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MTT, extremely standard fold, right?

edited February 2012 in The Poker Clinic
Was discussing this hand with a m8, n he insists I should be calling here.

His reasons were...

a) "because of stack sizes"

b) "because they will be holding eachothers cards"

I personally think this is the easiest fold I had to make all tourny, but said I would post it & if 1 good mtt player says call, I'd give him a tenner.

It's a £2 MTT, 10 off the money.

The shoving ranges in these tournys r ridic narrow, & the calling/reshoving ranges obv even more so. It's part of a last longer competition.....

We're 10 off the money.

No reads on the shover, but Madmoo is probably the most solid player in the tournament.

It's standard for players in this to fold right down to 3/4/5/6xbb, esp on & around the bubble.

Thoughts?
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
MADMOO Small blind  400.00 400.00 9827.50
DOHHHHHHH Big blind  800.00 1200.00 37343.75
  Your hole cards
  • 5
  • 5
     
wynne1938 Fold     
coles01 Fold     
rusty762 All-in  4647.50 5847.50 0.00
MADMOO All-in  9827.50 15675.00 0.00
DOHHHHHHH
«1

Comments

  • edited February 2012
    JJ why do you always post these tottally standard hands when u know the right play ;)
  • edited February 2012
    Maths wise it may be a call
    stove see how much equity you have v 2 prs of overs
    there is a thereom somewhere, can't remeber what it's called though

    do I get the tenner )
  • edited February 2012
    Yeah I fold, if you like gambling make the call.
  • edited February 2012
    In Response to Re: MTT, extremely standard fold, right?:
    Maths wise it may be a call
    Posted by rancid
    haha don't!!!!!

    I'm too tight to part with a tenner. 

    Show me your working out :P 
  • edited February 2012
    In Response to Re: MTT, extremely standard fold, right?:
    Maths wise it may be a call stove see how much equity you have v 2 overs there is a thereom somewhere, can't remeber what it's called though do I get the tenner )
    Posted by rancid
    we're playing 2 oppos who are both extremely tight. AK and AK is pipedream world dude
  • edited February 2012
    In Response to Re: MTT, extremely standard fold, right?:
    In Response to Re: MTT, extremely standard fold, right? : haha don't!!!!! I'm too tight to part with a tenner.  Show me your working out :P 
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    I have none, I copied it from the lad next to me )

    pay this much to call and win x, what do we need here 45% equity at a guess :S
    But were flying by the seat of our pants lol very likely at least one has over pair

    but I do call )

    I'll have to get back to you because there is a therom that if you know your behind you can still call given circumstance but I don't think this is one of them
  • edited February 2012
    In Response to MTT, extremely standard fold, right?:
    . The shoving ranges in these tournys r ridic narrow, & the calling/reshoving ranges obv even more so. It's part of a last longer competition..... We're 10 off the money. No reads on the shover, but Madmoo is probably the most solid player in the tournament. It's standard for players in this to fold right down to 3/4/5/6xbb, esp on & around the bubble. Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    This makes it an easy fold for me.  You'd be MAD to do anything else , Fold and MOOve on. ;-)
  • edited February 2012
    but I do call )


    for what reason do you call?

    cause math says 9k to win 24.5k = 2.5-1

    MadMoo's shoving range is never worse than 55 let alone their re-shoving range its always going to be 88+ AJ/AQ+
    (basically going to be flipping maybe 3/10 times, every other time going to be drawing to 2 outs)

    knowing MadMoo's ranges this is a snap fold everytime calling here in a spot we are crushed in 90% of the time is just pure spew
  • edited February 2012
    Twas me :) 

    Stacksize i call, Iinital shover has any 2 and just finding a spot. I agree Moo will have a more solid range but mentioned that Rusty could have some of her outs. Her range is AK/AQ/AJ/A10/ possibly A8 & A9 suited, all pp would be like 88+ . but she has 11 bigs so i would have called, if she has like 15+ then its a fold also and added sidepot the fact she is all in.

    hey wat do i know ;) 
  • edited February 2012
    agree with you here dohhh - not much future calling off with small pockets in multiway all ins, at this stage of tourney, odds or not
  • edited February 2012
    GAMBLE -  PRESS THE BUTTON!!!!!!!!!!!

    DON'T BE A BIG GIRL
  • edited February 2012
    Given stacks I do always call here.  We only need to beat one player to break even>, with 1bb invested, flipping for a loss of 5 or break even vs one player, with potentionl of scooping whole pot.

    Both players sharing range would be a factor I agree.

    If reads tell us one player is shoving with pp we can fold, especially if its the larger stack.  But if we think all the paint range (which it ought to be) is there then I personally would call.

    We are going to be taking tonnes of flips from this point forward in any case.  You know the importance of chip accumilation moving forward.

    Given stacks, I likely call.
  • edited February 2012
    Flip it around and do people call here with AK :()
  • edited February 2012
    Fold please. Ridiculous to give either player more chips in this spot.
  • edited February 2012
    A case can be made for the call, because of the nature of the tourny.

    Payouts are pretty valueless outside of the final table, so unless you were on for winning the DTD thing, you have to be going for the tourny win.

    Rustys shoving range is quite wide here, down to KQ/KJ, which widens Madmoo a bit too.

    If they held AK and AQ, you would still have the 45% you would hope for, 4 overcards only take you down to 33%.

    Its the overpair that does the damage taking you right down to 20%.

    Upside is winning it to have 54k, downside is you are left with 28k.

    I may call, but would close my eyes !

    Tell your mate he owes me a fiver.
  • edited February 2012
    lol interesting, i owe u nothing pingu! ;) 

    Coxy would you never call in this spot? if you lose you still have plenty surely thats a big factor and the fact the bigger stack only has like 11bb, i also am taking into the account moo would widen her range as shortstack has shoved
  • edited February 2012
    Shover is in the middle.

    I think he shoves alot tighter than that, but moobs convinced me to widen it abit.

    Rusty, thanx for posting, what kinda hands would you say you are shoving in that position normally? Is it about right?

    equity win tie      pots won pots tied

    Hand 0: 41.823%   40.90% 00.92%  131706581724 2965528976.00   { 88+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo }

    Hand 1: 27.475%   26.49% 00.99%   85286347104 3184574216.00   { 22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, JTs, A2o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }

    Hand 2: 30.702%   30.51% 00.19%   98253145512 610386116.00   { 55 }

  • edited February 2012
    Maybe I'm being stupid but how can a guy with 5bbs OTB be assigned a range, surely its ATC? :S
  • edited February 2012
    In Response to Re: MTT, extremely standard fold, right?:
    Maybe I'm being stupid but how can a guy with 5bbs OTB be assigned a range, surely its ATC? :S
    Posted by Dudeskin8
    exactly my point :P
  • edited February 2012
    ^^^ Ha r u joking? It's TT+ AQ+ till you're down to 4xbb's, then they widen to 88+ A9+ unless it's the bubble, then it goes the other way n they tighten to JJ+ & AK,

    The final table last night was hillarious. I got so owned lol. 

    I folded A8 & A6 on bb to 4 handed utg opens(7/8x stak) when closing the action.

    Sigh called off with ATo & A3s on bb to utg shoves 4 handed from 6x & 4x stacks, to run into QQ & JJ.

    Wasn't "unlucky" or "running into the top of their range" either. 

    Who'd have thought calling a 6x shove with ATo HU wud be a mistake :( sigh. it was .....


    Absolute lolathon :P 
  • edited February 2012
    U also folded AJ utg... 


    ;) 

    course its any 2 its the button and not exactly a nit on button! 

    both ur calls with aces were correct jus a shame they are at the top of their range
  • edited February 2012
    Sigh why r u saying any2?

    ofc it shud be, but he simply is not shoving any 2 cards. I have looked at the hand history leading up to this hand he has not had an accident, he's been quite content to fold down this low, waiting for a spot like this.

    So tilting how can you misread his range so badly?

    Is it just a co-incidence that out of the 220 "any 2" cobos, he had 2 Queens?

    tiltiltilttilttilttilttilttilt!!!
  • edited February 2012
    insta fold, mad moo has too big of a stack to call with 55, fwiw i am not a tourney specialist, the way i look at is, let the short stacks knock each other out, no need to risk a chunk of your stack here, you can find better spots than this.

    Calling is bad imo.
  • edited February 2012
    Bring in antes )

    either super tight players or soooooooooo wide

    DTD is fantastic value )

    40-45% is a tad optismistic
    30-35% is about right

    still calling with your stack in this MTT
    essentially ignoring the first shove, and just ranging the iso shove
  • edited February 2012
    Meh calling cant be that bad, you prob only need about 35% equity to make call

    even if btns range is atc it will play ok v 55.

    I prob fold and start opening every pot I can
  • edited February 2012

    This is a fold against Madmoo because her range doesnt include enough hands you beat

    There is no way she reships pocket 4s for example

    Just give YG a free entry to next weeks for £5.50, he got totally owned last night by me in the first one, he needs more practice :)

    Also agree that if u get a table of regs in the dtd its redic and your calling range is just so narrow! There was an example last night where i had 13bbs on the cut off, and min raised with suited connectors. (r/f as all players are passive) i get min 3 otb by POKERTREV who also has 13bb.  although if it fold rounds im getting 4/1 on my money, i KNOW hes got aces lol. Luckily, someone else before me got it in first, with KK, and yes trev showed AA.






  • edited February 2012
    ... I really don't see a need to put 1/4 of your stack in the middle against the reshoving range of madmoo, the best we hope for is AK - AJ, slim possibility that madmoo is shoving 22-44.


    I think its a clear fold. FWIW its almost certainly a snap call in a BH though.
  • edited February 2012
    In Response to Re: MTT, extremely standard fold, right?:
    Shover is in the middle. I think he shoves alot tighter than that, but moobs convinced me to widen it abit. Rusty, thanx for posting, what kinda hands would you say you are shoving in that position normally? Is it about right? equity win tie      pots won pots tied Hand 0: 41.823%   40.90% 00.92%  131706581724 2965528976.00   { 88+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo } Hand 1: 27.475%   26.49% 00.99%   85286347104 3184574216.00   { 22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, JTs, A2o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo } Hand 2: 30.702%   30.51% 00.19%   98253145512 610386116.00   { 55 }
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    Hi Dohhh.
    Yes, all these hands i guess in range for open button shove v blinds with me just less than 6 bb's, especially now v madmoo who is pretty short too, but still has +12 bb and can just about hang on to push rather than call off.
    As it stands I think the hand played out pretty standard once madmoo shows her strength with you still to act behind.   
  • edited February 2012
    In Response to Re: MTT, extremely standard fold, right?:
    In Response to Re: MTT, extremely standard fold, right? : Hi Dohhh. Yes, all these hands i guess in range for open button shove v blinds with me just less than 6 bb's, especially now v madmoo who is pretty short too, but still has +12 bb and can just about hang on to push rather than call off. As it stands I think the hand played out pretty standard once madmoo shows her strength with you still to act behind.   
    Posted by rusty762
    But the range is a bit tighter than what i agreed in previous post if Madmoo is more than chipped up......ie hand range 0 - 88+ A10+ QJ, KQ etc.

    My read on  madmoo, was fairly solid and wasn't gonna call off light rag ace etc (unlike Uzilover ,nicely stacked, gambling, , calling off pushes light)
  • edited February 2012
    FOLD.... no question
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