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Beware of the Dog........
....bloke. Last Sunday's Summer Series Main Event, we saw what happens when a good player is playing his A game, & hitting cards.
I did a little research before this was recorded, & all 6 players were showing a healthy, double digit % profit on Sky Poker.
Watch & weep.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ipHaqGS0c08&feature=youtu.be
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Comments
I still can't decide if it was a great fold or a terrible fold. Bear in mind just because he was right to fold on this occasion, it does not necessarily make it a good fold.
For those who have not seen it, "kickastink" called for a gutshot on the turn on a paired board, hit his gutterball on the river & somehow folded. Villain had the boat.
Not much about the hand made much sense to me, but as you say, these boys play to a different level than we do.
yes, folding there is well within my game. its called misclicking.
to me, it was a good fold. it was good anything really. but there was another factor which hasn't been mentioned that may have played a part. the main mini jackpot. he was final tabling both, eventually finishing 3rd and 4th for a £250 bonus. laddering becomes important towards the £5,000 jackpot bonus. maybe this tilted him in favour of a fold. or a misclick.
well played whatever.
Hats tipped to Enut and FeelGroggy who most closely encapsulated my thought process though, and have saved me some typing. It might not have been the best plan but I was being greedy and planned to collect a 'stab' from Chicknmelt before trying to nick the pot with a river lead, or catch a pair and re-evaluate were he to bet.
On the turn I'm not exactly thrilled when he fires again, but now beat bluffs, the most legitimate hands being KJcc QTcc and so on.
I feel it would be unwise to empower a reg by outlining *precisely* how I perceive his range street-by-street (!) or how I think he perceives mine. That said, I've got a fair amount of playing history with Chicknmelt (including on other poker sites) and on the river I just had a very strong read he was jamming for value, not as a bluff.
I'm not saying Chicknmelt would NEVER bluff that river, but I was only playing about three tables at the time, so was pretty zoned in, I'd been playing poker since 4:30pm on Sunday and felt my instincts were good. As Darkangel7 said "gut"... game flow... final table dynamics... call it what you like.
Actually as the river card came down, I immediately thought "I really don't want him to jam this card". He has very little 8x 6x in his range and I didn't think he would value-jam as thin as AA/KK (which he could conceivably have slowplayed preflop) when I definitely do have some trips+ in my own range. Sometimes you can sense a bluff coming before your opponent has even consciously decided to pull the trigger, but I just wasn't expecting him to fire three with air on this occasion.
You will notice I only used about 1/3 of my time on the river—I was that certain I was beaten. I didn't want to start levelling myself into a bad call; I just decided to go with my first instinct.
As for the notion I was "laddering", hehe if only you could see some of the stacks I've spewed off making over-optimistic hero calls deep in big games!!
Besides, surely the final table jackpot has the *opposite* effect of encouraging laddering? The maximum jackpot (£5k for the double-win) pays 2X the prize for a 1st+2nd, essentially making these tournaments even more top-heavy for any player in contention.
A fun hand. Thanks Phil / Darkangel7 for drawing my attention to this thread.
^^^^
Fascinating, & clearly a great fold. Thanks for explaining the thought process.
Some days I am SO glad I quit playing NLH, you boys are different gravy.
kicka was a near miss in last night jackpot too. pretty good, huh.