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implied odds

i know i aint a rocket scientist and never gonna be :) can someone provide me with an idiots guide to what implied odds are so a 5 year old could understand an then i may actually stand a chance of understanding :)

Comments

  • edited October 2009
    in my view there is no such thing....why call with air just cus there is x amount ove chips in the pot u need a hand 2 b in a hand...my view only
  • edited October 2009
    In Response to implied odds:
    i know i aint a rocket scientist and never gonna be :) can someone provide me with an idiots guide to what implied odds are so a 5 year old could understand an then i may actually stand a chance of understanding :)
    Posted by margatemaf
    Im as daft as you ( ok well not quite lol) but someone will tell me if im wrong. Implied odds i think are the amount of chips you could end up putting in the pot on the turn and the river if you either keep fishing or have a dodgy hand lol against the odds of winning the hand and the returns. I think, but im not Tikay lol and i might be talking rubbish as usual
  • edited October 2009
    loony, many people have indeed implied you are odd.

    Thats how I understand it.
  • edited October 2009
    I'll post later unless anyone wants to answer it first.
  • edited October 2009
      Implied odds are when you are not being given the correct odds to call with your hand but if you do hit you can expect to get paid off a lot more. Basically you are talking a hand that will lose a small pot or win a big pot.  A good example of this would be to cal a 3BB raise preflop with 22. You know at best you are in a race and may even be dominated but if that 2 comes in you can make a lot of chips. It is appproximately 7-8/1 to hit your set so you are not getting the real odds to go set mining. When the flop comes down with 3 over cards you can fold to any bet and therefore lose the minimum.
  • edited October 2009
    I agree with Delta big time
  • edited October 2009
    In Response to Re: implied odds:
    I'll post later unless anyone wants to answer it first.
    Posted by MereNovice
    is this you being polite but saying im an idiot lol
  • edited October 2009
    I haven't got a clue about implied odd either. I have enough trouble working out normal odds to call.
    I will wait with interest for Vince to reply. I know Talon has answered but I still can't work it out. I must be dumb.
  • edited October 2009
    Implied odds, deriving from "implied pot odds", Is the amount of money you stand to win  on avg, when you hit your draw, set, made hand etc

    eg

    In a perfect world lets say your opponents range for 3x'ing UTG is only all combo's of AA, and you have 22 in the BB, and your villain raises UTG 3x. Lets say you win his stack every time you flop your set, and check/fold every time you don't. Everyone folds to you and stacks are 100BB's deep.

    Now you would need to be getting "pot odds" of 7.5:1 to improve to the best hand on the flop, but the times you miss and check/fold, are more than compensated by the times when you flop your set and win a huge pot.
  • edited October 2009

    Pot Odds

    Poker Pot Odds - When you bet (or call a bet) you are, of course, trying to win the money that is already in the pot. How often do you have to win to make this profitable? Clearly not every time - if it costs you 10 to bet (or call) and there is 100 in the pot, then you'd be able to be wrong 9 times out of 10 and still break even. This is the essence of the pot odds: You're paying a fraction to win a larger sum. If you're more likely to win than you have to pay, then your bet/call is a winning move in the long run.

    Let's try one of the standard examples for pot odds in poker: The flush draw.

    First you need to consider your odds on hitting the winning hand. In the case of a flush draw on the turn in Texas Hold'em, you're getting about 4-1 (actually 37-9, since there are 37 cards that will "miss" you, and 9 that will give you the flush, but 4-1 is a good enough approximation) if the flush will be the best hand. This means that the pot odds need to be 4-1 or better in order to make your draw profitable. For instance, if your pot odds are 3-1 (paying 10 to win 30) you would get this Expected Value calculation:

    (-$10 * 37/46) + ($30 * 9/46) = -$8.04 + $5.86 = -$2.17

    -- If these calculations look confusing, please read the Expected Value article mentioned at the top --

    What does this mean? It means that if there's only $30 in the pot and you have to pay $10 to win it, you'll lose on average a little over $2 every time you do it. Not a good thing.

    What if the pot was $50?
    (-$10 * 37/46) + ($50 * 9/46) = -$8.04 + $9.78 = $1.74

    Here, you average $1 profit for every call you make.

    Understanding the concept of pot odds is essential in order to play winning poker. Poker - especially limit poker - is taking a relatively small edge and repeating it relentlessly, over and over again, and making a profit from it. Making plays that don't pay off in the long run will instead turn that profit into a loss.

    Having said that, let's look at that first calculation again. Is it really a $2.17 loss? Always? Well, that depends a whole lot on what happens after you actually hit the flush. And this moves us into the next concept: Poker & Implied Odds.

    Implied Odds

    Poker Implied Odds - Where pot odds take into consideration the money that's in the pot right now, implied odds is an estimation on how much money you CAN win from the bet if you hit one of your outs. For instance, with 100 in the pot, and a bet of 20, is your gain really only 100 if you win? Can you really not squeeze out an extra few bucks from your opponent if you hit your flush? You probably can - and so as the pot will get bigger, your implied odds go up.

    A good example of when implied odds in poker come into play is when you limp in with a small or medium pair before the flop in hold 'em. Your chance of hitting a set (which is typically the only way a small or medium pair will win) is around 7.5-1, which means that pot needs to have 6 or 7 other limpers to make it worthwhile. But, of course, that's presuming that everyone will fold if you hit your set, which is rarely the case. Let's say instead that you get four other limpers and your bets will narrow the field down by 50% on the flop, and another 50% on the turn - what are your implied odds?

    Four limpers to the flop = 4 SB.
    Two callers to the turn = 2 SB.
    One caller to the river = 1BB = 2 SB.

    Here, you stand to win 8 small bets, at the initial price of 1, which gives your call positive expectation. By this count, your implied odds are good to make this pre-flop call with a weak pair because of the money you'll figure to win if you do hit your set, rather than the amount you're "guaranteed" to win.

    Here's the downside to implied odds in poker though: They're an estimation, and as it so happens, people tend to be way too optimistic in calculating them.

    For instance:
    K♥ 7♦
    On a board with:
    Q♥ 9♣ 8♥ A♥

    gives you 9 outs to a flush, which is a 4-1 shot. Now let's say that there were only two of you in the pot, one limper and you in the BB. Flop was checked around, and he bet at the turn after you checked, the pot would be about 2BB. You're paying 2-1 to see the last card, which could give you the nut flush - but do you call? Pot odds say no. Implied odds likely don't give you the numbers you're looking for either, but this is where people get overoptimistic!

    If your opponent paired his ace and has no hearts, would he really bet into a four-suited board after the river? Would he call your bet? Probably not. You can hardly figure to win more than the money that's already in the pot at the turn, because if you make your hand on the river, he's not going to pay you enough. Even if he calls an extra bet on the river (maybe he has the J♥), you're still not getting good enough odds. At that point, your call on the turn will have cost you 1BB, and you're looking at a profit of 3BB, which gives you 3-1. You'll have to successfully checkraise him (and he has to call your checkraise) for it to be near profitable, and you have to succeed at that every time that you hit your flush. Hardly likely.

    I know some players who think this is mathematical mumbo-jumbo and has no place in a gambler's heart, but this is really the principle that separates winning players from losing players: Being able to tell a profitable bet from a non-profitable one. In the example above, there's a non-profitable bet being offered. Don't take it. Learn your poker pot odds and implied odds thoroughly so you know which choice is the right choice.
  • edited October 2009
    Im too lazy to write a post this long so i copied it from a different site-hope it helps


  • edited October 2009
    im off to bed lol zzzzzzzzzzzz
  • edited October 2009
    what about reversed implied odds!!!!
  • edited October 2009
     reverse implied odds are exactly what they say.  It is all to do with playing cards that will win small pots but lose big pots. These tend most to occur on the SB when people limp in with absolute junk because they already have money invested in the pot. We see it all the time people making up the blind with 93 off suit. If they hit the flop they have to play it passively because they can not be sure they are ahead. So it is very often checked all the way down. But if someone else starts betting they can get dragged into a big pot with absolute garbage.  The thing to remember the SB is that you are out of position on all streets so if you have junk then just fold it, long term that is a much better move.

     The key to this is not to play junky hands, unless you have great skills and reads on your opponents.
  • edited October 2009
       The main thing to remember in any discussion about implied or reverse implied odds is the situations where they exist. 

     They only really exist in cash games and the early stages of MTTs and STTs. Also in a slow structured tourny like a deep stack.  In the later stages of MTTs and STTs it tends to be just all-in or fold moves so the matter of these does not really arise. Then the game becomes about situations and reads.
  • edited October 2009
    In Response to Re: implied odds:
     reverse implied odds are exactly what they say.  It is all to do with playing cards that will win small pots but lose big pots. These tend most to occur on the SB when people limp in with absolute junk because they already have money invested in the pot. We see it all the time people making up the blind with 93 off suit. If they hit the flop they have to play it passively because they can not be sure they are ahead. So it is very often checked all the way down. But if someone else starts betting they can get dragged into a big pot with absolute garbage.  The thing to remember the SB is that you are out of position on all streets so if you have junk then just fold it, long term that is a much better move.  The key to this is not to play junky hands, unless you have great skills and reads on your opponents.
    Posted by Talon
    not exactly correct, reverse implied odds occur mainly with hands like 54s-87s, and three-gappers  when you're like ~200BB's deep and you'll never win like a 400BB pot with like a flush or a non nut straight because people are on getting it in with higher flushes & str8's
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