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MTT - Deep......2 shoving spots.....or not?
350 runners, 2/30 left, 30 paid......
Am I too aggressive?
I had been kinda aggressive at this table but not overly.....
| Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cottlad | Small blind | 600.00 | 600.00 | 17242.00 | |
| DOHHHHHHH | Big blind | 1200.00 | 1800.00 | 47546.76 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| Lb070 | Fold | ||||
| MonkeyF | Fold | ||||
| drac1946 | Fold | ||||
| Lunnie | Fold | ||||
| cottlad | Call | 600.00 | 2400.00 | 16642.00 | |
| DOHHHHHHH | All-in | 47546.76 |
6/25ish at this stage.....
| Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOHHHHHHH | Small blind | 600.00 | 600.00 | 30304.76 | |
| sikas | Big blind | 1200.00 | 1800.00 | 33131.00 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| PARKSER | Fold | ||||
| dundee_p | Raise | 3600.00 | 5400.00 | 55828.25 | |
| ian57 | Fold | ||||
| DOHHHHHHH | All-in | 30304.76 | 35704.76 | 0.00 | |
| sikas | Fold | ||||
| dundee_p |
Comments
The cards are somewhat irrelevant in both hands. What is important are the relevant stacks. In first hand you're likely to get a call from a relative shortstack who judges this as the time to make a move. In the second you are shoving against a dominant stack who has already made a raise to get action and who will likely call with suited connectors or above.
First to act AK is great, re-raising against the big stack with Ace high is asking for trouble.
hand 1 I play the same readless, but I've played quite a lot with cottlad and never seen him limp from the sb so that might have set the alarm bells off lol. Still, you can't make too big of a mistake shoving with an ace with under 15bbs effective.
The 2nd one is a clear reshoving spot in a standard mtt.
The first one im not so keen on as id be wary of what cottlad is limping in with..poss trap?!
2nd one is totally standard.
We'll have to make some estimates about our opponents range. I'm assuming he opens 3x from the cut-off with any pair, any suited ace, A7o+, any 2 broadway cards, mid suited connectors and a few higher suited kings and queens. Then I'll assume he will only call the shove with TT+, AK, AQo, KQs or ATs+, which represents the top 19.6% of his opening range. DOHHHHHH's AKo has 52.634% equity against this calling range.
So, 80.4% of the time dundee will fold to the shove and DOHHHHHHH will make a profit of 5400 chips.
10.316% (52.634% x 19.6%) of the time dundee will call and DOHHHHHHH will win a 62409.52 pot for a profit of 32104.76 chips.
9.284% (47.366% x 19.6%) of the time dundee will call and take the pot, DOHHHHHHH will lose his 30304.76 chip shove and be eliminated from the tournament.
80.4% x +5400 = +4341.6
10.316% x +32104.76 = +3311.93
9.284% x -30304.76 = -2813.49
4341.6 + 3311.93 - 2813.49 = +4840.04
So on average this shove makes a profit of 4840 chips, thats 4BB and increases DOHHHHHHH's stack by 16%.
Am I too aggressive?
I'm not sure. I think the answer is yes if you continue to advertise on the forum in the way you do ?
Small edges man and if you wish to fulfill your aspirations it's time to get real and live it maybe ?
Doesn't mean you can't help other people.
Happy Christmas to you, maybe re-focus i hope this helps ? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yy6qEUmbZ1Y
It's warfare. You are a curious soul. Stop it. Just rein in the aggression and concentrate everything on winning maybe ?
Just trying to help.
Stop being so open the others don't care.
He has less than 15bbs and is almost certainly looking for a free flop with a marginal hand. A7 is more than enough to cram in his face and get him to fold his j8o. If he's limping with the intention of trapping, so be it, you'll still have at least 30% equity.
Second is the most standard all-in you'll get.
fwiw, scotty, who advocated this view due to his knowledge of the villain, is one of the best all round players on the site imo.
but yeah against an unknown its a shove. cottladd is very, very rarely gonna be limp/folding here IMO. he is not the type of player who will waste 1/2bb limping in with J7.
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