, a newbie would be forgiven for thinking they should try and 2xpot bet bluff at a 7h8h9h board in a family pot whilst holding black treys.

    2) The factors you say are worth thinking about when deciding how much to bet. You forgot to mention position!

    3) "As a general 'default' I'd suggest all of your bets being in the range of 60-70% of the pot but the factors above may mean you should increase or decrease that figure."

    Are you kidding me?? a 60-70% default, just what on earth are you on about? Fine, we might want a standard kind of contin bet range, but aside from that, this is a terrible statement.

  • edited February 2014
    kepya bet sizing the same pre and on the flop this way u give no tells away like being a robot :)
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    kepya bet sizing the same pre and on the flop this way u give no tells away like being a robot :)
    Posted by IDONKCALLU
    Wp on reading the post lol.

    So you bet the same on K72r as you do on QJThhh or you bet the same against someone who can't fold bottom pr that you would bet against someone that's a massive nit?

    Being balanced is over-rated in most scenarios.
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals : Wp on reading the post lol. So you bet the same on K72r as you do on QJThhh or you bet the same against someone who can't fold bottom pr that you would bet against someone that's a massive nit? Being balanced is over-rated in most scenarios.
    Posted by Lambert180
    So why say all bets should be in a 60%-70% pot range?

    Totally contradicting yourself!
  • edited February 2014
    Paul it took you 10149 posts to post something really good and interesting on the forum. Well done.

    Good read mate. 
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    Paul it took you 10149 posts to post something really good and interesting on the forum. Well done. Good read mate. 
    Posted by GreekWay
    Maybe it's because it's Saturday night, Lambo, but that's really funny.

    Top of the Posts nomination coming up ;)
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals : Maybe it's because it's Saturday night, Lambo, but that's really funny. Top of the Posts nomination coming up ;)
    Posted by Slipwater
    For me or for GreekWay? :p
  • edited February 2014
    Nice thread. It would be nice for SKY to have a 2/3 pot bet option and even 3 different bet sizing options pre and post flop where we can set our betting amounts, eg pre flop we could set x2.5bb, 3bb, 3.5bb raise and post flop 50% of pot bet, 67%, 80% of pot bet along side a min and max bet button. Manually typing it in whilst playing 4+ tables can be meh.
  • edited February 2014
    Here's something I've been thinking recently but not sure how sound the idea is and it's to do with our bet-sizing on dry flops combined with us wanting to get stacks in by the river. Now, say we're playing 20NL and we raise 60p pre and BB calls. Flop is K73r. Why not bet full pot (or close to) instead of the standard half pot that people like to go with on these dry boards?

    Sure, if we are bluffing then it becomes a more expensive c-bet. However if we are value betting we gain a lot more value with this size. What might happen at first is that your c-bets get a lot of folds and so you may miss out on some value with your value hands - however, this is outweighed by the fact your opponents will play very predictable to you. There will be less floating and you might get bluffs through that would fail to a smaller c-bet.

    If they adjust though they will learn to call down wider and begin floating again.  This is fine for us because providing we are balanced and are playing good pre-flop strategy we end up in a situation where we are winning much more on avg post-flop on these dry boards.

    Don't know if that makes any sense, it's a bit of a ramble. It's 2.40am and I can't sleep though!

  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    Here's something I've been thinking recently but not sure how sound the idea is and it's to do with our bet-sizing on dry flops combined with us wanting to get stacks in by the river. Now, say we're playing 20NL and we raise 60p pre and BB calls. Flop is K73r. Why not bet full pot (or close to) instead of the standard half pot that people like to go with on these dry boards? Sure, if we are bluffing then it becomes a more expensive c-bet. However if we are value betting we gain a lot more value with this size. What might happen at first is that your c-bets get a lot of folds and so you may miss out on some value with your value hands - however, this is outweighed by the fact your opponents will play very predictable to you. There will be less floating and you might get bluffs through that would fail to a smaller c-bet. If they adjust though they will learn to call down wider and begin floating again.  This is fine for us because providing we are balanced and are playing good pre-flop strategy we end up in a situation where we are winning much more on avg post-flop on these dry boards. Don't know if that makes any sense, it's a bit of a ramble. It's 2.40am and I can't sleep though!
    Posted by F_Ivanovic
    Works well vs fish or a player on tilt. Against competant players i think we just have to accept that we're not getting stacks in by the river vast majority of the time. I'm also tired ;/
  • edited February 2014

    one question I have is in relation to AA KK QQ JJ and AK.

    knowing that most nl4 these days will only ever 3bet with AA and possibly KK, it makes calling a 3 bet with Ak QQ and JJ a total waste.

    so although calling a 3bet with them is bad should I still do a 3bet with them when it has been open bet before the betting got to me?

  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    one question I have is in relation to AA KK QQ JJ and AK. knowing that most nl4 these days will only ever 3bet with AA and possibly KK, it makes calling a 3 bet with Ak QQ and JJ a total waste. so although calling a 3bet with them is bad should I still do a 3bet with them when it has been open bet before the betting got to me?
    Posted by craigcu12
    Hi Craig. I dont agree with this at all. I played this level a lot lately and believe me that is not true. There are plenty of opponents that will 3 bet with bad Aces and a lot of suited cards and a lot of PPs not to mention out right bluffs.I think you can 3 bet quite easily if you want and if they four bet allin then you can give them credit and decide to fold/call based on your read of the player and your hand.
  • edited February 2014

    nice post Paul,

    yes I've read it. how much sinks in is anybody's guess.  he he

    thanks for taking the time & effort, I know this is partly for my benefit and it's much appreciated.
    ( i'll try doing better from today onwards)  :)

    dev
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals : Hi Craig. I dont agree with this at all. I played this level a lot lately and believe me that is not true. There are plenty of opponents that will 3 bet with bad Aces and a lot of suited cards and a lot of PPs not to mention out right bluffs.I think you can 3 bet quite easily if you want and if they four bet allin then you can give them credit and decide to fold/call based on your read of the player and your hand.
    Posted by CraigSG1
    I think the players you are thinking of here are the regs who are taking advantage of all this weak and soft play and by saying that their is some out right bluffing being done the tables must be very soft.

    one of the things with these now is I'm not as intent on getting good value from them as I used to be not in cash, the reason being is calling stations fish and maniacs are not on very much, tables now are likely to have villain who play the hit miss game, so instead of getting the weaker hands to fold, I'm thinking why not just call it pre and if he were to check I just do a bet with this hand like I would with most others and take it down now that way I know their is still weaker hands in the villians range too.

    that doesn't mean I'm always calling, say for instance their is just a min bet and it has been called by most then I am definitely doing a 3bet as I don't want too many involved post flop and with SC well they are good with lots of callers anyway.
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    one question I have is in relation to AA KK QQ JJ and AK. knowing that most nl4 these days will only ever 3bet with AA and possibly KK, it makes calling a 3 bet with Ak QQ and JJ a total waste. so although calling a 3bet with them is bad should I still do a 3bet with them when it has been open bet before the betting got to me?
    Posted by craigcu12
    Your range construction is way way too narrow.
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals : I think the players you are thinking of here are the regs who are taking advantage of all this weak and soft play and by saying that their is some out right bluffing being done the tables must be very soft. one of the things with these now is I'm not as intent on getting good value from them as I used to be not in cash, the reason being is calling stations fish and maniacs are not on very much, tables now are likely to have villain who play the hit miss game, so instead of getting the weaker hands to fold, I'm thinking why not just call it pre and if he were to check I just do a bet with this hand like I would with most others and take it down now that way I know their is still weaker hands in the villians range too. that doesn't mean I'm always calling, say for instance their is just a min bet and it has been called by most then I am definitely doing a 3bet as I don't want too many involved post flop and with SC well they are good with lots of callers anyway.
    Posted by craigcu12
    You really need to be isolating with your premuims as you're going to have way more equity in the hand then in multi-way pots post flop. Just calling encourages the blinds to come along aswell, and when this happens we lose a lot of equity post flop, and hand reading becomes more difficult. You can always reasses if you get 4-bet. As a rule though 4-betting ranges are super narrow pre flop.
    Also 3-betting your prems pre we are doing it to get max value, also 3 betti ng makes it easier to get stacks in on/before the river.This is called pot building. Remember that players 3-bet calling ranges will be far more wider then their actual 3-betting range. It really looks like you are levelling yourself. Also it sounds like you are playing with scared money, maybe due to a small bankroll.
  • edited February 2014
    nothing wrong with using the betting buttons....i hate the pretentious type who raise 2bb +5 i.e $205...
  • edited February 2014
    Craig this is just very wrong, 20/30NL is probably the most reg infested games on the site (possibly 50NL), far more so than 4NL and a large amount of these regs are VERY tight but I still couldn't narrow them down to AA/KK just by 3betting. A few of them I could narrow down to AA/KK when they 4bet.... some will still have QQ/AK when 4betting, but a 4bet is very different from a 3bet.

    TinTin used to put sick volume in at 4NL and he was VERY 'solid'as far as I know, but even still you could never narrow him down to AA/KK with a 3bet.

    I very much doubt there are any players tight enough where it becomes a good idea to fold QQ/AK to a standard 3bet at 4NL. It may just be that you need to work on your postflop play and be more capable of folding on 'safe' boards. You give someone a range preflop obviously and it won't be as tight as AA/KK but you narrow it down through the streets and by the river it might only be hands that beat QQ/AK so you just gotta fold.
  • edited February 2014
    "TinTin used to put sick volume in at 4NL and he was VERY 'solid'as far as I know, but even still you could never narrow him down to AA/KK with a 3bet."

    Yes, yes you can with 90% certainty. TinTin was a crazy nit when playing 4nl

    Craig has this spot on, and since he plays 4nl day in day out, is is in a much better position to comment than yourself.
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    nothing wrong with using the betting buttons....i hate the pretentious type who raise 2bb +5 i.e $205...
    Posted by DAVEYZZ
    I don't mean preflop. Generally you can use the betting buttons preflop (although not recommended once you get past an initial raise).

    If you're ONLY using 1/2 pot, 3/4 pot and full pot postflop then you are missing value in some way and like I said in OP, you're probably not thinking enough about why you bet a certain size. It just restricts you so much. There are scenarios where we wanna bet very small like 1/3 pot, if we just use the buttons we can't do that, or against someone who is very stationy so we wanna go bigger for value like 80-90% again we can't do that with betting buttons.

    I do mean people who ONLY use them buttons like. If you click the 1/2 pot button to get you in the right ballpark and then adjust the amount manually that's fine.
  • edited February 2014
    One thing that hasn't been mentioned is the difference in bet sizing in MTT's and ring games.
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    Craig this is just very wrong, 20/30NL is probably the most reg infested games on the site (possibly 50NL), far more so than 4NL and a large amount of these regs are VERY tight but I still couldn't narrow them down to AA/KK just by 3betting. A few of them I could narrow down to AA/KK when they 4bet.... some will still have QQ/AK when 4betting, but a 4bet is very different from a 3bet. TinTin used to put sick volume in at 4NL and he was VERY 'solid'as far as I know, but even still you could never narrow him down to AA/KK with a 3bet. I very much doubt there are any players tight enough where it becomes a good idea to fold QQ/AK to a standard 3bet at 4NL. It may just be that you need to work on your postflop play and be more capable of folding on 'safe' boards. You give someone a range preflop obviously and it won't be as tight as AA/KK but you narrow it down through the streets and by the river it might only be hands that beat QQ/AK so you just gotta fold.
    Posted by Lambert180
    If we are folding ak/qq to a standard 3 bet at any level there is something wrong !
  • edited February 2014
    with these hands then should it have been that I was right calling pre but post flop I should fold right away
    xSmall blind  £0.02 £0.02 £4.00
    hohoho662 Big blind  £0.04 £0.06 £3.07
      Your hole cards
    • Q
    • Q
         
    mrc101 Fold     
    Oldkeeper1 Fold     
    craigcu12 Raise  £0.20 £0.26 £2.42
    xRaise  £0.62 £0.88 £3.38
    hohoho662 Fold     
    craigcu12 Call  £0.44 £1.32 £1.98
    Flop
       
    • 4
    • 10
    • 6
         
    xBet  £1.32 £2.64 £2.06
    craigcu12 All-in  £1.98 £4.62 £0.00
    xCall  £0.66 £5.28 £1.40
    xShow
    • K
    • K
       
    craigcu12 Show
    • Q
    • Q
    and with this one is the chip stack the first sign that he has a good hand
    Alarthur50 Small blind  £0.02 £0.02 £3.98
    scottbaird Big blind  £0.04 £0.06 £5.32
      Your hole cards
    • Q
    • Q
         
    hohoho662 Fold     
    mrc101 Fold     
    xRaise  £0.16 £0.22 £9.41
    craigcu12 Raise  £0.40 £0.62 £3.02
    Alarthur50 Fold     
    scottbaird Fold     
    xAll-in  £9.41 £10.03 £0.00
    craigcu12 All-in  £3.02 £13.05 £0.00
    xUnmatched bet  £6.15 £6.90 £6.15
    xShow
    • K
    • K
       
    craigcu12 Show
    • Q
    • Q
       
    Flop
       
    • 4
    • 10
    • 8
         
    Turn
       
    • 9
         
    River
       
    • 6
    also does the cash stack play any part in weather or not to call an all in?
  • edited February 2014
    craig that is a std jam in that spot imo
  • edited February 2014
    both hands are a jam i think
  • edited February 2014
    On the first one, I'm jamming over any flop bet with the QQ and the second it depends on notes if I would call.  When I was playing a bit of 2/4 cash there was one player who would open jam everytime they got AA.  The tell was so good I once folded KK against them when they jammed, someone else called and the AA was shown and I had a BIG smile on my face
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    On the first one, I'm jamming over any flop bet with the QQ and the second it depends on notes if I would call.  When I was playing a bit of 2/4 cash there was one player who would open jam everytime they got AA.  The tell was so good I once folded KK against them when they jammed, someone else called and the AA was shown and I had a BIG smile on my face
    Posted by cenachav
    i had already myswelf posted 1 hand where I folded QQ and I described fully why.
    today I saw a person raise to just 8p when he had 99 but when he had AA he open raised to 28p and that was the very same villain I have with hand 1.
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Bet Sizing - The Fundamentals:
    craig that is a std jam in that spot imo
    Posted by IDONKCALLU
    Agreed, standard jam.................

    If you dont like money
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