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anything no limit - Jakes Diary

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  • jakerobsonjakerobson
    edited July 2014
    totally agree with your logic here craig mate, shame you didn't bink it.
    just had a hand there
    60bb jj in big blind
    utg opens to 2x
    then someone who has 50bb open shoves
    after seeing him hero call me earlier and then getting it in with a marginal hand and overplaying it do we think its a call?
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  • jakerobsonjakerobson
    edited July 2014
    thought i'd give this sky poker cup a go since i used to play a bit of heads up, so far im 6/7-3 i think and all three loses could of been avoided, 2 were blow ups from a tournie and the other i might as well of handed larson my 5.25.
    hopefully cut the shiiiit tilt out my system and mantain around a 70-75% win rate to be in with a chance, what are peoples thoughts on what the win rate needed to make the 16?
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  • jimb0d1jimb0d1
    edited July 2014
    Going to need to run very well. 70 percent is a good score to aim for. Table selection vital and hope get a few rematches from a stubborn inexperienced player. I suck at hu but imagine most regs will have a go at this.
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  • shakinacesshakinaces
    edited July 2014
    In Response to Re: anything no limit - Jakes Diary:
    Sat down to play cash and this drunk Chinese kid sits down and instantly makes it 23x UTG. After a couple of giggles we all pass and he shows Q9s. Bravo, vwp. Next orbit he ships £200 after a 5x open and two calls. I have £90 and ATo. I know i'm ahead of his range so I call off. He has 92o. Board runs out 2QQ2T and he takes it and celebrates like he's just won The World Cup (topical). I knew the risk but was happy to do it, and in a cash situation i'd do it every time, but in tournaments v manicas I would only take the risk if it didn't cr1pple me, and I had enough chips to grind my stack back up.
    Posted by cjy
    That's brilliant, more of us need to be leaving the laptop at home and getting down to the casino!

    GL with the diary / HU games Jake.  I'd guess anything north of 75% would make the final 16, but even ignoring skill, over a relatively small sample it's going to take a lot of run good, so be lucky!!
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  • jordz16jordz16
    edited July 2014
    I would be very surprised if anyone gets near 75%??? im sure 30% Av ROI will be enough to comfortably make the top 16
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  • shakinacesshakinaces
    edited July 2014
    Over a small sample of only 50 SNG, would you not expect a handful of people to go on an upswing and win 75% or so of their games?

    Just figured that you'd need to win comfortably upwards of 30/50 (60%) to be in with any chance... may be way off though, I do have a tendency to over-estimate the ability of others!
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  • jordz16jordz16
    edited July 2014
    In Response to Re: anything no limit - Jakes Diary:
    Over a small sample of only 50 SNG, would you not expect a handful of people to go on an upswing and win 75% or so of their games? Just figured that you'd need to win comfortably upwards of 30/50 (60%) to be in with any chance... may be way off though, I do have a tendency to over-estimate the ability of others!
    Posted by shakinaces

    The tournament is based on average ROI not on win percentage. I would say 35/50 would be about right to make it which would give you an average roi of around 20%
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  • jakerobsonjakerobson
    edited July 2014
    ahh i thought it was win rate jordz? defo giving it a good go and hopefully end up in profit. also got a few days off work to smash some tournies during the day. Treat myself to an ipad with the winnings hopefully the tournies get added to it sooner
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  • jakerobsonjakerobson
    edited July 2014
    only lost one tonight so up to 13-4, lets hope this continues
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  • jakerobsonjakerobson
    edited July 2014
    Manage to finish the night on 17-4 might start playing slower structure ones or keep playing turbos ?????
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