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this is basically me wanting to double check my math when reviewing the hand below, for those who can do the math to make it a +ev call the info you need is:
he has near all suited connectors in his calling 3bet range but unsooted i don't think so
any2 broadways are in his range too suited or not
i'm pretty sure he always raises a straight on the turn
he wouldn't raise AxXd on the flop
8d6d and Jd10d i think he sometimes will
there's no way in hell he vbets lighter than a straight here esp. w/ sizing
he can turn pairs into bluffs but not very often and not that likely here
if he's at the river here with air i think he bets it near all of the time given river
if i missed anything u need, say.
Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
---|
---- | Small blind | | £0.50 | £0.50 | £242.20 |
zing | Big blind | | £1.00 | £1.50 | £154.00 |
| Your hole cards | | | | |
---- | Raise | | £2.50 | £4.00 | £239.70 |
zing | Raise | | £10.00 | £14.00 | £144.00 |
---- | Call | | £8.00 | £22.00 | £231.70 |
Flop |
---|
| | | | | |
zing | Bet | | £14.00 | £36.00 | £130.00 |
---- | Call | | £14.00 | £50.00 | £217.70 |
Turn |
---|
| | | | | |
zing | Bet | | £30.00 | £80.00 | £100.00 |
---- | Call | | £30.00 | £110.00 | £187.70 |
River |
---|
| | | | | |
zing | Check | | | | |
---- | Bet | | £82.50 | £192.50 | £105.20 |
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Comments
Although fwiw i would not check call here, if i check i fold to decent bet which this is. if i plan to call would rather you put a stopper bet of £40 which can sieve out the bluff and if they go all in you know your beat
if he only is shoving with 8x here for value then its a clear call if you think he bluffs alot at the river
we lose to 88,89s,68s,78s which is 14 combos if he is raising 68dd on the flop. there are 15 combos alone of JT that he can get to the river with if you think he peels twice