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Late stages of a £1k bounty hunter. Already in the cash, 8 players remain, blinds 500/1000. I am in 2nd place with c40k chips. I am UTG with JJ, SB is short stack (c8k chips), chip leader is on button with 60k+ chips. I bet 4000, trying to entice SB with any 2. SB goes all in, BB folds and chip leader raised to 15k. My thinking focused on chip leader, he could have over pair or over cards, but could have been trying to steal with under pair or other marginal hand, which was my conclusion. I bet all in hoping he would fold realising that if he didn't I could be up against as many as 3 over cards, meaning I would be a 2 to 1 dog. SB showed AQ and chip leader showed AK. There was an ace on flop and I went out in 7th with a profit of almost £40. BUT DID I MAKE THE RIIGHT MOVE?
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Comments
JJ vs AK is pretty standard stuff in the later stages of a tournament, however there are wider implications to consider. If you were shorter stacked I think the hand plays itself, but being 2nd, and with a potential immediate ladder, plus being so close to the FT, makes me lean towards not being super gung ho pre. 40bb is chunks to play with at this late stage.
Dollie, have you got the HH available? Be nice to see how it panned out exactly. Any reads on the chip leader? If you think he's never folding a pair pre flop with 2 potential bounties up for grabs then pile the chips in with JJ, or have they been playing a big stack pretty well? Even a big chip leader might not want to dance with the guy in 2nd with anything less than JJ....
My approach is simpler:-you made the right move, full stop.
Another factor is that there's a bounty involved and while I don't generally go nuts for bounties, other people do, so he could very easily just be 4betting to 15k to get you out the hand and have a punt for the bounty so his range is super wide, I've seen people iso for huge amounts of BBs with everything from A2o to K5o, to 96o, so I'm deffo never folding. I wouldn't normally recommend getting in 40bb pre w/ JJ against most people oon Sky but the 4x open has meant we have to now.
I know it's extreme, but if they've picked up say half the bounties in the tournament (before hitting a car crash and ending up short stacked) then it could potentially be worth more to KO them than it is to ladder several places, maybe even more than you'd get FTW?
Could understand on a low raggy 2 4 6 board or w/e, cos you don't give him the chance to realise his equity if he has 2 overs to JJ (and the pot is already pretty sizeable to scoop, plus the head prize), and you also might get called by 88-10s sometimes.
You also get snapped by anything that beats you as well though!
ITM starts at something like £32, and the jumps for the first 15 places, give or take, can be a matter of a couple of quid. Yet people's bounties by that time can be quite chunky.
It does amuse me when people just ruin their tournament by chasing head prizes, but there is a need for some calculated gambling in certain spots.
For me the situation you describe is while you're hand is premium you are not nutted. Your actions were based on the fact you wanted to get SB to do what he did. You did what you thought was right thing but then interpret Real Strength of Raise a shove from SB and re-raise from CL. Are jacks good here can you fold? These are unknowns that are hard to quantify in real time and now today. Reads are all well and good but if you have come this far can you really raise and fold jacks on a final table with a short stack involved. One way to look at it is you are now the meat in the in CL and short stack sandwich but only because you know the hands. I don't think you did much wrong apart from anticipate the possibility of CL's move. Once you saw this you know think were my motives right or wrong and know there is doubt. If you thought I am going with this regardless of sb shove and CL involvement steal or strength then you played the hand the right way end of.
Going with a good hand and going out and questioning it can be interpreted as results orientated and that is not you're aim here. You had a good hand good enough to take the SB and also the CL. 1) you were the favourite 2) you had the best hand and 3) you get the money all in. 4) You didn't win. But 3 out of 4 aint bad If you look at it that way you cannot complain you did everything you were supposed to. Result is immaterial. Looking at it that way may help you.
Cheers
Danny
And we've lost 4k, but hey ho