Coming from a sng/cash background where all +ev spots should be taken I'm always unsure when faced with swingy spots in mtts.
I feel I still have a fairly big edge over most fields but how much can I factor this in when declining spots I see as marginally +ev?
Everytime I post hands in here, you can guarantee 3/4 people will say wait for a better spot. But we have to get it in at some point!!!
Couple of examples from the last few days...
1)
This is 2nd hand of the tournament.
No reads but he's just open limped the button so can make the general assumptions about what type of player he might be.
There are probably enough 7x and draw hands to call profitably here, right?
Even if there are, should I be taking this spot, this early, against a guy I've never seen before?
Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
---|
splashies | Small blind | | 10.00 | 10.00 | 1970.00 |
DOHHHHHHH | Big blind | | 20.00 | 30.00 | 1980.00 |
| Your hole cards | | | | |
Markie39 | Fold | | | | |
xxx | Call | | 20.00 | 50.00 | 2000.00 |
splashies | Fold | | | | |
DOHHHHHHH | Raise | | 80.00 | 130.00 | 1900.00 |
xxx | Call | | 80.00 | 210.00 | 1920.00 |
Flop |
---|
| | | | | |
DOHHHHHHH | Bet | | 140.00 | 350.00 | 1760.00 |
xxx | All-in | | 1920.00 | 2270.00 | 0.00 |
DOHHHHHHH |
2)
This is a BH. Both villains have been very loose, throwing chips around, and playing way too many hands.
Again I can probably call profitably here if I were to stove their rangers, but it's a high variance spot whilst 42xbb deep @ 50/100 on what is a soft table.
"Wait for a better spot" again?
Better spots don't always come....
Call/Fold?
Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
---|
ARTOIS819 | Small blind | | 50.00 | 50.00 | 11555.00 |
DOHHHHHHH | Big blind | | 100.00 | 150.00 | 4177.75 |
| Your hole cards | | | | |
Player A | All-in | | 4908.75 | 5058.75 | 0.00 |
coombes01 | Fold | | | | |
Player B | All-in | | 3677.50 | 8736.25 | 0.00 |
ARTOIS819 | Fold | | | | |
DOHHHHHHH |
Comments
Hand 2 - Call, watch A10 get there, type GG in chat then curse MTT variance. Rinse and Repeat