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Thoughts on this hand, what would you raise the river?

edited February 2014 in The Poker Clinic
Dont understand why you checked the turn tbh.  You just went ahead of a lot of hands you can get value from, including a lot of his draws and made hands like J10 or 108 etc.  Do you really think he's checking straights and sets here?

River overbet shove?  Dont see the value in it unless villain is incapable of folding mediocre hands.

As played I'd raise to around £9 or something.  More or less depending on which villain im playing and whether or not they are likely to pay me off.

Comments

  • edited January 2015

    LARSON7 Big blind  3000.00 4500.00 142140.00
      Your hole cards
    • 7
    • A
         
    strube All-in  77360.00 81860.00 0.00
    LARSON7 Call  75860.00 157720.00 66280.00
    strube Show
    • A
    • 8
       
    LARSON7 Show
    • 7
    • A
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    shubling Small blind  1000.00 1000.00 36592.50
    LARSON7 Big blind  2000.00 3000.00 55055.00
      Your hole cards
    • 9
    • 6
         
    ACA Fold     
    COLEY1 Fold     
    strube Fold     
    greg1974 Fold     
    shubling Raise  3000.00 6000.00 33592.50
    LARSON7 Call  2000.00 8000.00 53055.00
    Flop
       
    • 10
    • 7
    • 3
         
    shubling Bet  4000.00 12000.00 29592.50
    LARSON7 Call  4000.00 16000.00 49055.00
    Turn
       
    • 7
         
    shubling Check     
    LARSON7 Check     
    River
       
    • Q
         
    shubling Bet  4000.00 20000.00 25592.50
    LARSON7 Raise  14000.00 34000.00 35055.00
    shubling Call  10000.00 44000.00 15592.50
    LARSON7 Show
    • 9
    • 6
       
    shubling Show
    • 6
    • 7
       
    shubling Win Three 7s 44000
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    shubling Small blind  800.00 800.00 31192.50
    LARSON7 Big blind  1600.00 2400.00 67455.00
      Your hole cards
    • 7
    • 7
         
    ACA Fold     
    COLEY1 Fold     
    strube Call  1600.00 4000.00 40345.00
    greg1974 Fold     
    shubling Call  800.00 4800.00 30392.50
    LARSON7 Check     
    Flop
       
    • 4
    • 5
    • 2
         
    shubling Bet  3200.00 8000.00 27192.50
    LARSON7 Call  3200.00 11200.00 64255.00
    strube Fold     
    Turn
       
    • 3
         
    shubling Bet  3200.00 14400.00 23992.50
    LARSON7 Call  3200.00 17600.00 61055.00
    River
       
    • 10
         
    shubling Check     
    LARSON7 Check     
    shubling Show
    • A
    • 2
       
    LARSON7 Muck
    • 7
    • 7
       
    shubling Win Straight to the 5
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    mickjenn1 Small blind  300.00 300.00 12998.00
    zenpoker31 Big blind  600.00 900.00 1280.00
      Your hole cards
    • J
    • A
         
    jinder Fold     
    alfarch30 All-in  6312.00 7212.00 0.00
    LARSON7 All-in  17770.00 24982.00 0.00
    mickjenn1 Fold     
    zenpoker31 Fold     
    LARSON7 Unmatched bet  11458.00 13524.00 11458.00
    alfarch30 Show
    • 10
    • Q
       
    LARSON7 Show
    • J
    • A
       
    Flop
       
    • 7
    • 6
    • 8
         
    Turn
       
    • 10
         
    River
       
    • 5
         
    alfarch30 Win Pair of 10s
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    LARSON7 Small blind  1500.00 1500.00 125060.00
    strube Big blind  3000.00 4500.00 94440.00
      Your hole cards
    • 8
    • J
         
    LARSON7 Raise  4500.00 9000.00 120560.00
    strube All-in  94440.00 103440.00 0.00
    LARSON7 Fold
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    LARSON7 Small blind  1500.00 1500.00 72280.00
    strube Big blind  3000.00 4500.00 147220.00
      Your hole cards
    • Q
    • 6
         
    LARSON7 Raise  4500.00 9000.00 67780.00
    strube Call  3000.00 12000.00 144220.00
    Flop
       
    • J
    • 5
    • 6
         
    strube All-in  144220.00 156220.00 0.00
    LARSON7 Fold     
    strube Muck     
    strube Win  12000
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    strube Small blind  1250.00 1250.00 21430.00
    greg1974 Big blind  2500.00 3750.00 35995.00
      Your hole cards
    • Q
    • 10
         
    LARSON7 Raise  5000.00 8750.00 54805.00
    ACA Fold     
    strube All-in  21430.00 30180.00 0.00
    greg1974 Fold     
    LARSON7 Fold
    ---------------------------------------------------------
    LARSON7 Small blind  600.00 600.00 54655.00
    ACA Big blind  1200.00 1800.00 31382.50
    shubling Sit out     
      Your hole cards
    • 3
    • 5
         
    COLEY1 Fold     
    strube Fold     
    greg1974 Fold     
    LARSON7 Raise  1800.00 3600.00 52855.00
    ACA Call  1200.00 4800.00 30182.50
    Flop
       
    • 9
    • 2
    • 9
         
    LARSON7 Bet  2400.00 7200.00 50455.00
    ACA Call  2400.00 9600.00 27782.50
    Turn
       
    • A
         
    LARSON7 Check     
    ACA Check     
    River
       
    • 9
         
    LARSON7 Check     
    ACA Bet  8400.00 18000.00 19382.50
    LARSON7 Fold
  • edited February 2014
    Got to say I can't wait to see villians hand on this one, as his line has me rather confused as to what the heck he has. Can't see him checking a set on turn as only had that has got there is AQ as Q9 was already there. Does he check 2pair? Maybe, but for same reason I can't see why he would. Most times I would bet teh turn having improved to TTP, butI'm stil a little confused by a min-r flop followed by a check.

    It's conpounded as played when he leads out again on river when another king lands. I have to assume he has a fullhouse here or at the very least the straight or this whole line is baffling, at least to me. If it is a fullhouse his check at turn is odd, as is if he had straight.

    I'm going to say a weird line with 88 and give a hefty raise as suggested above, and maybe in some cases shove if I think he is loose enough to make bad calls. Calling any raise would be tough unless he has a great hand, but hey got to be done and hope. :)
  • edited February 2014
    If we'd bet the turn, then the pot would be big enough to ship over any river lead from villain.
  • edited January 2015

    strube Small blind  1500.00 1500.00 68360.00
    greg1974 Big blind  3000.00 4500.00 20995.00
      Your hole cards
    • 9
    • A
         
    LARSON7 Raise  6000.00 10500.00 61555.00
    ACA Fold     
    strube Fold     
    greg1974 Fold     
    LARSON7 Muck     
    LARSON7 Win
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    LARSON7 Small blind  1250.00 1250.00 49805.00
    ACA Big blind  2500.00 3750.00 64010.00
      Your hole cards
    • K
    • K
         
    COLEY1 Fold     
    strube Fold     
    greg1974 Call  2500.00 6250.00 25605.00
    LARSON7 Raise  8750.00 15000.00 41055.00
    ACA Fold     
    greg1974 Fold     
    LARSON7 Muck
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    alfarch30 Small blind  500.00 500.00 6742.00
    LARSON7 Big blind  1000.00 1500.00 27653.00
      Your hole cards
    • 10
    • A
         
    shubling Call  1000.00 2500.00 18677.50
    zenpoker31 Fold     
    KAM_E_RA Fold     
    alfarch30 Call  500.00 3000.00 6242.00
    LARSON7 Raise  3000.00 6000.00 24653.00
    shubling Call  3000.00 9000.00 15677.50
    alfarch30 Fold     
    Flop
       
    • Q
    • 3
    • 8
         
    LARSON7 Check     
    shubling Check     
    Turn
       
    • 5
         
    LARSON7 Check     
    shubling Check     
    River
       
    • 7
         
    LARSON7 Check     
    shubling Check     
    LARSON7 Show
    • 10
    • A
       
    shubling Muck
    • 10
    • K
       
    LARSON7 Win Ace high
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    jinder Small blind  295.00 295.00 0.00
    KAM_E_RA Big blind  800.00 1095.00 15750.00
      Your hole cards
    • 3
    • A
         
    alfarch30 Fold     
    LARSON7 Raise  1600.00 2695.00 12258.00
    mickjenn1 Fold     
    zenpoker31 Fold     
    KAM_E_RA Call  800.00 3495.00 14950.00
    Flop
       
    • A
    • 4
    • Q
         
    KAM_E_RA Check     
    LARSON7 Bet  1600.00 5095.00 10658.00
    KAM_E_RA Call  1600.00 6695.00 13350.00
    Turn
       
    • J
         
    KAM_E_RA Check     
    LARSON7 Check     
    River
       
    • 9
         
    KAM_E_RA Check     
    LARSON7 Bet  2400.00 9095.00 8258.00
    KAM_E_RA Call  2400.00 11495.00 10950.00
    LARSON7 Show
    • 3
    • A
       
    jinder Muck
    • 7
    • J
       
    KAM_E_RA Muck
    • Q
    • 10
       
    LARSON7 Win Pair of Aces 11495
    ----------------------------------------------------------------
    LARSON7 Small blind  1500.00 1500.00 69280.00
    strube Big blind  3000.00 4500.00 150220.00
      Your hole cards
    • 10
    • 7
         
    LARSON7 Raise  4500.00 9000.00 64780.00
    strube Call  3000.00 12000.00 147220.00
    Flop
       
    • J
    • 9
    • A
         
    strube Check     
    LARSON7 Bet  6000.00 18000.00 58780.00
    strube Fold     
    LARSON7 Muck     
    LARSON7 Win  12000.00  70780.00
    LARSON7 Return  6000.
    ------------------------------------------------------------
    shubling Small blind  1000.00 1000.00 44592.50
    LARSON7 Big blind  2000.00 3000.00 35055.00
      Your hole cards
    • 10
    • 9
         
    ACA Fold     
    COLEY1 Fold     
    strube Fold     
    greg1974 Call  2000.00 5000.00 31105.00
    shubling Call  1000.00 6000.00 43592.50
    LARSON7 Check     
    Flop
       
    • 8
    • J
    • Q
         
    shubling Bet  2000.00 8000.00 41592.50
    LARSON7 Raise  12000.00 20000.00 23055.00
    greg1974 Fold     
    shubling Fold     
    LARSON7 Muck
    -----------------------------------------
    ACA Small blind  1250.00 1250.00 103020.00
    strube Big blind  2500.00 3750.00 25180.00
      Your hole cards
    • 3
    • 4
         
    greg1974 Fold     
    LARSON7 Raise  5000.00 8750.00 48555.00
    ACA Fold     
    strube Call  2500.00 11250.00 22680.00
    Flop
       
    • 2
    • 9
    • A
         
    strube Check     
    LARSON7 Bet  4321.00 15571.00 44234.00
    strube Fold  
    ---------------------------------
  • edited February 2014
    I'm definitely betting turn for value, can get called by so many worse hands, and there are so few better hands (I struggle to think of any) that would check the turn after raising the flop, you also just give a free card to all is draws.

    Agree with Gazza that as played I prob raise to about £9
  • edited February 2014
    when he has chosen to check the turn it does appear strange, the hand range i would be thinking he has got on the turn is AJ  and decided to check as AK KQ AQ and Kj have all now gone ahead or he himself had a straight and was playing it like a Ch/raise, i would have gone for a bet of about £2.50 then fold if he raised it.

    As for the action on the river as it has been played, you get the feeling he is  highly likely to fold his AJ if you were to make the raise, the likelyhood is your just going to be called by AQ sets or trips, you yourself could just as easily be holding KQ or AK for all he knows so the chances are he will call his straight.
  • edited February 2014
    In Response to Re: Thoughts on this hand, what would you raise the river?:
    when he has chosen to check the turn it does appear strange, the hand range i would be thinking he has got on the turn is AJ  and decided to check as AK KQ AQ and Kj have all now gone ahead or he himself had a straight and was playing it like a Ch/raise, i would have gone for a bet of about £2.50 then fold if he raised it. As for the action on the river as it has been played, you get the feeling he is  highly likely to fold his AJ if you were to make the raise, the likelyhood is your just going to be called by AQ sets or trips, you yourself could just as easily be holding KQ or AK for all he knows so the chances are he will call his straight.
    Posted by craigcu12
    That's good cos we've got the stone nuts
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