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What to do NOW??

edited November 2011 in The Poker Clinic
It was top 20 left in a b/h last nite , so already cashed and took 7 heads as well.
As soon as i call the raise pre i am obv set mining , my assumption that on prvious hands oppo has 2 high cards.
Flop is pretty gd for me , as is the turn , i dont shove back the turn as i do not want to force him to call and bink the river and as i still have 12k back if its an A or K on river i am willing to fold and still have a playable stack left.
So the river comes and when he shoves here should i reavaluate ?? Did he have a high pair pre ?? Does he have a 10 here ?? Has he already got a set and was milking me ??

You decide.
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
seano85 Small blind  400.00 400.00 11162.50
STEPH123 Big blind  800.00 1200.00 16531.25
 Your hole cards
  • 6
  • 6
   
honeybunch Fold     
Shankiiies Raise  1600.00 2800.00 15460.00
debdobs_67 Call  1600.00 4400.00 19930.00
seano85 Fold     
STEPH123 Fold     
Flop
  
  • 5
  • 10
  • 4
   
Shankiiies Bet  2400.00 6800.00 13060.00
debdobs_67 Call  2400.00 9200.00 17530.00
Turn
  
  • 2
   
Shankiiies Bet  4600.00 13800.00 8460.00
debdobs_67 Call  4600.00 18400.00 12930.00
River
  
  • 2
   
Shankiiies All-in  8460.00 26860.00 0.00
debdobs_67 ????     
  
   
      
      



 

Comments

  • edited November 2011
    Nothing much has changed from the flop. I think he hit the 10
  • edited November 2011


    Dont know the player, but hes most likely got you beat, unless its a missed flush and hes jamming the river, very sticky.  You look ok on the flop, but most likely your way behind already.  Hard to say, either raise and fold to more aggro on flop or call flop & fold turn..  you should never carry on with any more betting, unless you turn a miracle 6 or you know this player to play a flush draw this way. 

    You calling down looks like your chasing the flush to him, so its a good river for him to jam.

  • edited November 2011
    In Response to What to do NOW??:
    It was top 20 left in a b/h last nite , so already cashed and took 7 heads as well. As soon as i call the raise pre i am obv set mining , my assumption that on prvious hands oppo has 2 high cards. Flop is pretty gd for me , as is the turn , i dont shove back the turn as i do not want to force him to call and bink the river and as i still have 12k back if its an A or K on river i am willing to fold and still have a playable stack left. So the river comes and when he shoves here should i reavaluate ?? Did he have a high pair pre ?? Does he have a 10 here ?? Has he already got a set and was milking me ?? You decide. Player Action Cards Amount Pot Balance seano85 Small blind   400.00 400.00 11162.50 STEPH123 Big blind   800.00 1200.00 16531.25   Your hole cards 6 6       honeybunch Fold         Shankiiies Raise   1600.00 2800.00 15460.00 debdobs_67 Call   1600.00 4400.00 19930.00 seano85 Fold         STEPH123 Fold         Flop     5 10 4       Shankiiies Bet   2400.00 6800.00 13060.00 debdobs_67 Call   2400.00 9200.00 17530.00 Turn     2       Shankiiies Bet   4600.00 13800.00 8460.00 debdobs_67 Call   4600.00 18400.00 12930.00 River     2       Shankiiies All-in   8460.00 26860.00 0.00 debdobs_67 ????                                            Prev Close window Next  
    Posted by debdobs_67
    Just a couple of observations. You call the raise pre to set mine, but you dont hit your set, yet you continue with the hand. (not saying its bad, just making an observation)

    Secondly, if you think he will call a shove on the turn with 2 overcards, then the bolded reason for not shoving doesnt make sense, ie you're scared that he will suck out on you. (fwiw i wouldnt shove turn)

    I dont mind the call on the flop, but without reads im folding the turn here.

    On the river, you're only really beating busted flush draws. AhxH.

  • edited November 2011
    dnt like the play here u only have 20 big blinds and your calling 2 big blinds to set mine because u know tehres going to be overcards on this flop for me its all in or fold u cant call of 2 big blinds to set mine but as played if u called the flop and turn and its a brick on the river what has changed here u must think your ahead on flop and turn for u to call the bets imo u put yaself in a tricky spot by not going all in preflop 
  • edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: What to do NOW??:
    dnt like the play here u only have 20 big blinds and your calling 2 big blinds to set mine because u know tehres going to be overcards on this flop for me its all in or fold u cant call of 2 big blinds to set mine but as played if u called the flop and turn and its a brick on the river what has changed here u must think your ahead on flop and turn for u to call the bets imo u put yaself in a tricky spot by not going all in preflop 
    Posted by IDONKCALLU
    Completely agree that this wasnt the best play ever by myself ;))

    Only posted all the info in the op cos i wanted you to all know what was in my mind throughout , but what im unsure of is DO i call the all-in or not ?

    PS blinds were 400/800 and my stack was 21,530 , so i was still 27bb's deep
  • edited November 2011
    I think you are beat on the flop , mostly likely with A10, or  k10, if you think you are ahead I think you need to raise on the flop, you should get your answer or at least slow them down . Once you flat call they will mostly likely but you on a flush draw, hence the bigger bets on the turn and river as the 2,s look like  safe cards. I don't think they have an over pair as the pre - flop raise is not big enough , they could have hit the set , but the 10 is much more likely.    
  • edited November 2011
    Sorry I should of added, I don't think you should call the turn and certainly not the All in.
  • edited November 2011

    Pre: You are not deep enough to setmine. Obv though you were not setmining as you called two strrets without improving. Without specific reads on how he plays postflop I either shove or fold pre (I prob shove or fold anyway tbh)

    Postflop is really read dependent, if I call turn I prob call river.

    I think in this kind of spot you need a really clear plan for the hand if you are flatting pre so shallow, and its very hard to have a good plan unless you have clear reads for postflop 

  • edited November 2011
    Your nowhere near deep enogh to set mine here.

    Should be insta jam or auto fold dependant on his range and image.

    As played shove flop.

    Your better off turning your hand into a 3bet bluff from the button.  Say 5200 to jam any flop.

    But better to keep it simple. 
  • edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: What to do NOW??:
    Pre: You are not deep enough to setmine. Obv though you were not setmining as you called two strrets without improving. Without specific reads on how he plays postflop I either shove or fold pre (I prob shove or fold anyway tbh) Postflop is really read dependent, if I call turn I prob call river. I think in this kind of spot you need a really clear plan for the hand if you are flatting pre so shallow, and its very hard to have a good plan unless you have clear reads for postflop 
    Posted by grantorino
    This is to me the most dissapointing thing as i THOUGHT i DID have a clear read on him with 2 High Cards , why i folded well tbh i simply cant explain.
    He went on to finish 2nd so wp to him.
    The next upset was vs same player 2 hands later i was taken out by him and all i could think was WHY WHY WHY did i not already have him outta there ;)
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    seano85 Small blind  400.00 400.00 11162.50
    STEPH123 Big blind  800.00 1200.00 16531.25
     Your hole cards
    • 6
    • 6
       
    honeybunch Fold     
    Shankiiies Raise  1600.00 2800.00 15460.00
    debdobs_67 Call  1600.00 4400.00 19930.00
    seano85 Fold     
    STEPH123 Fold     
    Flop
      
    • 5
    • 10
    • 4
       
    Shankiiies Bet  2400.00 6800.00 13060.00
    debdobs_67 Call  2400.00 9200.00 17530.00
    Turn
      
    • 2
       
    Shankiiies Bet  4600.00 13800.00 8460.00
    debdobs_67 Call  4600.00 18400.00 12930.00
    River
      
    • 2
       
    Shankiiies All-in  8460.00 26860.00 0.00
    debdobs_67 Fold     
    Shankiiies Show
    • J
    • K
       
    Shankiiies Win  18400.00  18400.00
    Shankiiies Return  8460.00 0.00 26860.00
    Next
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    honeybunch Small blind  400.00 400.00 8402.50
    Shankiiies Big blind  800.00 1200.00 26060.00
     Your hole cards
    • Q
    • Q
       
    DONNA1960 Fold     
    debdobs_67 Raise  1600.00 2800.00 12530.00
    seano85 Fold     
    STEPH123 Fold     
    honeybunch Fold     
    Shankiiies Call  800.00 3600.00 25260.00
    Flop
      
    • 3
    • 9
    • 10
       
    Shankiiies Bet  1800.00 5400.00 23460.00
    debdobs_67 All-in  12530.00 17930.00 0.00
    Shankiiies Call  10730.00 28660.00 12730.00
    Shankiiies Show
    • A
    • 10
       
    debdobs_67 Show
    • Q
    • Q
       
    Turn
      
    • 5
       
    River
      
    • A
       
    Shankiiies Win Two Pairs, Aces and 10s 28660.00  41390.00
  • edited November 2011
    I like to have at least 3000 chips here to set mine. I find these type of hands with that stack size hard to play, cos I think limping is leaking chips and I'm not good enough to raise and out play most people in tournaments. So I'm normally just happy im not on TV and no one can see me folding pre flop lol
  • edited November 2011
    debs i would of called tho on the river u called the flop and turn bets it could easily be a missed flush draw by the villain  
  • edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: What to do NOW??:
    debs i would of called tho on the river u called the flop and turn bets it could easily be a missed flush draw by the villain  
    Posted by IDONKCALLU
    Yeah thats whats so annoying , the 1 hand i play badly is always the 1 that counts , i may well have gone on to a victory IF i woulda called that river , oh well thats poker ;)
  • edited November 2011
    can i be honest guys like to bully the women on the poker table i think thats what he done here to u i dnt mean to be sexist just a comment hope u can take it with a pinch of salt :) 
  • edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: What to do NOW??:
    can i be honest guys like to bully the women on the poker table i think thats what he done here to u i dnt mean to be sexist just a comment hope u can take it with a pinch of salt :) 
    Posted by IDONKCALLU
    Boohoo ;)) xx
  • edited November 2011
    debs, why have you put opponent on 2 high cards?

    Surely you start with a preflop range, narrow it down thru the streets according to action. If this indicates he has 2 overcards obv call river, but usually his opening range will include hands which will be better than no pair on river  when he bets 3 streets
  • edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: What to do NOW??:
    debs, why have you put opponent on 2 high cards? Surely you start with a preflop range, narrow it down thru the streets according to action. If this indicates he has 2 overcards obv call river, but usually his opening range will include hands which will be better than no pair on river  when he bets 3 streets
    Posted by grantorino
    Hi mate i put him on 2 high cards due to previous seen hands when he raised (i did state that in the OP)

    I know that i STILL cant believe i folded river after me just knowing he had missed , its just 1 of those things , 15 secs to think it through and i made a real real b a lls up of it.
  • edited November 2011
    For me, if I'm going to make a mistake in this hand I'd rathe it be on flop than river.  If I put him on two overs pre I'm jamming over him on flop.

    I dont flat pre however.

    We are only hero calling river.

    If he has a hand like 7's we put him in a spot.

    If that was your read pre, your still likely good, rather than letting cards come off to go behind, or letting him apply pressure through streets.

    As played I am always reshoving flop, outcome regardless. 
  • edited November 2011
    In Response to Re: What to do NOW??:
    In Response to Re: What to do NOW?? : Hi mate i put him on 2 high cards due to previous seen hands when he raised (i did state that in the OP) I know that i STILL cant believe i folded river after me just knowing he had missed , its just 1 of those things , 15 secs to think it through and i made a real real b a lls up of it.
    Posted by debdobs_67
    Not sure Im getting what Im trying to say across properly debs, I'll put it another way, why cant he play AA that way? Surely his preflop range includes pairs and Tx. Surely this range narrows as he bets through the streets, but is more likely to include these hands than some hands that miss completely. Why is his range that raises pre and bets 3 streets solely made up of 2 overcards? If you have some reads that he limps all pairs, or doesnt cbet top pair etc maybe you can come to this conclusion. But from what you have said I dont see any reason why he should have only overcards here. Imo you should be putting him on a range here and decide whether you beat him often enough
  • edited November 2011
    If you call turn you HAVE to call river.
  • edited November 2011
  • edited November 2011
    you should never fold the river i think your ahead most the time here personally i would jam the flop
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