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why do you go through so many patches
quite a simple post i just want to know why your downswings last so long and the times when you hit the world last so long. for example I have lost about 6/7 of my KK's and not once was someone holding an A. As well as that there are times when you just keep hitting the world hitting two pair and trips most hands you play, or hit your outs all the time. Is this varience because i thought varience was random eg losing a when you are 90% up 10 times out of a hundred is fine but you would think the ten times would be spread out and not clumped together in sets of 4-5. Not once have i questioned the RNG or accused anything like a doom switch etc but i would like to know peoples takes on beats being clumped together and what not
Comments
It's poker, live players have been known to have 2 years, or more downswing, they last as long, or as short as they wish
If you are on a downswing, it can be hard to get out of...not because its rigged etc but because your confidence will be smashed and you won't be palying your best poker.
Take a break is always a good idea. Or change game. If your a cash player, then try a week of just playing MTTs etc.
Randomness brings up clusters, bigger clusters than you might expect. For example, if you toss a coin 1,000 times we all know that you will get roughly 500 heads and 500 tails. But there will be long runs of all heads or all tails. A run of 10 heads in a row might sound ridiculous, but it's actually quite common.
I've just had a whole month of non-stop terrible poker luck, several times I managed to get deep in tournaments, but it would always end in a cruel beat in a monster pot (see my thread in BBV). However, in true London bus style, my unlucky run ended today. Here on Sky I was very happy to win a Bounty Hunter Tournament, my first tournament win for at least a month. At the same time I was playing in a rebuy tournament with quite a large field on another site. I won that too for a tasty prize. In one day I have won back double what I lost during my unlucky month.
Poker is a combination of skill and luck. All you can do is keep getting it in good, when the luck goes your way too you'll be raking it in. Be patient, it will happen.
So as Scotty77 says, downswings can affect your confidence and you can start playing differently.
If the answer is yes then its easy for you to say this. I have not done any of these so i think i might just need my confidence restored as to be honest i really love this site and the community but over the last couple of months my confidence has been knocked.
Sometimes too, your downswings and upswings dont last as long as you would think. I have had some very good days this month and some very bad days. But when I sat down today and analysed my daily profit/loss, there wasn't much variance in the figures.
Yes sometimes there are big swings but also, it can all be in the head