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Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big

edited October 2010 in The Poker Clinic
Ok, so even before flop, Im thinking his range is tt, jj,qq, ak, but I also have a big hand, what do you do here.
Villain doesnt seem to be getting out of line but not played vs him much
BIGSHANN Small blind  £0.20 £0.20 £22.07
KB9_is_GOD Big blind  £0.40 £0.60 £10.78
OMahonyO Big blind  £0.40 £1.00 £59.10
  Your hole cards
  • K
  • K
     
robbie1985 Call  £0.40 £1.40 £1.20
westslay23 Raise  £2.00 £3.40 £40.97
OMahonyO Raise  £7.20 £10.60 £51.90
DIAGIO Fold     
BIGSHANN Fold     
KB9_is_GOD Fold     
robbie1985 All-in  £1.20 £11.80 £0.00
westslay23 Call  £5.60 £17.40 £35.37
Flop
   
  • Q
  • J
  • 10
     
westslay23 Check

Comments

  • edited October 2010
    dont be such a tight ar se, pay the man off hehe.
    i have to c bet here to get value from AQ, QK, 99.  If your rearly concerned its hit him in the face then check back the flop to keep the pot small.
    why dont you think villan can have a under pair or AQ, KQ?
    wont villan 4 bet pre with QQ, AK or JJ?
  • edited October 2010

    Nowt to do with the hand, but if u think he cud have AK/TT/JJ/QQ, as the most likely holdings, but he may have AQ/KQ or 99.......do you still bet?

    What Im asking is if he has 7 possible hands and u can beat only 3, should u still be betting?


  • edited October 2010
    he could also have 22-88 and hoping to flop a set, if we knew more about villan we might be able to take AK, QQ, JJ out of his range.
  • edited October 2010
    While it's textured, I actually don't mind this flop for your hand too much. You say it hits his range big, but then you've only mentioned flopped sets or straights. Other hands you should put into the mix against a decent, not-out-of-line opponent has to include things like KQ/KJ/AQ/AJ/AT/<99 just as easily, i.e., pair/draw combos.

    Personally, with the stack sizes as they are post-flop I'd bet ~£13 into £17 with a view to calling off the rest. If he calls the flop bet, I shove pretty much any turn card.

    Conclusion: get it in :)
  • edited October 2010
    Has it really hit his range that good? He could raise with a massive range, and once he's put the bet in- decided he wants to see a flop with the implied odds that if he hits, he's gonna get paid big because you've got a monster. He could have any pair, AK/AQ/AJ/KQ, possibly even suited connectors in that range.

    You've been the aggressor preflop, and have the momentum- this board hits YOUR range too. I'd go with betting out and then you've got your answer- but even if he does shove on you, I think you have to get it in and if he's flopped a set- spike one of your 10 outs and bink him. If he's got AK, then meh- nh. Spike running cards for the FH.

    No matter what holding he has, you're not drawing dead here. Regarding Dohhh's question- you have 3 hands dominated, 3 where you're around a 60/40 underdog, and one where you're utterly dominated. Get the money in for me.
  • edited October 2010

    Do you guys really call big 3 bets out of position with a wide range of hands?????

    I know the villain fairly well and he's quite solid.......not nitty, but not loose.....

    I would consider a call here with 22-99, or AQ/KQ, to be a very loose call.

    It's a big 3 bet, and he is only 100xbb deep. - - - AM I FOLDING TOO MANY HANDS TO 3 BETS???
  • edited October 2010
    seems like a check to me. If he checks turn you have the best hand if he bets you probably dont.
  • ybyb
    edited October 2010
    If he's quite tight I probably check back here, you'll still have the chance to get 2 streets of value in if he can have AQ/KQ.

    And so what if he can have 22-88 etc? He isn't calling a bet anyway and we don't need to protect our hand against these holdings.
  • edited October 2010
    we dont need to protect our hand against anything so there is no harm in checking. I would rather lose value from KQ/AQ etc rather than get stacked aginst straights/2pair/sets.
  • edited October 2010
    I`m surprised people are assigning such a wide range to villain here.  It must be sheer coincidence that I rarely encounter people that are calling big 3bets oop with small pp`s kj, a10 etc.

    Its only 100bb effective, could maybe put some of those in his range if we were a lot deeper.  I actually thought I was being generous putting tt in his range
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    I`m surprised people are assigning such a wide range to villain here.  It must be sheer coincidence that I rarely encounter people that are calling big 3bets oop with small pp`s kj, a10 etc. Its only 100bb effective, could maybe put some of those in his range if we were a lot deeper.  I actually thought I was being generous putting tt in his range
    Posted by OMahonyO
    Villain is just one of the army of nits at this level. He has most likely QQ, maybe AK, JJ. Assigning a wide range here is just stupid, I've never seen a reg at nl30/40 call a 3 bet oop, let alone with 22-88 or AT-AQ.
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    Nowt to do with the hand, but if u think he cud have AK/TT/JJ/QQ, as the most likely holdings, but he may have AQ/KQ or 99.......do you still bet? What Im asking is if he has 7 possible hands and u can beat only 3, should u still be betting?
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH

    errm it's not 7 to 3....lol
  • edited October 2010

    LOST ME !!

    Whats ur take on the hand mr bean?
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    LOST ME !! Whats ur take on the hand mr bean?
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH

    I didn't say anything about the hand, just that

     he cud have AK/TT/JJ/QQ, as the most likely holdings, but he may have AQ/KQ or 99.......do you still bet?

    What Im asking is if he has 7 possible hands and u can beat only 3, should u still be betting?



    You're numbers are incorrect is what I was saying.
  • edited October 2010
    Ok, next stage of the hand.  Do I bet here, if so how much.  Do I call a raise, do I shove on a raise, do I call a shove etc....
    BIGSHANN Small blind  £0.20 £0.20 £22.07
    KB9_is_GOD Big blind  £0.40 £0.60 £10.78
    OMahonyO Big blind  £0.40 £1.00 £59.10
      Your hole cards
    • K
    • K
         
    robbie1985 Call  £0.40 £1.40 £1.20
    westslay23 Raise  £2.00 £3.40 £40.97
    OMahonyO Raise  £7.20 £10.60 £51.90
    DIAGIO Fold     
    BIGSHANN Fold     
    KB9_is_GOD Fold     
    robbie1985 All-in  £1.20 £11.80 £0.00
    westslay23 Call  £5.60 £17.40 £35.37
    Flop
       
    • Q
    • J
    • 10
         
    westslay23 Check     
    OMahonyO Check     
    Turn
       
    • 8
         
    westslay23 Check
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    LOST ME !! Whats ur take on the hand mr bean?
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH

    Have you forgotten this already?


    "So I add all those hands up, and figure out if he folds with more than he would call/raise with? So wud fold the 66, 77, 99 hands  (3)"


    This is sort of right. Except that instead of classing pocket sixes as one instance you have to assess them using combinatrics (looking at the possible combinations of cards that can make each hand regardless of the order you list them [this isn't permutations]).

    So instead of saying 66/77/99 = 3 combos = 3 hands.

    You have 6s 6h 6c 6d

    6s 6c
    6s 6h
    6s 6d
    6d 6c
    6h 6c
    6d 6h

    Those are the only way to make pocket sixes which is 6 combinations.

    Now as an aside imagine that you know the 6 of spades was exposed and isn't in play,  there are now only 3 combinations, Similarly with AK there are 6 combinations of aces and 6 combinations of kings, there are 16 combinations of AK. So taking that further on if you have AcKc in your hand you have what are called blockers (Having AcKc reduces from 12 to 6 the number of possible combinations of aces and kings, so when you have AK you should be half as less expectant to see Aces or Kings as normal).


    So in this instance you would say there are 18 combinations of those 3 pairs, 6 each. 



    Mahoney bet thee flop don't be scared! Ghay turn check again now I guess. 
  • edited October 2010
    3bet preflop is wayyyyyy too big you make it 19bbs. a standard 3bet size is 10-12bbs. this *should* tighten up his calling range a whole lot
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big : Have you forgotten this already? "So I add all those hands up, and figure out if he folds with more than he would call/raise with? So wud fold the 66, 77, 99 hands  (3)" This is sort of right. Except that instead of classing pocket sixes as one instance you have to assess them using combinatrics (looking at the possible combinations of cards that can make each hand regardless of the order you list them [this isn't permutations]). So instead of saying 66/77/99 = 3 combos = 3 hands. You have 6s 6h 6c 6d 6s 6c 6s 6h 6s 6d 6d 6c 6h 6c 6d 6h Those are the only way to make pocket sixes which is 6 combinations. Now as an aside imagine that you know the 6 of spades was exposed and isn't in play,  there are now only 3 combinations, Similarly with AK there are 6 combinations of aces and 6 combinations of kings, there are 16 combinations of AK. So taking that further on if you have AcKc in your hand you have what are called blockers (Having AcKc reduces from 12 to 6 the number of possible combinations of aces and kings, so when you have AK you should be half as less expectant to see Aces or Kings as normal). So in this instance you would say there are 18 combinations of those 3 pairs, 6 each.  Mahoney bet thee flop don't be scared! Ghay turn check again now I guess. 
    Posted by beaneh
    Good job u only have a few seconds to make a decision or I would feel I had to learn all this.  Seriously, all that cant be goin thru your head when you have to make a decison.  Its all good in hindsight , but by then its too late
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    3bet preflop is wayyyyyy too big you make it 19bbs. a standard 3bet size is 10-12bbs. this *should* tighten up his calling range a whole lot
    Posted by LOL_RAISE
    I didnt think it was that big, anyway, doesnt it depend on the size of the first raise, if the opener makes it 4bb, im never making it 10bb.  Also there was a limper in before him.  I know that probs dont affect much but I always like to make it slightly bigger if anyone has shown interest.  But yeah, its quite big which is why im surprised at the range ppl are assigning this guy
  • edited October 2010
    I'm like the guy from prison break i've tattooed all this info all over ma body. Just sit here grinding in the buff looking for all the info as I play obv. :-)
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    I'm like the guy from prison break i've tattooed all this info all over ma body. Just sit here grinding in the buff looking for all the info as I play obv. :-)
    Posted by beaneh
    never thought of that, are u surrounded by mirrors or do u just stak off wen the info u need is on ur a.s.s
  • edited October 2010
    surely you should be really fat then so u can has lots of extra skin for new information
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    surely you should be really fat then so u can has lots of extra skin for new information
    Posted by LOL_RAISE
    This is why I'm so good and haven't had a downswing in 5 years.

    I'm also quite formidable at arm wrestling.

    Prop bet ne1? ;)
  • edited October 2010
    I think your 3 bet is fine, its 40nl peeps dont fold.
    if you check the flop i cant see how or why you should bet the turn, you thought you was behind so you still will be.
    If villan has a queen surely he must bet turn to protect his hand vs straight draws.
    I would still bet the flop, if you where both sat 200bb deep then yes i can understand checking the flop to keep the pot under control.
  • edited October 2010
    rest of hand plz
  • edited October 2010
    I cba to look for the hh to post again but I checked behind.  He bet £8ish on blank river and I called.  He took the pot with AK.

    I seriously had a bad feeling about this hand as soon as that flop came.  theres no way I can put him on the range some have stated in this thread, it happens so rarely......obv im stakin off to some players who have maniacal tedancies.
    Im just awaiting the `well played, you made a read and went with it, you are awesome....plz coach me` posts.

    Seriously though, I know its all about what makes more in the long run, but I was in a spot I really didnt like here.

    Also, I know if im so sure of myself then I shouldnt be calling his river bet.....well obv i wasnt 100% sure but I was pretty made up with myself wen I called and realised, that on another day, in another mood or whatever, Im doing my stack.

    Good boost for the confidence when this happens, esp with my run of late.
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big : I didnt think it was that big, anyway, doesnt it depend on the size of the first raise, if the opener makes it 4bb, im never making it 10bb.  Also there was a limper in before him.  I know that probs dont affect much but I always like to make it slightly bigger if anyone has shown interest.  But yeah, its quite big which is why im surprised at the range ppl are assigning this guy
    Posted by OMahonyO[d/QUOTE]

    he can't be that solid if he's calling 3 bets that size @ 100bb (p.s was it me???)
  • edited October 2010
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big:
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big :
    In Response to Re: Overpair + oesd but flop hits villains range big : I didnt think it was that big , anyway, doesnt it depend on the size of the first raise, if the opener makes it 4bb, im never making it 10bb.  Also there was a limper in before him.  I know that probs dont affect much but I always like to make it slightly bigger if anyone has shown interest.  But yeah, its quite big which is why im surprised at the range ppl are assigning this guy Posted by OMahonyO[d/QUOTE] he can't be that solid if he's calling 3 bets that size @ 100bb (p.s was it me???)
    Posted by rats107
    no it wasnt u....i left the name in didnt i?
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