You need to be logged in to your Sky Poker account above to post discussions and comments.

You might need to refresh your page afterwards.

Sky Poker forums will be temporarily unavailable from 11pm Wednesday July 25th.
Sky Poker Forums is upgrading its look! Stay tuned for the big reveal!

SKY RNG Question

edited March 2014 in Poker Chat
Lets chat. Pls discuss!! *post should not be moved imo as this is a poker chat tread*

Without boring people with percentiles, the probablity of a board pairing should be something like ~1 in every 5 boards.  

IMO at SKY it is much > than this.  This gives an edge to the astute player, ie some hands go up in value on paired boards and some go down. 

Is it just me that feels like this????? pls post in thread if you vote

Comments

  • edited March 2014
    When you look for patterns you will eventually see what you want to see. And remember, its 13 cards x FOUR so the chances of paired boards is actually not that high.
  • edited March 2014
    1 in 5 chance of a paired board? lol.
  • edited March 2014
    i don't care and don't agree... so i've abstained.
  • edited March 2014
    Hope he gets a stern pm about this OP
  • edited March 2014
    The probability that the board will pair on the flop is the inverse of the probability that it won’t pair, i.e. that the second card will be different from the first, and the third card will be different from the first and second.

    After the first card has been turned up, there are 51 more unseen cards that might be dealt (pocket cards don’t count if you’re an observer who can’t tell what anyone’s hole cards are). Three of those will make a pair, leaving 48 non-paired cards, so the probability that the second card will be different from the first is 48/51. The probably that the third will be different from the first and second is 44/50 because now we have to dodge six cards. The probability that both of these events will happen is the product of the individual probabilities, 48/51 * 44/50.

    Therefore, the probability that the flop will pair is 1 - (48/51 * 44/50), which is just over 17%.

    On the turn, the probabilities are 48/51, 44/50, and 40/49, which (following the same logic) gives about a 32% chance of pairing.

    And finally on the river, the probabilities are 48/51, 44/50, 40/49, and 36/48, which gives about a 49% chance of pairing.

    49% not 20% of the board pairing as you say
  • edited March 2014
    Hope he gets a stern pm about this OP
    Ha - I cnt help but give sky a rubdown given all these useless polls that are cluttering this forum. At least mine doesnt start with QOTH!!!!!  Also... looking forward to my inbox getting stern bused. 

    Nice post Cena. Yeh i was talking about flops only in my OP.. shame i used the word board tho!! 

    AIPF = 1-(52/52 x 48/51 x 44/50 x 40/49 x 36/48) = 1-0.50708 = 0.49292 = 49.29%
    PairedFlop = 1-(52/52 x 48/51 x 44/50) = 1-0.82824 = .17176 = 17.18%
    !PairedFloptoTurn =  1- (40/49) = 18.37%
    !PairedTurntoRiver 1-(40/49 x 36/48) = 1-0.61224 = 0.38776 = 33.78%
    TurnToWiver = 12/48 = 25%

    Even so... all that Z.  

    The Sky board still pairs more often than it actually should as above.  I do hope some hyper turbo hu volume grinders show up in this tred.  Else I might have to post a link to some hands.  MEeeeh 

  • edited March 2014
    In Response to Re: SKY RNG Question:
    Ha - I cnt help but give sky a rubdown given all these useless polls that are cluttering this forum. At least mine doesnt start with QOTH!!!!!  Also... looking forward to my inbox getting stern bused.  Nice post Cena. Yeh i was talking about flops only in my OP.. shame i used the word board tho!!  AIPF = 1-(52/52 x 48/51 x 44/50 x 40/49 x 36/48) = 1-0.50708 = 0.49292 = 49.29% PairedFlop = 1-(52/52 x 48/51 x 44/50) = 1-0.82824 = .17176 = 17.18% ! PairedFloptoTurn =  1- (40/49) = 18.37% ! PairedTurntoRiver 1-(40/49 x 36/48) = 1-0.61224 = 0.38776 = 33.78% TurnToWiver = 12/48 = 25% Even so... all that Z.   The Sky board still pairs more often than it actually should as above.  I do hope some hyper turbo hu volume grinders show up in this tred.  Else I might have to post a link to some hands.  MEeeeh 
    Posted by TPTP123
    Not interested in web browser debates and in running coffee counts then?

  • edited March 2014
    Confirmed not a fan. Would rather survey florescent charity workers on survey dodging counter strategy techniques. Could this pls be QOTD poll for Thursday please? ?
  • edited March 2014
    In Response to SKY RNG Question:
    Lets chat. Pls discuss!! *post should not be moved imo as this is a poker chat tread* Without boring people with percentiles, t he probablity of a board pairing should be something like ~1 in every 5 boards.   IMO at SKY it is much /> than this.   This gives an edge to the astute player, ie some hands go up in value on paired boards and some go down.  Is it just me that feels like this????? pls post in thread if you vote
    Posted by TPTP123
    personally I think there's a bigger issue with how many pairs are dealt to players, just played a sng and out of the 66 hands I was dealt 7 were pocket pairs. I'd be interested to know if those figures tie up with the odds of being dealt a pp cus it seems a lot to me and seemed not many hands were dealt where someone at the table did't have one....   
  • edited March 2014

    Guys - closing this thread.

    A reminder of this forum rule, we do not allow..
     .
    "Comments that can be construed to question Sky Poker's integrity, game fairness, security or random number generation". This falls firmly under that.

    Thanks
    Sky Poker
Sign In or Register to comment.