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Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?

Sky_PokerSky_Poker
edited May 2011 in Poker Chat

At the moment there are 165 people in the Tuesday survivor.

So at this stage, at £4 per seat currently, the buy-ins total £660.

However, the prize pool for the final is guaranteed at £2,500. People can still buy-in over the next few days, but here's the question - will there be a big overlay and how much?

Thanks
Sky Poker Team
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Comments

  • Tikay10Tikay10
    edited May 2011

    Zed's dead baby, zed's dead.

    The cool peeps use THIS thread......
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  • loonytoonsloonytoons
    edited May 2011
    I reckon you need about 15 direct buy ins on saturday to cover the guarantee.
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  • GlenelgGlenelg
    edited May 2011

    In Response to Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:

    At the moment there are 165 people in the Tuesday survivor. So at this stage, at £4 per seat currently, the buy-ins total £660. However, the prize pool for the final is guaranteed at £2,500 . People can still buy-in over the next few days, but here's the question - will there be a big overlay and how much? Thanks Sky Poker Team
    Posted by Sky_Poker

    Incorrect.
    There were 414 x£1 on Sunday               £414
    There were 109 x £2 buy-ins on Monday.  £218
    There were 61 x £4 buy-ins on Tuesday.  £244

    Total = £876

    Assuming the Buy-ins remain constant £-wise for Wed/Thurs/Fri @ £250

    You'll only need approx 15 peeps to buy-in on sat @ £64

    Overlay will be pretty small in my opinion.

    Pad

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  • Sky_PokerSky_Poker
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    In Response to Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final? : Incorrect. There were 414 x£1 on Sunday               £414 There were 109 x £2 buy-ins on Monday.  £218 There were 61 x £4 buy-ins on Tuesday.  £244 Total = £876 Assuming the Buy-ins remain constant £-wise for Wed/Thurs/Fri @ £250 You'll only need approx 15 peeps to buy-in on sat @ £64 Overlay will be pretty small in my opinion. Pad
    Posted by Glenelg
    In actual fact we were both right. Please remember we posted that earlier in the day (when it was at £660), more people bought in later in the day.

    Your methodology is interesting. As you said:

    - £414 added to prize pool on Monday (414 x £1)
    - £218 added on Tuesday (109 x £2)
    - £244 added on Wednesday (61 x £4)
    - Total so far is £876 (before today)

    The players buying in each day is falling and is offset by the higher buy-ins (as we expected). The last two days have added £218 and £244 (an average of £231). So four more lots of £231 would add £924.

    So if you add this £924 to the £876 above we get to £1,800.

    The Guarantee is £2,500!

    This would be an overlay of £700, remembering there are no fees too.

    Obviously some of this is guesswork but it'll be interesting to see where we end.

    Thanks
    Sky Poker Team
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  • Sky_PokerSky_Poker
    edited May 2011

    As things stand right now, from all the combinations of qualifiers and buy-ins we are now at 69 people for tonights £16 leg. So cash taken so far is £1,104.

    So we are £1,396 short of the £2,500 guarantee right now.

    It will be interesting to see where we end up!
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  • mattlessmattless
    edited May 2011
    If there are only say 20-25 people for the final on saturday, will it be a normal payout structure ie top 3 get paid or will it be top 6 guaranteed? Apologies if this question has been answered elsewhere.

    Matt
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  • Sky_PokerSky_Poker
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    If there are only say 20-25 people for the final on saturday, will it be a normal payout structure ie top 3 get paid or will it be top 6 guaranteed? Apologies if this question has been answered elsewhere. Matt
    Posted by mattless
    If there are below 30 it will be top three getting 50% / 30% / 20%

    30 to 49 pays top five 40% / 25% / 15% / 11% / 9%
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  • loonytoonsloonytoons
    edited May 2011

    With the prizepool guaranteed at £2500, with currently £1344 in the prizepool and 21 players satelliting into the weekly final. That leaves a shortfall of £1156 so 18 direct buy ins are required to give a shortfall of £4. The final therefore needs to run with 39 players to be successful. I reckon it will be ok!

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  • GlenelgGlenelg
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    With the prizepool guaranteed at £2500, with currently £1344 in the prizepool and 21 players satelliting into the weekly final. That leaves a shortfall of £1156 so 18 direct buy ins are required to give a shortfall of £4. The final therefore needs to run with 39 players to be successful. I reckon it will be ok!
    Posted by loonytoons

    I agree with 18 x buy-ins.  However, there is currently £1356 in prize pool. That means if 18 buy-in (V. unlikely imo) we're over by £8!

    I know pedantic!
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  • loonytoonsloonytoons
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final? : I agree with 18 x buy-ins.  However, there is currently £1356 in prize pool. That means if 18 buy-in (V. unlikely imo) we're over by £8! I know pedantic!
    Posted by Glenelg
    the tournament lobby in the friday survivor currently running says £1344!!
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  • GlenelgGlenelg
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final? : the tournament lobby in the friday survivor currently running says £1344!!
    Posted by loonytoons
    Hadn't spotted that! Was doing my own calcs! Agree with 18 tho.
    Been watch tables tonite and some great action! + quad A's for TommyD!
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  • GlenelgGlenelg
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    At the moment there are 165 people in the Tuesday survivor. So at this stage, at £4 per seat currently, the buy-ins total £660. However, the prize pool for the final is guaranteed at £2,500 . People can still buy-in over the next few days, but here's the question - will there be a big overlay and how much? Thanks Sky Poker Team
    Posted by Sky_Poker
    I make it £580?

    Pad
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  • MAXALLYMAXALLY
    edited May 2011



    Well I make it a £1020.00 overlay....in tonight's ME.....

    I think they should have worried about that having a £5k Gtee on a big cup final night on television!
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  • GlenelgGlenelg
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    Well I make it a £1020.00 overlay....in tonight's ME..... I think they should have worried about that having a £5k Gtee on a big cup final night on television!
    Posted by MAXALLY
    I'm guessing Sky will more than make up for it by Barca winning 4-1??
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  • GaryQQQGaryQQQ
    edited May 2011
    There's big overlay in just about everything tonight.
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  • aiken2001aiken2001
    edited May 2011
    Two things wrong with the i tonight 1 Euro cup final on the day. 2 payout structure top 3 only payed. Binked out in 10th by scotty with a queen on the turn so not really bothered but people probably not looking to take advantage of the overlay with so few being paid.
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  • scotty77scotty77
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    Two things wrong with the i tonight 1 Euro cup final on the day. 2 payout structure top 3 only payed. Binked out in 10th by scotty with a queen on the turn so not really bothered but people probably not looking to take advantage of the overlay with so few being paid.
    Posted by aiken2001
    unlucky sir!  dont worry i got paid back with a river 2 outer! 

    I BI direct cos of overlay fwiw.  I suspect that football had a big effect, as all the tournies are low on numbers tonight.
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  • achillachill
    edited May 2011
    Hi all

    Was away for weekend so dereged from final but was wondering how many runners were in the final.

    Went down to 21 when i opted out.
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  • YOUNG_GUNYOUNG_GUN
    edited May 2011
    23 i think top 3 paid, dohhhh moved to next weeks
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  • chrispipchrispip
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    Hi all Was away for weekend so dereged from final but was wondering how many runners were in the final. Went down to 21 when i opted out.
    Posted by achill
    29 started.
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  • achillachill
    edited May 2011

    I've just found it in the results thread but thanks anyway.

    I should have stayed in, at least then the top five would have been in the money.

    Bank holiday weekend, cup final, be interesting to see if its better supported this weekend but as i said on another thread its hard to be free to play poker all week if you have any kind of life.

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  • YOUNG_GUNYOUNG_GUN
    edited May 2011
    i completely agree with that achill, i cant play everyday in the week some of us do have lifes, every other day i usually have pool, snooker, footy so i wont be playing it unfortunately. Great value tho if you are free everyday
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  • aiken2001aiken2001
    edited May 2011
    27 runners in the end

    n Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    23 i think top 3 paid, dohhhh moved to next weeks
    Posted by YOUNG_GUN
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  • YOUNG_GUNYOUNG_GUN
    edited May 2011
    so 3 different answers mine was guess tbf
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  • achillachill
    edited May 2011
    Definitely 29 runners i've seen the tournament lobby.

    Young gun, is that true about doh? 
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: Will there be a big overlay in the Survivor final?:
    Definitely 29 runners i've seen the tournament lobby. Young gun, is that true about doh? 
    Posted by achill
    I have sent u a PM this morning
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  • achillachill
    edited May 2011
    Cheers DOHHHHHHH.
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