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Nut flush how much do I bet on the river to induce a reraise?
Reads; a hard table all TAG, the min raise by Janua was a puzzle 1st time I had seen him do it whilst at the table.
Went fishing for a flush as it cost me only 2BB on the button, I hit the nut flush on the flop in a multie way pot. I was very tempted to bet the flop to try and build it, however I felt a check may show weakness. I was hoping for a bet on the turn but got none so a half pot bet could look like im trying to steal. Now I get my customer how much do I bet on the river, dont say shove all in please as not any of these players at the table are fools and I would be unlikely to get a call unless they had the K flush. How much to bet to induce a reraise here as all these players are capable of that move and Janau could be holding AA here???
Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
---|
ritchie02 | Small blind | | £0.15 | £0.15 | £69.88 |
JANUA | Big blind | | £0.30 | £0.45 | £63.29 |
| Your hole cards | | | | |
augean01 | Fold | | | | |
VINEY73 | Fold | | | | |
Garvil | Call | | £0.30 | £0.75 | £19.25 |
waynec | Call | | £0.30 | £1.05 | £33.85 |
ritchie02 | Call | | £0.15 | £1.20 | £69.73 |
JANUA | Raise | | £0.30 | £1.50 | £62.99 |
Garvil | Call | | £0.30 | £1.80 | £18.95 |
waynec | Call | | £0.30 | £2.10 | £33.55 |
ritchie02 | Call | | £0.30 | £2.40 | £69.43 |
Flop |
---|
| | | | | |
ritchie02 | Check | | | | |
JANUA | Check | | | | |
Garvil | Check | | | | |
waynec | Check | | | | |
Turn |
---|
| | | | | |
ritchie02 | Check | | | | |
JANUA | Check | | | | |
Garvil | Check | | | | |
waynec | Bet | | £1.20 | £3.60 | £32.35 |
ritchie02 | Fold | | | | |
JANUA | Call | | £1.20 | £4.80 | £61.79 |
Garvil | Fold | | | | |
River |
---|
| | | | | |
JANUA | Check | | | | |
waynec | Bet how much ? | | ??? | | |
JANUA | | | | | |
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Comments
imo should be betting all 3 streets. by the river i think it is very unlikely that we will ever get raised when we bet so i would bet reasonably large 2/3rds-3/4 pot
i cant believe you think he could have AA.
bet all three streets. cant imagine you ever getting reraised on the river regardless of bet so make it a good sized raise
Pre looks ok once you are likely to get called behind and are unlikely to get 3bet
bet flop for value
bet turn bigger
As played bet river big, you are unlikely to get raised. If villain turns up with AA (which is really unlikely there is only one combo and no way hes a tag if he does) betting big still best imo. Betting to induce should only be done with reads that a raise is likely, and at 30NL against taggy opponents I wouldnt think its likely here. Villain has shown no strength. Also why do you thinks hes likely to c/r bluff river?
also, you should hopefully not have an image where you only ever have a flush when you lead out this flop
I count my lucky stars on flop and pray one of the other three players in hand can give me 3 streets of value, which I dont think is unlikely.
If no one can call you on flop, chances are they cant on river. Seems abit like a wasted opportunity to me bud.