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were these just too big a risk for me to continue?

edited September 2014 in The Poker Clinic
it might sound results orientated but in all honesty i'm thinking i have no one but myself to blame.

what i'm thinking is, do i need to start showing respect to these people. if they make limps preflop i can be assured they'll be playing a fit fold style of play,the strength of there hand might vary as some will do it with top pair and over pairs, others might need sets or will just min raise, the truth is they all need something very little if any real bets will be done with hands such as draws or TP Wkik
mmmchips Small blind   200.00 200.00 4870.00
acky1985 Big blind   400.00 600.00 23419.00
  Your hole cards
  • Q
  • A
     
MattH23 Fold        
Jamezh Fold        
craigcu12 Raise   800.00 1400.00 11345.00
mmmchips Fold        
acky1985 Call   400.00 1800.00 23019.00
Flop
   
  • 9
  • 10
  • 10
     
acky1985 Check        
craigcu12 Bet   800.00 2600.00 10545.00
acky1985 Raise   2500.00 5100.00 20519.00
craigcu12 Call   1700.00 6800.00 8845.00
Turn
   
  • A
     
acky1985 Bet   5100.00 11900.00 15419.00
craigcu12 All-in   8845.00 20745.00 0.00
acky1985 Call   3745.00 24490.00 11674.00
acky1985 Show
  • Q
  • 10
     
craigcu12 Show
  • Q
  • A
     
River
   
  • 10
     
acky1985 Win Four 10s 24490.00   36164.00

Comments

  • edited September 2014
    Q. knowing i'm now already drawing very thin against some hands and have very few cards which can give me improvement do i need to start giving up them and put more effort with hands like these?
    julesnoott Small blind   300.00 300.00 17328.00
    MAXALLY Big blind   600.00 900.00 18632.50
      Your hole cards
    • 10
    • 8
         
    pokerkid19 Raise   1800.00 2700.00 10610.00
    jayrob93 Fold        
    d Call   1800.00 4500.00 13784.00
    craigcu12 Call   1800.00 6300.00 17185.00
    julesnoott Fold        
    MAXALLY Fold        
    Flop
       
    • 2
    • 5
    • Q
         
    pokerkid19 Check        
    d Bet   3000.00 9300.00 10784.00
    craigcu12 Call   3000.00 12300.00 14185.00
    pokerkid19 Fold        
    Turn
       
    • J
         
    d Bet   5400.00 17700.00 5384.00
    craigcu12 All-in   14185.00 31885.00 0.00
    d Fold        
    craigcu12 Muck        
    craigcu12 Win   23100.00   23100.00
    craigcu12 Return   8785.00 0.00 31885.00
    CVH Small blind   75.00 75.00 9837.50
    conron2 Big blind   150.00 225.00 2995.00
      Your hole cards
    • 6
    • J
         
    f Call   150.00 375.00 8025.00
    SCHOF78 Fold        
    craigcu12 Raise   450.00 825.00 5555.00
    Bawfizzle Fold        
    CVH Fold        
    conron2 Fold        
    f Call   300.00 1125.00 7725.00
    Flop
       
    • 6
    • J
    • 5
         
    f Check        
    craigcu12 Bet   450.00 1575.00 5105.00
    f All-in   7725.00 9300.00 0.00
    craigcu12 All-in   5105.00 14405.00 0.00
    f Unmatched bet   2170.00 12235.00 2170.00
    f Show
    • K
    • K
         
    craigcu12 Show
    • 6
    • J
         
    Turn
       
    • 8
         
    River
       
    • 7
         
    craigcu12 Win Two Pairs, Jacks and 6s 12235.00   12235.00
    craigcu12 Small blind   50.00 50.00 3682.50
    Bawfizzle Big blind   100.00 150.00 2105.00
      Your hole cards
    • Q
    • 2
         
      Call   100.00 250.00 3335.00
    conron2 Call   100.00 350.00 4270.00
    spam600 Fold        
    twitch64 Fold        
    craigcu12 Call   50.00 400.00 3632.50
    Bawfizzle Check        
    Flop
       
    • 4
    • 10
    • Q
         
    craigcu12 Check        
    Bawfizzle Check        
      Bet   100.00 500.00 3235.00
    conron2 Call   100.00 600.00 4170.00
    craigcu12 Raise   450.00 1050.00 3182.50
    Bawfizzle Fold        
      All-in   3235.00 4285.00 0.00
    conron2 Fold        
    craigcu12 Call   2885.00 7170.00 297.50
    craigcu12 Show
    • Q
    • 2
         
      Show
    • A
    • A
         
    Turn
       
    • 2
         
    River
       
    • K
         
    craigcu12 Win Two Pairs, Queens and 2s 7170.00   7467.50
  • edited September 2014
    First hand seems like a flop i'd check behind Craig vs villains range here.

    Everything else seems fine but J6s is an optimistic iso raise

  • edited September 2014
    Hand 1 - easy fold on flop IMO, prob never an airball, mostly gonna be value hands and even if its the odd draw like QJ, we miss turn tons and either just c/f a chunk of our stack away or hero with A high.

    Hand 2 - shove or fold flop IM. Don't peel pre if you ain't gonna like flops like this.

    Hand 3 - fold pre IMO, as played snap flop shove.

    Hand 4 - fold pre again, as played think we gotta call it off here deffo

     
  • edited September 2014
    In Response to were these just too big a risk for me to continue?:
    it might sound results orientated but in all honesty i'm thinking i have no one but myself to blame. what i'm thinking is, do i need to start showing respect to these people. if they make limps preflop i can be assured they'll be playing a fit fold style of play,the strength of there hand might vary as some will do it with top pair and over pairs, others might need sets or will just min raise, the truth is they all need something very little if any real bets will be done with hands such as draws or TP Wkik mmmchips Small blind   200.00 200.00 4870.00 acky1985 Big blind   400.00 600.00 23419.00   Your hole cards Q A       MattH23 Fold         Jamezh Fold         craigcu12 Raise   800.00 1400.00 11345.00 mmmchips Fold         acky1985 Call   400.00 1800.00 23019.00 Flop     9 10 10       acky1985 Check         craigcu12 Bet   800.00 2600.00 10545.00 acky1985 Raise   2500.00 5100.00 20519.00 craigcu12 Call   1700.00 6800.00 8845.00 Turn     A       acky1985 Bet   5100.00 11900.00 15419.00 craigcu12 All-in   8845.00 20745.00 0.00 acky1985 Call   3745.00 24490.00 11674.00 acky1985 Show Q 10       craigcu12 Show Q A       River     10       acky1985 Win Four 10s 24490.00   36164.00
    Posted by craigcu12

    It's not about respect it's about assigning ranges and reading boards and acting accordingly. What range did you put your oppo on? Why are you turning AQ into a bluff by going all in?

  • edited September 2014
    In Response to Re: were these just too big a risk for me to continue?:
    In Response to were these just too big a risk for me to continue? : It's not about respect it's about assigning ranges and reading boards and acting accordingly. What range did you put your oppo on? Why are you turning AQ into a bluff by going all in?
    Posted by MattBates
    i think that was another of them decisions where i was over valuing a hand.

    i did a foolish shove here in the early stages of the main.
    gavpidge Small blind   30.00 30.00 3315.00
    benc Big blind   60.00 90.00 2045.00
      Your hole cards
    • A
    • 10
         
    ra1d Fold        
    craigcu12 Raise   150.00 240.00 5330.00
    LFB Fold        
    passive Call   150.00 390.00 1685.00
    gavpidge Fold        
    benc Fold        
    Flop
       
    • 2
    • 9
    • 10
         
    craigcu12 Bet   240.00 630.00 5090.00
    passive Raise   675.00 1305.00 1010.00
    craigcu12 Call   435.00 1740.00 4655.00
    Turn
       
    • 7
         
    craigcu12 Check        
    passive Check        
    River
       
    • 2
         
    craigcu12 All-in   4655.00 6395.00 0.00
    passive All-in   1010.00 7405.00 0.00
    craigcu12 Unmatched bet   3645.00 3760.00 3645.00
    craigcu12 Show
    • A
    • 10
         
    passive Show
    • 7
    • 7
         
    passive Win Full House, 7s and 2s 3760.00   3760.00
    after having some time to think things through. here are my own thoughts.

    H1. i should have just checked the flop and called the turn although i am thinking that too would have lost me the whole stack as he would have almost certainly shoved his whole stack on the river. having cbet it i now certainly should have just folded.

    H2 true i should be shipping it all if i'm going to call and again most days these people won't have flush draws.

    H3 i do play these hands when i'm on the button, i think the fact button stack was 2700 got me more happy to raise, it's the sense that they will limp in hands such as 96o that gets me insisting on doing a raise with J6o.

    H4 what i thought about was they min bet and non are aggressive, if it didn't come a flush draw i would most times fold and just called if it wasn't Q+ flush draw.

    H5 i should have just folded the flop, but again my own fault.
  • edited September 2014
    I don't think you've over-valued it at all really. I think you should fold the flop, but once you call I assume it's because we must think he can have semi bluffs/draws, maybe airballs, maybe 9x... i.e. hands where you think hitting either of your overs will be good. If that's the case it's the nut turn card. If that's not the case, fold the flop.

    EDITED ^^

    I don't think the river shove with AT is foolish at all, more results orientated thinking imo cos he happens to have a set, it's completely standard given the size of the pot assuming you've called the flop because he has worse value hands. Fwiw, I 100% would not tag a player as being passive when they raise T92r with 77!!!

    Most important thing is what MattBates said that it's not about respect it's about putting people on a range. You don't seem to do it at all or if you do, you don't mention it in your HHs.

    If you just look at that main event hand with AT as an example. Obv you have to be rough with your ranges at first and as you get to know them you can add/remove certains parts of people's ranges based on their action. As I'm readless...

    All he's done pre is flat a 2.5x open on the BTN so range is vvv wide. We'll assume he 3bets hands like JJ+ and AK so remove them (notes on a player might let us know they sometimes don't 3bet monsters), so he has like 22-TT, probably all 'pretty' hands like 67s+ 68s+, probably all suited Ax, and lots of broadway/big cards like AJ/KT/K9/JT/QJ etc etc.

    Then he raises T92r flop.... ok well I'm not expecting complete airballs readless so we can instantly wipe out most of his range. 22, 99, TT, T9, QJ, 78, J8. I'd assume they're not raising 33-88 (but are calling) and likewise not raising but will call with stuff like A9/KT/QT/JT/AT.

    Now against that estimated flop range, do you think you should call the flop raise? Do you know how to decide whether you should call or not?

    ===============================================================

    I don't mind opening J6s on the BTN at all, but we're not opening it, we're iso'ing with it which changes everything. Every single action changes a hand, the ranges involved etc etc. I just don't think it's a very good hand to iso with, we want hands that dominate them tons. Yes we dominate some like 96o, but we're up against J7/J8/J9/JT/QJ, probably Q6/K6/A6 just as often which have us in terrible shape. Also against the type of player I'd imagine they are, we wanna iso with hands that have the best chances of making TP so we can just valuetown them.... we don't have TP with a 6 like ever,  and not even that often with Jx.
  • edited September 2014

    The point the AQ hand was overvalued was on the flop. If we're putting him on a draw (only reason I can see for calling flop raise) we may as well shove turn for value when opponents pretty well committed with JQ/J8/78 type hands, don't mind if he folds these hands either, wins us more chips surely than calling to keep in bluffs. Damage had been done by that point though.

    Other hands look alright. Almost all your chips went in with really good equity. That's always good.

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