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25NL
Unknown villain raises standard 0.75 on BTN, HERO flats in SB w/ A10s - both stacks around 100BB
Flop: 10s 7c 4s
Hero checks, villain bets around pot, hero flat calls
Turn: Ah
Hero checks (maybe should've led out?) villain checks behind
River: Jd
Hero bets around 80% of pot, villain shoves for around 90BB
What could villain have here? Is it a call or fold? Only stats on this guy are 13/0 and that's only over 13 hands...
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Comments
Pre: 1.50
Flop: 4.50
Turn: 4.50
River: He bets about 3.60 into the 4.50?
And it's T74AJ (no possible flush)...
I'm far from an expert but my thinking is...He aint checking the turn with a set (or betting that big on the flop), especially when the A could hit your range a fair bit or could give you outs to outdraw a set. He's probably betting a big/medium ace on the turn when checked to him so I rule out AJ. I can't see why he pot bets flop with KQ so aint got nut straight. Guess the only hand I could see him raising the button with that has gone ahead of you by the river is 98. You've unde-repped your hand so he could be valuebetting with ALOT of hands you beat. Could also have been betting strongle with a spade draw on the flop, checked for a free card on the turn when you checked to him, then figured he could nick it off you cos it had been played quite passively.
Call and stick a note on him either way.
Hadnt read it up til now as didnt really know what you were asking... (something I am likely just as guilty of in my own HH posts).
Just going to come down to reads/dynamic tho IMO.
Board is pretty polarised. Think will see the hands we fear enough of the time to make this a fold.