And yet another...

unknown_username

Hand History #436295565.

Sorry can't post this as I use the Flash version of the software (perhaps someone else can?), but take a look. More evidence of a big conspiracy? I worked the odds out of this happening (very loosely) at around 450-1.

Tell me I played this wrong . . .

Slowly entering the twilight zone.

DOHHHHHHH

450/1 suggests you were like a 99.8% favourite when the money went in?

No1 can access your own Hand Histories, just log in via internet explorer and you can have it posted up within minutes.

unknown_username

No, not 450-1 to lose, 450-1(ish) for this combo of cards to show. I was the classic 80%(ish) - overpair v underpair  - favourite to double up here. Here're the details:


Player                                  Action
              
Lucky Player                         Small blind     75        75         2705
Goethe                                Big blind       150      225          727.5

Your hole cards        Ad Ac
    
*******                              Fold     
*******                               Call             150      375        3462.5
Lucky Player                        Raise             225      600        2480
Goethe                                All-in            727.50  1327.5     NIL  
*******                               Fold     
Lucky Player                          Call              577.5  1905       1902.5

Lucky Player                        Show   7d 7s
   
Goethe                               Show   Ad Ac   

                                  Flop            4h, Qd, 6c
   
                                  Turn            5c
   
                                  River           3c

Lucky Player  Win  Straight to the 7


I suppose if "Lucky Player" had flipped over the 2c and 4c I really would have had to seek counselling.

Defintiely more evidence of foul play.

unknown_username

very unlucky, however i dont think either you or lucky player played it wrong unfortunatly this things do/will happen just keep getting in in good.

unknown_username

Same thing's happened again today.

Short stacked and shoved with KJo. Called with 10,10. Flop hits the board. J,K,A, turn ??, River Q. So another pair turning into a straight, although it was a coin flop to win the hand at the outset.

Where's my pistol . . . ?

grantorino

Not sure where you got 450/1 but Im pretty sure if you replace 1 card with a 7 its less likely to happen than the combo you have, so not sure what your point is

You lose about 19-20%. A part of that is boards like this one. Stop misusing math and moaning. Play better and do some calcs that might be relevant

unknown_username

It was a rant. There are quite a few here, and I thought I'd have my turn (so you are right about moaning).

As to the maths, perhaps you can show me where I went wrong? I ran with the coincidence of;

one of 16 cards for card one (out of 50)
one of 12 for card two(out of 49)
one of 8 for card three (out of 48)
one of 4 for turn or river card. (out of 47/46)

There are of course variations to how they show.

I have actually acknowledged the probability of losing the hand at 20% in one of my posts above.

As usual - read all before responding. . . . .