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For those who dont know about hugh taylors tips today the man is on fire so gotta back them
BEAUTIFUL DAY is starting to look like the archetypal Fibresand specialist, and although he’s gone up 10lb for his latest win, the manner of his latest victory was especially impressive; winning margins of that nature (seven lengths), even in handicaps, are by no means unusual at Southwell, but they are far less common when the surface is riding fast, as it was that day in my opinion judged on the times. Short-priced favourite Colour Guard is unpenalised for what was eventually an easy win last time, but that was a very weak race (hence the fact that he started at 4-9 despite having disappointed on his previous start) and the runner-up ran as if needing the race whilst the remaining three runners all looked out of form. Masia Moon has the track form to get involved but has a tricky draw, whilst Majuro will pop up one day, possibly when ridden prominently, but it’s anyone’s guess as to when. Beautiful Day’s break since his last run is a slight concern, but there were no mile handicaps for which he would have been eligible between New Year’s Day and mid-February so it may have been a deliberate ploy to freshen him up with a view to returning here just before the turf season.
In the 6f handicap (5.10) LINDORO bids to repeat his win in this race last year. He shaped with a little promise on his return from a break at Wolverhampton two outings ago, staying on into what would probably have been a fourth-or-fifth-place finish when hampered in the straight. However, he ran no sort of race returned to Southwell last time, struggling from the start, and might have been amiss; he tends to throw in the occasional very poor run and it wouldn’t be a big surprise if he bombed out again, but he’s handicapped to win if on a going day and looks worth chancing at this morning’s prices. Bond Blade, who was forced very wide last time, and Elhamri look the biggest dangers, but both are priced accordingly.
HUGH'S BEST BETS (SCALE 1-5 POINTS):
4.40 SOUTHWELL
2pts win BEAUTIFUL DAY (7-2 Betfred, 3-1 bet365, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, William Hill*)
5.10 SOUTHWELL
1pt win LINDORO (12-1 William Hill, 10-1 Betfred, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Stan James, Totesport)
Comments
i would advise people to read hugh taylors FAQs about the prices he gives and how the points to bet works.
what hes saying is he thinks LINDORO is over priced at 12/1 BUT isnt value backing at less than 10/1.
as mentioned on the other post on yesterdays winner you have to get on early to get the value and blindly backing his tips at any price wont work out profitable in the long run.
That said hes not one of those annoying tipsters who flags up odds on certs and imo is a very good form judge.
Have tried to find his winning percentage and net profit/loss figure online but cant find them any ideas where they might be?
i spent about a hour searching the internet to find this after i had read the FAQ section on the same page
looking at his figures for 2011 he had 96 winners from 669 tips a 14% sucsess rate with a 1.28 roi at price advised. so to turn a profit following his tips you have to follow every one and get the price extremely quickly because a soon a his tips up the price usually drops by 10/20 percent which just about knackers your profit!