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55BH - Early Stages, Turned FD

edited December 2015 in Tournament Strategy
Villian is unknown to me.

What do we think of A) raising the turn and B) my sizing

Do we barrel river now 7 has paired, if so, how big?
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
bearlyther Small blind  15.00 15.00 4865.00
Collabo Big blind  30.00 45.00 4685.00
  Your hole cards
  • J
  • A
     
TheAlly Fold     
SoLack Fold     
Raise  120.00 165.00 5720.00
Lambert180 Call  120.00 285.00 4640.00
bearlyther Fold     
Collabo Fold     
Flop
   
  • 7
  • 9
  • Q
     
Bet  90.00 375.00 5630.00
Lambert180 Call  90.00 465.00 4550.00
Turn
   
  • 3
     
Bet  270.00 735.00 5360.00
Lambert180 Raise  690.00 1425.00 3860.00
Call  420.00 1845.00 4940.00
River
   
  • 7
     
Check    

Comments

  • edited December 2015
    I think I'd be tempted to check back river and hope he has some kind of missed draw we beat like JT. I don't think he ever folds a queen here and hard for him to have too many 9x. 
    I think I would go a bit bigger on the turn- i do like the raise though. I would expect a queen to cbet bigger on the flop in general so i think making it 800/850 would fold him off a lot of hands if we assume he passes 9x to this size. Also If we make it a size we don't think a nine can call then there's less reason to follow through with bluffs on the river if we think most of his value range is qx+ by then. Also think the 7 is just a bad card to barrel, if he thinks he is ahead on the turn this river doesnt change anything
  • edited December 2015
    hi lambert
    to me pre bet 120 and then down to 90 post flop shows weakness. so at best he got second pair or low pockets44 ,55,maybe a raise here,post flop x3 would make your turn raise more believable.it is a good spot to go all aggro
    Sizing is good,if u continue bluff u got to bet1500 atleast to get it through any less second pair might call.
    in saying this its a bounty hunter and u can get called by  ace high by some players...lol.all the best lambert
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