Top set V flush...auto muck?

DannyMcs

Player	Action	Cards	Amount	Pot	Balance
dogcharlie	Small blind		£0.10	£0.10	£30.73
DannyMcs	Big blind		£0.20	£0.30	£19.80
	Your hole cards	A A
v	Call		£0.20	£0.50	£19.80
dogcharlie	Call		£0.10	£0.60	£30.63
DannyMcs	Raise		£0.80	£1.40	£19.00
v	Call		£0.80	£2.20	£19.00
dogcharlie	Fold
Flop
		K 4 A
DannyMcs	Bet		£1.65	£3.85	£17.35
v	Raise		£6.20	£10.05	£12.80
DannyMcs	All-in		£17.35	£27.40	£0.00
v	All-in		£12.80	£40.20	£0.00
DannyMcs	Show	A A
v	Show	9 6
Turn
		9
River
		2
v	Win	Flush to the Ace	£38.40		£38.40

My first online hand of the night and I run AAA into a flopped flush. FML. And with the obligatory moaning over an actual question: is this just bad bad bad, or is there anything to be said for shoving top set into a likely flush?

My thinking, such as it is:

* Villain is a new (to me) reg at this level, have only played with them for a couple of hours before, not much to note other than seems more at the laggy end of the spectrum

* Villain is 8 tabling at the time so I expect their range to be fairly static

When I make my flop bet I'm thinking any resistance and I'm against a set of 4s, Ad X non-d, maaaaybe A4 of another suit or, most likely, the made flush.

Is this always a bad shove?

Dudeskin8

Standard cooler. Plus you were 34% to win when it goes in.

pod1

morning dude, just wondering how you got to that figure. i thought 7 outs x4 =28%. am i being too simplistic with my maths ? (no sarcasm geniune question)

DOHHHHHHH

In Response to Re: Top set V flush...auto muck?:

morning dude, just wondering how you got to that figure. i thought 7 outs x4 =28%. am i being too simplistic with my maths ? (no sarcasm geniune question)
Posted by pod1

He picks up three more outs on the turn, which makes it 34%.....

----------------

O.P never fold here. 

Would be interested to know which 8 tabling reg open limp/calls the button.

pod1

i nearly posted to correct you then jj by saying he had 1 of the 3 9s, but we were not to know this so i will shut up, tnx for the replay!!

DOHHHHHHH

In Response to Re: Top set V flush...auto muck?:

i nearly posted to correct you then jj by saying he had 1 of the 3 9s, but we were not to know this so i will shut up, tnx for the replay!!
Posted by pod1

Ha that's a good point!! so he was 34% when making his decision, but actually only 32% when the money went in!

scotty77

if ur not getting it in ur doing it wrong

DannyMcs

Thanks guys, feel slightly better about not getting off it now

debdobs_67

In Response to Re: Top set V flush...auto muck?:

Thanks guys, feel slightly better about not getting off it now
Posted by DannyMcs

Easy fold ))

grantorino

nh