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Neil Channing knows his stuff........
Thanks again to SKY AMBassador Neil Channing
Listened to his advice and managed to apply it in a £100 b/h £5.75 buy in
Won the tourney and £49 in bounties
Now sitting at £170 from £20
Yehaw
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Andy, stop Yehawwing, & explain in detail pls!!
Thanks Mate, lol
Suppose you sit down with the £10 and you GII with aces as a 80% fave. You keep GII with aces and double your stake each time if you win. The chance of winning once is 80%. Twice is 64%. Three times is 51.2%. Four times is 41%. So the chance you'll turn the £10 into £160 is 41%. That's pretty good although isn't a realistic scenario. (more likely the most edge you'll have is 55-60% at best if you are really good) If we continue with it you could get to £2560 but you'd only have a 17% chance of achieving that.
If we go with a 60% chance to double up each time then the likelyhood of reaching £2560 would be 1%. In short, if you keep trying trying to double up and don't have a stopping point eventually you will go bust.
If that's how you like to play then that's great but at least have some sort of stopping point. eg. If I make £500 I'm going to withdraw that and start again with just £10.
If, however you want to take poker more seriously and play without the risk of going bust then you need to adopt some bankroll management. (BRM) BRM is applied in all aspects of business and should be applied to poker too. If you are a winning player and have solid BRM you are never going to bust your roll (unless you break that BRM and go on tilt!!) - but you'll also be less likely to go on tilt anyway.
BRM can be simplified to say it's the % of money you risk at one time or it's the amount of Buyins you have for a particular cash game level. To determine what BRM you should have depends on quite a few things. Firstly: How important is the money to you? If you have a full time job and just play poker for fun then you can consider as low as a 20BI rule. That means if you have £200 you'd want to be sitting at 10NL (£10x20 = 200) If your BR drops to just 15BI's then you should probably move down a level till you can move back up (this might not be necessary at 10NL so much if the £200 isn't important to you but suppose you reached £2k and a more significant amount of money where you would be playing 100NL it would be a lot more important to move down a level if you dropped to just £1.5k.
This might be good for you because it still allows you to quickly spin up your money but it has more chance of succeeding. Even so you might still want a point where you decide to withdraw X amount and move down a level. It's very easy to drop 5 BI's in a session so you would have to be prepared for a lot of swings with your bankroll But it can be a lot of fun - I've played like this in the past so know from experience
If you want to take poker slightly more seriously than this and have even a less chance of going bust then a 50-60BI rule should be used (However, at the lower stakes levels. eg. 10NL, you can again consider just 20-30BI's. And 20NL maybe just 40BIs. So say you have £200 then you can start at 10NL but I'd only move up to 20NL if I reached £800. If you see what's a good table at 20NL and have say doubled your initial £200 then it might be worth it to take a shot and dabble at 20NL but know when to quit and move back down if you lose a couple BI's!
And if you want to pursue poker full time or just have a very little % chance of busts and big swings then you want at least 100BI's for your level. (and up to 200/250 at most) - Right now for example I'm playing poker full time and play anywhere between 20NL and 50NL and have almost 200BI's for 50NL, 270BI's for 30NL and way more than enough for 20NL!!