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Tonight the Patriots play the Giants in Superbowl XLVI. So i make my yearly foray into the punter's corner to tell you of my predictions.
Patriots are generally priced as 3 point favourites and i can't see the Giants getting within 3, so 21/20 on the spread or 5/7 on outright win.
MVP, unless somebody has an amazing game, the US media tend to plump for the winning QB. Therefore Tom Brady @ 23/20 would be my bet of choice. One player who may break the mould is TE Rob Gronkowski who broke the record for TE touchdowns this season with 17. So Gronkowski @ 7/1 would be my outsider.
Lastly, winning margin New England patriots to win by between 7-12
@4/1
So. i shall be having a treble
Patriots @ 21/20
Tom Brady @ 23/20
Patriots 7-12 points @ 4/1
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Comments
Sky Bet are still giving Over/Under 5.5 receptions and Over/Under 72.5 yards on him, and I've put £5 on under on both which I think is brilliant value
1) Even if he does get several receptions, I imagine he won't be getting many yards after the catch because he won't be able to run as easily.
2) It's not guaranteed that he'll finish the game - And 30 minutes half time will be a killer.
3) He's played 18 games, and in 8 of them, he's had 5 or less receptions anyway despite being fully fit.
HOWEVER, he did get 8 receptions for 101 yards when these teams met earlier in the season (Giants won 24-20).
I took your advice on Gronkowski and also did Giants to win and under 53.5 points in game for three nice win bets.
Pity I didn't hav the Safety bet as well which I looked at but discounted.
Father V