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F1 2012 Season - This Season: +£2.70
As there's no F1 threads in here, I'm making one :P
Australia GP Race:
1) Kimi Raikkonen to win @ 150/1 EW (1/5 first 3 places) - Kimi qualified 18th yesterday, after making a mistake on his qualifying lap and getting knocked out in the first part of qualifying. His team mate, Romain Grosjean pulled out an amazing lap, and qualified 3rd, showing what the car is capable of. With DRS and KERS, overtaking is much easier than in previous years, so if he keeps his nose clean on the first lap, I would expect him to come through the pack pretty quickly.
He's also 6/5 to finish in the points (Top 10), which is worth a punt if you don't fancy him to finish on the podium.
2) Felipe Massa not to be classified @ 9/2 - Felipe Massa has been a shadow of his former self ever since his accident at Hungary in 2009. He only retired from 3 of the 19 races last season, but this season's car looks pretty awful to drive, he's already finished one of the practice sessions backwards in a gravel trap, and he's only finished this race 4 times in 9 starts.
My bets:
£1 on Kimi Raikkonen to win @ 150/1 EW
£1 on Felipe Massa not to be classified @ 9/2
So far this season: +£8.50 (2 qualifying match bets which both won, posted them in my Poker diary thread yesterday)
Australia GP Race:
1) Kimi Raikkonen to win @ 150/1 EW (1/5 first 3 places) - Kimi qualified 18th yesterday, after making a mistake on his qualifying lap and getting knocked out in the first part of qualifying. His team mate, Romain Grosjean pulled out an amazing lap, and qualified 3rd, showing what the car is capable of. With DRS and KERS, overtaking is much easier than in previous years, so if he keeps his nose clean on the first lap, I would expect him to come through the pack pretty quickly.
He's also 6/5 to finish in the points (Top 10), which is worth a punt if you don't fancy him to finish on the podium.
2) Felipe Massa not to be classified @ 9/2 - Felipe Massa has been a shadow of his former self ever since his accident at Hungary in 2009. He only retired from 3 of the 19 races last season, but this season's car looks pretty awful to drive, he's already finished one of the practice sessions backwards in a gravel trap, and he's only finished this race 4 times in 9 starts.
My bets:
£1 on Kimi Raikkonen to win @ 150/1 EW
£1 on Felipe Massa not to be classified @ 9/2
So far this season: +£8.50 (2 qualifying match bets which both won, posted them in my Poker diary thread yesterday)
Comments
Massa retired at the end of Lap 48 after contact with Bruno Senna, so wasn't classified, and a nice return for me. Raikkonen only managed to get to 7th, was expecting him to be in contention for the podium despite his grid position, but the pace of the Red Bulls in the race relative to qualifying took me by surprise.
£12 up this weekend though, so very pleased with that
Qualifying:
£2 on Schumacher to out-qualify Rosberg @ 11/4 - Schumacher 4th, Rosberg 7th (+£5.50)
£3 on Kovalainen to out-qualify Petrov @ 1/1 - Kovalainen 19th, Petrov 20th (+£3.00)
Race:
£1 on Raikkonen to win @ 150/1 EW - Finished 7th (-£1.00)
£1 on Massa not to be classified @ 9/2 - Retired at end of Lap 48 (+£4.50)
*The Safety Car was sent out in 2009 following a downpour, but as the race was red flagged almost immediately after this, this meant that the race technically ended before the Safety Car was deployed.
Watching 3rd practice at the moment, will post any tips for qualifying shortly. Qualifying starts at 8am.
Had a punt on 10p e/w on Hulkenberg @ 500/1 (1/5 first 3 places), as he's phenomenal in the rain.
ive got hamiltonfor the hat trick
and button for the win
50/1
In Response to Re: F1 2012 Season - This Season: +£7.50:
My first tip is to avoid Sergio Perez and Kamui Kobayashi at any price. Perez is a good driver, with a massive future in the sport IMO. However, following his heroics in Malaysia, I doubt there'll be any value in putting any money on him as the odds will be terrible, and the prices on Kobayashi will also have shortened significantly as a result.
Same as above applies for Alonso - World class driver, in a rubbish car which has no hope of winning anything this season without help from the weather.
Both Williams drivers have shown the car is much quicker than last season, and appear to have genuine pace this time around - Maldonado more so than Bruno Senna. At the moment, you can get 11/8 on Maldonado to finish in the points in China. He hasn't scored a point so far this season, due to a last lap crash in Australia when he was 6th, and engine problems in Malaysia when running 10th with 3 laps to go. However, he definitely has the pace to get into the points, just needs a little bit more luck.
Stuck a couple of quid on Maldonado to get points in China, will post any other tips if I fancy anything.
EvilPingu
Anyway - The Bahrain GP has generally been a boring race in the past. Thankfully, they've reverted to the GP track rather than using the shockingly bad endurance track from 2010, so it's not going to be as boring as that one, but still not the most exciting race on the calendar either by any stretch of the imagination.
Qualy id look to Hamilton, the McLarens arent far off the Mercs and Hamilton is very good i qually. Button id avoid but will be a Merc engine top 4 with Red Bull/Lotus and Maybe Alonso taking up the next 5 places. Grid slot 10 as aklways is up for grabs.
Race day, hard to look past Hamilton to finnish third. The lad defo added consistency lol. I rekon Button or Hamilton win, If the Merc have sorted the tire issue theyll be close and the Red Bulls very close too. This could be a very tight boring race.
I normally stick a cpl of quid on outsiders for a bit of extra interest in the race
This week i,ve gone for the 2 most expereinced drivers and if they get close i may lay some off it off
K Raikkonen £2 win 100/1 (ranges from 33-1 to 60-1 at most bookies so good value)
M Schumacher £2.50 win 140/1 (knows the circuit better than anyone)
MP
EDIT - Just spotted Evilpingus F! thread so i,ll add this post to that and this thread can be shut down pls
It said before the race there would be a lot of lock ups and its looking true so far
EDIT with Raikkonen up to 3rd and setting consectutive fastest laps had to lay another £10 off at 5.1, - Still win £120 if Raikkonen wins tho and Schumacher up to 14th from last after lap 18 (optimistic?) knew i shudda backed him to get in points
EDIT - laid another £10 off Raikonen at 4.0 - so thats £20 gtd profit
EDIT - laid another £20 off |Raikonnen at 1.51 so thats £40 gtd but
£75 if Raikonen wins ( wish id gone out now and not watched it) wudda won £200 - he s gotta win it now - he,s all over Vettel
£350+ if Schumacker wins
ignore that helps if i dont try to find them when sky bet are updating the F1 odds tweeted them asking soon as i did boom up they where literally as i hit send lol
Rekon ill need some rain or a big crash though. Considering other bets but not decided on em yet
1) Pastor Maldonado to score points @ 1.51
2) Bruno Senna to score points @ 9/4
Raikkonen is only 10/3, and I've seen nothing to separate him and Grosjean this season, so might as well take Grosjean at 7/1, although he does start behind Raikkonen. Therefore, I've stuck £2 E/W on Grosjean.
I've gone for: Perez top 3. 5-1 £12
Senna top 6 14-1 £8
Massa top 10. 9-4 £25
Need one to win to be up. Porbs better odds elsewhere, but cba shopping around. Had money in that account and just went for it. Should be a good race regardless. I think Mclaren will struggle, Button not happy with car, Hamilton obviously fuming. If they mess up another pitstop there will be hell on !
Sauber looking good. Williams has great pace this weekend, hence why i went for Senna.
Hope Alonso wins in front of his home crowd but can't see it happening.
Red Bull not quite at it this weekend either. Mercedes struggling aswell. Lotus looking best now, but very short odds !
Anyone could win tbh.
Had £50 on Pastor EW at 11/1 with Sky Bet. That'll pay for dinner
And a tip, ofc - Sky Bet are offering 33/1 that Michael Schumacher retires on the 1st lap. IMO, this is brilliant value, for the following reasons:
1) Schumacher has a 5 place grid penalty - This means he cannot be any higher than 6th on the grid (if he's the fastest qualifier). He'll likely be in the middle of the field somewhere. If there's any 1st lap incidents, it's most likely to occur in the midfield, so the chances of him being involved in a first lap accident are fairly high - Definitely better than 33/1 IMO.
2) Schumacher is under pressure - With Rosberg having scored 41 points and won a race already, compared to Schumacher's 2 points for 10th in Malaysia and 10th in Bahrain, there's a lot of speculation that his contract won't be renewed at the end of the season, and that he'll retire again. This, combined with his grid penalty, and the fact that overtaking is difficult at Monaco even with DRS, may make him more likely to take risks that he wouldn't usually take on the first lap.
I've got a £5 free bet so decided to go for it :P £165 if Schumi doesn't make it to the end of Lap 1.
Are you following Silverstone Mr Pingy?
Had Alonso for pole at 9/1 (cashback!) and have him for the win at 5/1 (prices & bets from Thursday).
This weekend's comedy bet is Kovi @ 2500/1 - Bring on the rain! haha
Also got Button, Webber & Massa for the win but was hoping for that slippy stuff