Hi all.
A year or so back I used to watch all the replays of every flat race on mainland Britain A/W and Turf and enter unlucky horses into "My Stable" and also horses I felt won with more in hand than perhaps was realised.
By entering them into "My Stable" I got an email every time they were next due to run.
I would then look at the race card and put into context my thoughts on it's previous run, compared with the task at hand. If I thought it's odds were +ev, I'd back it.
In the end I stopped doing it, as despite showing a reasonable profit, I just couldn't give it the time it needed without reducing my poker schedule more than I was prepared to do.
So I have a suggestion, why don't we share the workload as follows:
1) Have a group of us that look at the replays of one meeting each, each day.
2) Any horses that we feel fit into the "to watch" category we put into our own respective "MY STABLES"
3) When any of us receive an email regarding our respective selections, we individually look at the upcoming race card.
4) If we feel it is a +ev bet we post on this thread, the name of the horse and the time and meeting, along with a link to the Video footage that caused us to put it in "My Stable" anyway.
5) People can then watch the replay themselves and decide if it warrants backing. People will be responsible for their own bets.
6) We have enough work with NAP's and REMOVER league tables etc, so there will be no league tables for this, just a way of hopefully creating some +ev situations for each other.
Having done a process like this myself before I would offer the following advice.
1) Try and look for REALLY UNLUCKY horses or horses that you feel have WAY MORE in hand than their run suggests.
2) Don't select too many, you get 100 max selections, and they can fill up quickly. It's a QUALITY not QUANTITY exercise. If you are adding more than one a day on average, it's probably too much.
3) Only post on this thread if you receive the email from Sporting Life AND have looked at the race card and consider it to be +ev. I would suggest about 25% of your selections should go from email to posting on the thread, if it's much more than that, then quality can start to suffer.
4) Always post the link to the video footage with your comments of what to look out for, so that people can combine your advice with their own opinions.
If you would like to participate in this, please post here, you need to be prepared to "cover" one meeting in it's entirety each day, although in reality there will probably be plenty of days off, if we have enough of us doing it.
Regarding Royal Ascot, with so much going on in the big field races, plus the fact that we'll probably be watching with interest anyway, then I suggest we all cover Ascot and enter our own "HORSES TO FOLLOW" in our respective "MY STABLES"
Let me know if interested in pooling our resources together in this way, and we can then work out of way of assigning the meetings each day/week.
Cheers,
G
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Comments
I am not saying I would back it next time, but I'd take a 2nd look at it for sure. (Link below, video replay at the bottom)
https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/2017-06-16/york/432496/jigsaw-sports-branding-handicap
I also thought that "EARTHA KITT" won despite a poor start and showing inexperience and could be ahead of the handicapper.
Link below:
https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/2017-06-16/york/432497/ebf-breeders-series-fillies'-handicap
These are they types of horses I would enter into MY STABLE and then I would re-assess when notified of it running again.
When/if you feel that the handicapper has "caught up" with a horse, then it is best to remove it from "MY STABLE" to make room for others.
Cheers,
G
https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/my-stable/selections