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I've got two big bets planned for Thursday's EU League.
Levski Sofia v LAZIO - Away Win @ 2.00
ROMA v CSKA Sofia - Home win -1 goal @ 1.8
Odds are current odds from around most of the bookies.
LEVSKI v LAZIO:
Both team are not doing good domestically, but there is such a big class difference that u could not even imagine (especially by looking at the odds, 1.50 for Lazio would have been fair). On top of that Levski is having internal problems with the president, a lot of players, and the fans. Everybody there is unhappy and the already lost 4 games straight.
The way these games usually play out, is that the Bulgarians beat themselves, just by panicking, sloppy play, and the mentality that they are gonna lose anyway. Lazio is definitely gonna score, and Levski is probably gonna have max 3 shots on goal.
ROMA v CSKA:
Roma is currently not doing so well, while CSKA is pretty good at the moment. But, again, we are talking about a huge class difference. A potential CL team against some Bulgarian team, that is just on a high. And we are getting odds of around 1.80 for a 2+ goal win for the hosts. Last game at home Roma beat Fiorentina 3:1. Well, can we compare CKSA and Fiorentina, and CSKA getting something out of the game ????
However Roma have done very sloppy away from home, and maybe that's the main factor for the high price on them. But, again, the class difference is just too big. CSKA are gonna be defending all game long, and after the 1st Roma goal they are just gonna give up and concede more. Even though Roma's defense is shaky at the moment I cannot see CSKA scoring, and even if they score, Roma is gonna attack them like crazy and eventually score enough to seal the game and cover the handicap.
Good Luck.....
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