Sick Spot -
Having attracted some trash talking I thought I would share this hand with you all.
Been playing 15mins on this table and kinda had a read on this player who had been betting a fair bit in a variety of spots.
a 3x raise began the action which I called with my K10 OS.. The villan then pumps in a raise - 50p into a 30p pot.
Mulled over was considering a fold, but actually clicked "CALL"
Flop is J 6 4, all diamond.
I've already got 1x diamond in hand so I'm now 4 cards to the flush with two cards still to deal, two opportunities to hit with a 1-in-4 chance (in my oppion - i will elaborate more later) both times.
Villan AGAIN pots it. I'm definately comitted at this stage so I call - Here though it could be that the villan has a flush or is set minding u but with the view (perhaps a bit of a dangerous one) I decided to continue
Turn is a brick - 7SP
The player goes all in for his remaining 1.38 into a 3.60 pot
Once again I call - IF I miss I know that I'm going to be my £2 buy-in plus 70-odd pence profit, but with a one in four chance - i'm going for it, as I've ran well tonight.
The Villan Turns over 1pr - KINGS, which he started with as his holecards - the board HASNT paired so best he can make now is 2prs, with myself looking at a flush
The river is the card I need, another diamond, completing my flush, King High.
He outchipped me so got 20p back but after this hand he unleashed a tirade calling me a donkey and a bingo player.
I felt I had a good read on what he had done previously and what with the cards in the middle, OK I was risking encountering a flush of my opponent - which is where the play was a very dangerous one, but as there wasnt any connecting cards I feel my play here was right.
PERCENTAGES
Another "ROW" I had in the chat before the villan left the table was about percentages - he "Claims" I had barely a 17% chance of hitting the winning card I needed. I disagreed.
I had two opportunities to hit one of the cards I needed to complete my flush, and as I hit it on the river, I said it was a one in four chance, based around the fact that there are indeed four suits - heart-club-diamond-spade - yet he is insistant that it was just 17%
WHOM is correct here?
Comments
I would say personally it doesn't look like we need to be involved here and would be folding.
Hendrik is pretty accurate with the way of working out the odds. This method was devised by Phil Gordon in his "Little Green Book". While the method is not exact, it is close enough to make these approximations.
The problem I would suggest is that we do not know if the diamonds are our outs (if our opponent has the Ad which seems entirely plausible). Even if diamonds are live, our opponent may have a set which means the 7d wouldn't help us. The way the hand is played it is hard to know if we have 'clean outs' which makes matters rather difficult. In the long run I wouldn't be counting the diamonds as full outs in this situation.
As for the player berating you...
Just let it go in 1 ear and out the other! They are your cards, it is your cash, and you can do with that whatever you want!
You will meet really nice people at the tables and you will encounter some real nasty sorts. Forget the nasty ones and enjoy your poker.
Good luck for the future!