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bet sizing when hitting set OTT after doing a check OTF
On this occasion i didn't actually do the raise preflop but as played i thought i had raised preflop and it was very much like the way i would have played it if i were the aggressor preflop.
The player who made the bet on the turn is a well known reg and i think we both know each others game well, when i checked the flop, he would see that as a clear sign the flop doesn't have any use for me. When he does the bet on the turn i'm certain he will put me on either 10 9, 88 or slowplayed a top set, even two pair i'm thinking will fold a raise of the wrong size, because the card is too much like a brick.
jack100 | Small blind | | £0.10 | £0.10 | £19.50 |
reg | Big blind | | £0.20 | £0.30 | £24.96 |
gmarsh | Sit out | | | | |
| Your hole cards | | | | |
a | Raise | | £0.60 | £0.90 | £44.08 |
craigcu12 | Call | | £0.60 | £1.50 | £22.51 |
XHOTLIPSX | Fold | | | | |
jack100 | Fold | | | | |
reg | Call | | £0.40 | £1.90 | £24.56 |
Flop |
---|
| | | | | |
reg | Check | | | | |
a | Check | | | | |
craigcu12 | Check | | | | |
Turn |
---|
| | | | | |
reg
| Bet | | £1.43 | £3.33 | £23.13 |
a | Fold | | | | |
craigcu12 | ? |
Q. what size should the raise be that will allow two pairs and flush draws the odds to call or should i just call the turn to allow the bluffs to continue?
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Comments
In general, against a good reg, I think you get more value by flatting the turn and allowing them to bluff/value bet worse on the river. The problem is as played when you raise this turn you are essentially never bluffing. Zero bluffs make any sense and a good reg will know this.
Considering this is 20nl however, you may be better off just raising here against anyone as I'm not really aware of the standard at these levels. Anywhere between 4-4.50 is fine.
Depends really on how you perceive the villain.