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50nl, 10 handed, how would you interpret this river overbet?

edited March 2011 in The Poker Clinic

Open 5x in ep as these tables used to be really loose/fishy when I used to play them.

Sizing on the turn is probably too small..........

But wtf does his river bet mean??? Has he had me beat all the way or has he just spiked 2 pair?

What are your thoughts otr?

Never seen or played the guy before.
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
iwillcallu Small blind  £0.25 £0.25 £83.57
CCInc Big blind  £0.50 £0.75 £83.84
vintobmz Big blind  £0.50 £1.25 £49.50
  Your hole cards
  • A
  • A
     
remymann Fold     
JammyBee Fold     
vintobmz Check     
Hawky Fold     
DOHHHHHHH Raise  £2.50 £3.75 £66.39
sikas Fold     
JINGGLER Fold     
Ozzie08 Fold     
iwillcallu Call  £2.25 £6.00 £81.32
CCInc Fold     
vintobmz Fold     
Flop
   
  • K
  • 9
  • 4
     
iwillcallu Check     
DOHHHHHHH Bet  £4.00 £10.00 £62.39
iwillcallu Call  £4.00 £14.00 £77.32
Turn
   
  • 6
     
iwillcallu Check     
DOHHHHHHH Bet  £8.00 £22.00 £54.39
iwillcallu Call  £8.00 £30.00 £69.32
River
   
  • 2
     
iwillcallu All-in  £69.32 £99.32 £0.00
DOHHHHHHH

Comments

  • edited March 2011
    This river overbet means your opponent is a complete douche.

    No idea what it means.

    Sick spot.

    It's probably a bad call if you make it. Doesn't mean I don't.
  • edited March 2011
    cant see many 2pr combos

    only hands that he should be shoving with that we are beating are QJ/QT/JTss.

    gy spot


  • edited March 2011
    Horrid spot!

    I would call depending on how much you have had to drink!!

    I'm thinking he hit a set and got excited on the river!
  • edited March 2011
    theres no obvious draws on this dry board (apart from gutters) that missed and bluffed river that with the fact we only have 1 pair/bluff catcher and the bet is huge makes this a fold for me.

    Since villian could turn up with anything here, from bluffs to sets, but the only reasonable hand you beat that he thinks he is value shoving is AK, I'd go with a fold since its more likely a hand than bluffs on this board.
  • edited March 2011
    I think he has a set here, quite possibly flopped. Only hand I can see him having 2 pair really is K9 which is the sort of hand a fish would call a 5x raise with, but much more likely here is 44/66 IMO. 

    Don't like it much but I can't see much you're beating, there's very few draws he'd be calling to the river with and trying to bluff you off with, apart from the ones scotty listed- I think he has a hand crushing yours way more often.
  • edited March 2011
    im leaning towards ak /kk /99, i aint calling coz im a nitty thing!! i think the saying is "fold pre and re evaluate the turn!!!"
  • edited March 2011
    villain is a spewtard nutter gambler, i was at this table and he sat with like £10 and was luckboxing shoving pre with nonsense and span up to 80 odd quid, he showed down some daft cards, it wouldnt suprise me if he had J10 and chased a gutshot n spewshoved river when he missed...villain promptly got stacked after this, dunno if u were still playing tho


    based on the reads id call, sounds nutty but i prob would. against any1 else im folding
  • edited March 2011
    In Response to Re: 50nl, 10 handed, how would you interpret this river overbet?:
    villain is a spewtard nutter gambler, i was at this table and he sat with like £10 and was luckboxing shoving pre with nonsense and span up to 80 odd quid, he showed down some daft cards, it wouldnt suprise me if he had J10 and chased a gutshot n spewshoved river when he missed...villain promptly got stacked after this, dunno if u were still playing tho based on the reads id call, sounds nutty but i prob would. against any1 else im folding
    Posted by sikas
    If that was my read I'd call
  • edited March 2011
    Looks like a set or K9 to me.  Dont think he Jams AK.  Check Call, Check Call.  Looks like he was happy for you to build the pot then drop the hammer on the river.  Maybe if you bet the turn stronger you get more information.
  • edited March 2011

    Timed out on 4 tables while I thought the hand through.

    Couldn't put him on anything, and felt the sizing on the turn maybe under repped my hand, and to him I "might have looked weak"

    Thanx for all the replies.

    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    iwillcallu Small blind  £0.25 £0.25 £83.57
    CCInc Big blind  £0.50 £0.75 £83.84
    vintobmz Big blind  £0.50 £1.25 £49.50
      Your hole cards
    • A
    • A
         
    remymann Fold     
    JammyBee Fold     
    vintobmz Check     
    Hawky Fold     
    DOHHHHHHH Raise  £2.50 £3.75 £66.39
    sikas Fold     
    JINGGLER Fold     
    Ozzie08 Fold     
    iwillcallu Call  £2.25 £6.00 £81.32
    CCInc Fold     
    vintobmz Fold     
    Flop
       
    • K
    • 9
    • 4
         
    iwillcallu Check     
    DOHHHHHHH Bet  £4.00 £10.00 £62.39
    iwillcallu Call  £4.00 £14.00 £77.32
    Turn
       
    • 6
         
    iwillcallu Check     
    DOHHHHHHH Bet  £8.00 £22.00 £54.39
    iwillcallu Call  £8.00 £30.00 £69.32
    River
       
    • 2
         
    iwillcallu All-in  £69.32 £99.32 £0.00
    DOHHHHHHH All-in  £54.39 £153.71 £0.00
    iwillcallu Unmatched bet  £14.93 £138.78 £14.93
    iwillcallu Show
    • J
    • 9
       
    DOHHHHHHH Show
    • A
    • A
       
    DOHHHHHHH Win Pair of Aces £136.98  £136.98
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