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A poker dilemma

edited July 2011 in Poker Chat
I've just noticed a conversation on Twitter between two of the best high-stakes pros out there, Brian Hastings and Phil Galfond. Galfond has moved to Canada to continue playing online, while Hastings suggested he's going to stay in America and try make it as a live game pro.

Galfond's response staggered me.

He said, 'Live is too hard, man. You won't make it.'

This could all be one amazing level, but think about if he's even vaguely serious. He (one of the best online players out there) is suggesting to another top online pro that turning in to a live game specialist would be too tough. Considering the talent they have, that's insane!

So, here's the question I am going to put up for discussion.

Do you think you could make it if you were to ever go purely as a live game player?

Which you obviously don't need to as we've got Sky Poker :)
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Comments

  • edited July 2011
    Hi Dave

    Having played online for about 3 years, but have only played Live twice, but I think I coped quite well live, yes there are more things to remember like bet sizing, postion, whats in the pot, it is there for you online, but not that much difference, I think I coped quite well.
  • edited July 2011
    Yes i think it's easier live as you get worse players, online has basically given us all the practice so if online poker ceased altogether i could kick bum live
  • edited July 2011
    i think the point is, your costs of playing live, per hand, are significantly higher than online, so you have to be significantly more succesful to win the same
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    i think the point is, your costs of playing live, per hand, are significantly higher than online, so you have to be significantly more succesful to win the same
    Posted by Codex
    Yup, this is very much the point. If you're winning say 15 big blinds per 100 hands online, you'd need to be playing much higher live than you would online to win the same amount of money per hour or just much more successful.

    I think this is Galfond's point, but still.... he might have to downscale a little bit from winning $300k per session but he could definitely get by on $5k/hour live, right? ;)

  • edited July 2011
    I would much rather play a NL200 down my local casino then anywhere online!
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    I would much rather play a NL200 down my local casino then anywhere online!
    Posted by PiAnOpLaYa
    +1

    When ive been to g-casino in sheffield the players are appaling, problem is you get alot less hands so its harder to make more $$
  • edited July 2011
    If online ended all the online pros would play live all the time, all the decent online players/(relatively)low stakes regs would become the 'occasional' fish in the live games, and all the total online fish would stop playing altogether.

    All the winning live only players atm would fast become losing live players, and then very infrequent/recreational live players.

    Every live game would consist of 9 sharks, or 8 sharks, 1 fish, and 37 sharks on the waiting list. 



  • edited July 2011
    think it's more to do with the amount of volume he can get in live tbh, very doubful if he could make the same living live playing fewer hands and quite possibly lower stakes?

     Also i'm thinking live poker wont always have the same amt of games available? you can sit on multiple tables/sites online waiting for action where as in live play your limited to pretty much waiting for players who are in the same casino looking for a game or constantly moving to and from casinos .

    he can turn a profit live but can he make a living/ get sponsorship that allows him to get around the circuit etc?       
    i have no idea really but they're some of the questions that popped into my mind....
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    If online ended all the online pros would play live all the time, all the decent online players/(relatively)low stakes regs would become the 'occasional' fish in the live games, and all the total online fish would stop playing altogether. All the winning live only players atm would fast become losing live players, and then very infrequent/recreational live players. Every live game would consist of 9 sharks, or 8 sharks, 1 fish, and 37 sharks on the waiting list. 
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    zzzzz are you still talking that was a mouthful
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma : zzzzz are you still talking that was a mouthful
    Posted by YOUNG_GUN
    I forgot to add that despite the slower hands per hour and all that BS, Young Gun would lose his bankroll even faster live than he has been doing online.
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma : I forgot to add that despite the slower hands per hour and all that BS, Young Gun would lose his bankroll even faster live than he has been doing online.
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    lol a 1 of online :( #rubdownsftw
  • edited July 2011
    the biggest hurdle is patience.  to an online player live is very very boring.

    i think that live cash is a gold mine if you can overcome this...something that I struggle with
  • edited July 2011
    Obvious level is obvious.

    Galfond could beat live with 2 paper nakpins
  • edited July 2011
    galfond had a nice return to online poker winning $90k!
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    Obvious level is obvious. Galfond could beat live with 2 paper nakpins
    Posted by beaneh
    Yes, he is good, but really a level? I mean, wouldn't he rather stay in Vegas with all of the action it has there (especially for HS live games) than head to Canada?

    Nice to see you back on here btw Beaneh. This place is a bit quiet without your one liners ;)
  • edited July 2011
    I think this is a few critical points.

    To play live IMO you need to live in the live area where theres plenty of fish with money, tables and someone willing to run the game. In Britian thats not a common site. Plenty of fish with money in the casinos but the number of them just isnt high enough to sustain higher online players. Obviously in the case you discuss their in Vegas so thats slightly different.

    The second part is, when you win a hand do you jump around your living room like a small ape climbs through a forrrest? If the answer is yes, then stick to online IMO.  

    Are you staked for live poker? Certainly ive never seen a £1 tournament or 2p/4p cash able anywhere.
  • edited July 2011


    Could also be that online players will never be able to develop the 'Tell' skills,that live players build through years of practise.Lets face it no one can see you when you are behind a pc screen.

    Whilst online is a much more,brain intense experience (no waiting for shuffles,multi tabling options) and more suited to hyperactive minds,live will always be the 'Daddy' of poker .

    and i dont think you can buy hand historys live...lol..
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    Could also be that online players will never be able to develop the 'Tell' skills,that live players build through years of practise.Lets face it no one can see you when you are behind a pc screen. Whilst online is a much more,brain intense experience (no waiting for shuffles,multi tabling options) and more suited to hyperactive minds,live will always be the 'Daddy' of poker .
    Posted by djblacke04
    And this is why online players crush the live game, and therefore, are the Daddy's, and in some cases, Mummy's of poker! ;)

    You just have to look around the site, all the big winners r online players!
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma : And this is why online players crush the live game, and therefore, are the Daddy's, and in some cases, Mummy's of poker! ;) You just have to look around the site, all the big winners r online players!
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH

    Duhhhhh obviously all the big winners on an online site will be online players,online is a much more accessible form of poker for most adults,and for example if you have a Live tournement that consists of qualification online,it will probably follow the winner plays online..:)


    but if you look at the last 3 years of SPT the winner of the final each year has been?

    no regs on here..
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma : Duhhhhh obviously all the big winners on an online site will be online players,online is a much more accessible form of poker for most adults,and for example if you have a Live tournement that consists of qualification online,it will probably follow the winner plays online..:) but if you look at the last 3 years of SPT the winner of the final each year has been? no regs on here..
    Posted by djblacke04
    The final?

    You're not using a sample of 3 tournys to prove a point r ya DJ??? :o

    Thanx 4 the bite! ;) lol
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    Hi Dave Having played online for about 3 years, but have only played Live twice, but I think I coped quite well live, yes there are more things to remember like bet sizing, postion, whats in the pot, it is there for you online, but not that much difference, I think I coped quite well.
    Posted by acebarry10
    Hi Barry,

    live twice, i hope you lasted longer the first than than you did in Leeds, did you have to go home after playing half a hour with a slight head ache? Good luck in the nest tourny at least their will be no bad beat stories of your aces getting cracked.

  • edited July 2011
    i think his point was that Live is soul destroying if you have to make a living out if it, 10 hours a day grinding one table.
  • edited July 2011
    slight head ache, I wish, migraine :(
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma : The final? You're not using a sample of 3 tournys to prove a point r ya DJ??? :o Thanx 4 the bite! ;) lol
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    a point i dont think was well thought out. winners in last 3 years of online players in SPT's hmm

    Hurst05 (cardiff just thi weekend)
    Brownndog
    Gliterbabe


    need i continue?
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma : a point i dont think was well thought out. winners in last 3 years of online players in SPT's hmm Hurst05 (cardiff just thi weekend) Brownndog Gliterbabe need i continue?
    Posted by The_Don90

    so a tournement which has online qualification is won by an online player...

    lol..

    i was talking about the final...at dtd in september..


  • edited July 2011

    I think the transition of going from online to live can be quite difficult, especially for a serial grinders like Galfond...

    I mean look at Tom Dwan, he was multi tabling live at the WSOP, played almost every event and was minus alot of monies, and i assume this was only because he gets bored of sitting at a table hardly playing any hands, which is why he is always making prop bets at the tables to keep himself entertained.

    I also think Brunson summed it up in a tweet of his during the WPT Championship (i cant view the tweet now, but it was something like.....

    3 days grinding for a 12k profit or something like that.

    The online players can make this in one single hand :D

    IMO Galfond could crush live, but would it be worth it long term than if he just stayed online???



  • edited July 2011
    the whole live tells thing is mostly just a bunch of BS. maybe in the past when nobody knew what was going on but nowadays you just dont get people sitting at tables putting Oreos to their ears.

    i think offshoot was right about it just being so fing boring

  • edited July 2011
    Obviously I could crush live, but I prefer the challenge of playing at 2p/4p right up to 5p/10p.
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma:
    In Response to Re: A poker dilemma : Duhhhhh obviously all the big winners on an online site will be online players,online is a much more accessible form of poker for most adults,and for example if you have a Live tournement that consists of qualification online,it will probably follow the winner plays online..:) but if you look at the last 3 years of SPT the winner of the final each year has been? no regs on here..
    Posted by djblacke04
    I did come 2nd almost like a win (<----- see the brag)

    Hopefully one better this year
  • edited July 2011
    In Response to A poker dilemma:
    I've just noticed a conversation on Twitter between two of the best high-stakes pros out there, Brian Hastings and Phil Galfond. Galfond has moved to Canada to continue playing online, while Hastings suggested he's going to stay in America and try make it as a live game pro. Galfond's response staggered me. He said, 'Live is too hard, man. You won't make it.' This could all be one amazing level, but think about if he's even vaguely serious. He (one of the best online players out there) is suggesting to another top online pro that turning in to a live game specialist would be too tough. Considering the talent they have, that's insane! So, here's the question I am going to put up for discussion. Do you think you could make it if you were to ever go purely as a live game player? Which you obviously don't need to as we've got Sky Poker :)
    Posted by Sky_Dave
    Beating up on a site where you can play 12 tables at a reduced br ie easier tables is a lot more economic than playing live at that one table at the full buy in.

    Location Location Location. If you live in vegas or one of the other resort city's that have regular traffic coming through them then you might have a bit of a chance making it live as you have a continuous supply of money coming to the table. If your playing in a 1 bit town with a casino your probably playing the same players all the time and shuffling gthe money about to a certain extent. (To a certain extent sky is like that sort of casino esp at the likes of 25/50 6tables which should be 36 players but different players probably < 15)

    If its making a living then the online version has got to be so much easier. You get up pull up the pc find a table with some donks on sit down and wait for the appropriate hands. Rinse and repeat for how many tables you feel comfortable with. Live version get up make your way to casino see who is sat at tables pick your one spot grind away for a couple of hours break have dinner etc.
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