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Devils advocate hat off
Yeah I dont feel like I can give a balanced argument any longer.
With sincere honestly I can truly say i put my money in online way ahead and over and over get done by runner runner flush/straight or river two pair (hitting the inferior kicker). Here's a few fun hands from today.
AsKc 3 bet called in two spotS. KsQsJs flop. One opponent has 85s other has 910o. Fun
3 river sets for the 4.4 hit a piece, if no one green folded one of the cards needed
My AJ. Flop comes AKJ rainbow. 300 in pot. Guy jams 1200 in, 33$ game. gets a call, I hate it but am snakebit so call. Jammer has KJ, caller has KQ. Runner runner flush, for the KQ
Cash game 1/2. Opponent raises 3x BB UTG. I call with AQo, guy behind me Min raises for the umpteenth time. Dont put him on AK, Initial raiser completes the bet, I jam KNOWING I have the best hand. Both call showing KQ and A8. flop comes KK8, my AQ is dead.
Cash game, guy limps my BB, I hold 106. Flop comes 666. Yippee!. Check bet call 666J. check bet call 666JJ. check bet, 3 bet, he jams I call... he'd limped with J's for runner runner Quads.
Literally 13 river sets in the last fortnight, drawing to those two cards. I've tried to rationalise it as I'm dealt around 3k hands a day but this is beyond ridiculous. This is just todays session. Beauty the other day. pocket 4's in the SB. Flop QQ4, flop 4's full. Bet re raise call. QQ4Q Dont love my hand as much. Check bet call. QQ4Q7 check check, he flips 27 for tye win. There is far too much of this utter jybberish. Oh few hands after Limp in with 43h. Flop comes A25 rainbow. bet call. A252. Bet call A2528. Bet jam call, 8's full, runner runner. Oh the best river set was this one. Guys opening alot of pots, I find KQ suited, make it a little more, he calls the 3 bet. AK2. I bet he calls. AK2K bet pot, he min raises I call. AK2K3. I bet, he jams I call. 3's full of K's for the win, another river set, but the turn min raise???
I really dont want to hear variance and bad run from the die hards, maybe a couple of years from now your perspective may change. BUT THIS IS NOT POKER GUYS. People comong from way behind over and over is so beyond normal. Yes the hph can account for a small margin, but thats what it should be............. A SMALL MARGIN!
With sincere honestly I can truly say i put my money in online way ahead and over and over get done by runner runner flush/straight or river two pair (hitting the inferior kicker). Here's a few fun hands from today.
AsKc 3 bet called in two spotS. KsQsJs flop. One opponent has 85s other has 910o. Fun
3 river sets for the 4.4 hit a piece, if no one green folded one of the cards needed
My AJ. Flop comes AKJ rainbow. 300 in pot. Guy jams 1200 in, 33$ game. gets a call, I hate it but am snakebit so call. Jammer has KJ, caller has KQ. Runner runner flush, for the KQ
Cash game 1/2. Opponent raises 3x BB UTG. I call with AQo, guy behind me Min raises for the umpteenth time. Dont put him on AK, Initial raiser completes the bet, I jam KNOWING I have the best hand. Both call showing KQ and A8. flop comes KK8, my AQ is dead.
Cash game, guy limps my BB, I hold 106. Flop comes 666. Yippee!. Check bet call 666J. check bet call 666JJ. check bet, 3 bet, he jams I call... he'd limped with J's for runner runner Quads.
Literally 13 river sets in the last fortnight, drawing to those two cards. I've tried to rationalise it as I'm dealt around 3k hands a day but this is beyond ridiculous. This is just todays session. Beauty the other day. pocket 4's in the SB. Flop QQ4, flop 4's full. Bet re raise call. QQ4Q Dont love my hand as much. Check bet call. QQ4Q7 check check, he flips 27 for tye win. There is far too much of this utter jybberish. Oh few hands after Limp in with 43h. Flop comes A25 rainbow. bet call. A252. Bet call A2528. Bet jam call, 8's full, runner runner. Oh the best river set was this one. Guys opening alot of pots, I find KQ suited, make it a little more, he calls the 3 bet. AK2. I bet he calls. AK2K bet pot, he min raises I call. AK2K3. I bet, he jams I call. 3's full of K's for the win, another river set, but the turn min raise???
I really dont want to hear variance and bad run from the die hards, maybe a couple of years from now your perspective may change. BUT THIS IS NOT POKER GUYS. People comong from way behind over and over is so beyond normal. Yes the hph can account for a small margin, but thats what it should be............. A SMALL MARGIN!
Comments
Have I got lucky for the last 16 months???
If you have been on sharkscope I have played cash 99% for nearly a year now.
Possibly
Seriously I'm glad for you that your turning a profit online. That thread was started after a fortnight run of extremely frequent beats at 5% and lower, many at less than 1%. How can an individual not become skeptical in that instance? It could be negative variance, or it could be something else entirely.
Either way there comes a point when your away from the table analysis can only lead you to one conclusion.
I dont pretend to know more than anyone else, but I know that I cant turn a profit online no matter what. Believe me, I am a very experienced Live player, having earnt my living mostly at cards for the last 3 1/5 years. For those that weigh in with Online harder than Live arguement for me it holds no weight. I am only speaking for myself though. The critical spots I lose in are in the 85%-95% range, so its not as though I have been out played or mis played my hand. Online may not be tampered with at all, maybe I just run very very bad. It doesnt make a difference either way.
Am playing the sunday brawl this evening and then am locking out my accounts for 12 months. Best of skill to all of you.
Get it all in on the flop holding K's
Flop Kc4h8s
3 bet called in two spots by AJo and 56c
Kc4h8s10cQc
AJ makes a redundant straight, the crazy guy hits rinner runner flush
KKK/Broadway/K high flush when 3 bet allin on the flop. Thats how I roll