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TPGK two calls on flop, what now?

edited October 2011 in The Poker Clinic
Readless on both, neither multi's.
Dudeskin8 Small blind   £0.04 £0.04 £7.88
clivey6120 Big blind   £0.08 £0.12 £5.32
  Your hole cards
  • Q
  • A
     
essexlowey Call   £0.08 £0.20 £7.92
THEGRISLEY Call   £0.08 £0.28 £11.51
dgw69 Fold        
scryer03 Call   £0.08 £0.36 £10.80
Dudeskin8 Raise   £0.40 £0.76 £7.48
clivey6120 Call   £0.36 £1.12 £4.96
essexlowey Call   £0.36 £1.48 £7.56
THEGRISLEY Fold        
scryer03 Fold        
Flop
   
  • A
  • 4
  • 6
     
Dudeskin8 Bet   £1.04 £2.52 £6.44
clivey6120 Call   £1.04 £3.56 £3.92
essexlowey Call   £1.04 £4.60 £6.52
Turn
   
  • 8
     
Dudeskin8

Comments

  • edited October 2011
    only draw thats got there is 5 7 dont really see any of them with that so I lead again
  • edited October 2011
    LOL fold,,Its 4/8p ive just had AK called 40 p raise with 5.2 and she hit 2p on flop ,So this hand 8 4 must be out ..FOLD FOLD FOLD
  • edited October 2011
    mmm, running bad? b/c
  • edited October 2011
    Bet £1.50 and fold to any re-raise. If called in two spots again ship on river that's not a 5, 7 or heart.

    What can your opponent have right now that's beating you?

    A flopped set with 44, 66 are possible but they should be raising the flop to protect their hand against the draws

    AA definatly 3-bets you, AK should 3-bet. One of the players limp-called UTG and the other made up from the small blind. If they had such a strong pre-flop hand they should be 3-betting.

    A4, A6 and A8 should all fold pre-flop and if they haven't then you are just unlucky; 64, 75, 84, and 86 should be nowhere near a flop after a 5x raise and if they have got lucky then they won't very often.

    It's most likely that they have a flush draw, a straight draw or a wrose ace. NL8 plays same as NL4 and you should be betting for value here. Worst case is one has 4h5h and the other has AT. Even here you are still a 54% favorite to win the hand on the river (4h5h is 40% ATo would be 5%).

    You have the best hand here more often than not and so shouldn't be too worried if on this occation you get beat by two pair or the flush gets there.
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