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Flopping a set in a raised pot
Scenario: Everyone is deep-stacked. You're in the big blind with 66. The hand is raised from middle position, called by two late position players and you call from the Big Blind.
The flop comes A96 rainbow.
I notice that 99% of players who flop a set in this position go for a check-raise. Personally, I prefer to lead into the pre-flop raiser.
Thoughts please.
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Comments
a) my pair of nines might well be the best hand, and
b) the A could scare off TT or JJ.
By leading out with both a set and middle pair, is this enough to make me unpredictable?
You need to be thinking about stacks, and what you know of your opponents.... What is going to be the most effective way of getting the money in the middle?
Aggro or passive opponents would determine whether you need to build the pot or let them do the betting for you. What is your image?
Does the original raiser have a defined hand range? Will they c-bet?
By check calling will the value of keeping the other player in the pot outweigh the risk?
There are so many other factors that you need to consider in order to extract the maximum value - but that's the fun of the game! Enjoy!
check call> lead out> check raise
the biggest problem with leading out here is - how do u then play the turn? i dont know what stakes you're playing but im certain that 'milking' again on the turn and river is unlikely even against big aces.
your options on the turn are raise or check. neither is profitable. neither will create a big pot and maximise the value of your hand
I find that when you hit a big hand in a multiway pot, you should always assume someone out there has something. Start building the pot early, and then any bets on subsequent streets will be larger and the pot quickly builds.
Imagine you're in a 4 way unraised pot playing £1/£2 and you flop your set. I hope that you're committed to stacking off here unless the board is utterly terrifying, by the way.
Let's say the flop you talk about comes down - A, x, x rainbow. The pot is £8.
Where someone has AK and you flop your set, you are Golden here. Don't slow play it, just raise. Make it a fiver to continue. If someone calls hopefully they will turn two pair or trips and you can now bet even more. There is now £18 in the pot assuming just one called. No matter what the turn is, hopefully it doesn't pair the board, and now you can bet at least a tenner. AK calls again since he has no reason to suspect he's behind every time, and people rarely fold TPTK on a non-scary board to 3/4 pot bets. Now there's £28 in the pot.
Let's not get carried away - river is another brick. You can lead out for up to £20 here and expect a call a lot of the time. You just made a nice £68 pot. SHIP IT.
if you check, you lose a whole street of value. The pot is only £8 on the turn. Now your 3/4 pot bet of a fiver leaves your pot at only £18 on the turn instead of £28. Now when you bet on the river, you're only getting another tenner out of the guy for a total pot of £38.
Remember how the flop looks to everyone else. An ace is a scary card since people play aces. Why slow play on a board where you're only getting action from people with hands? You define who has the goods to play along nice and early and milk them for as much as you can get on every street. That's pretty much it.
I'm in the big blind with 66 in level 3 of a BH. UTG raises 3BB, two others call, I call. All stacks are roughly equal.
Flop Comes:
QT6 rainbow.
I bet out 2/3rds pot, UTG raiser shoves all-in, other guys fold. I call (a must in a MTT).
Showdown:
Villain: KK
Me: 66
Turn: 9
River: K
BOOM! I'm gone from the tourney.
sorry but thats an awful hand to post to try and back up your point
u have posted a hand that 1) is pretty much a cooler and 2) is a bounty hunter and the money is going in no matter what because it is a complete joke of a tournament
i disagree with the t force post on leading out.....if im playing £1/£2 im not happy only winning £68 against tptk if i flop a set.
On the hand mentioned in post number 1, I'd raise at least half the pot, someone must have a rag ace and feel lucky. If everyone folds to your raise, so be it, but the chances of anyone puting you on trip A is very unlikely. As many people on this site would be scared to raise with trip A (trust me, I've seen it more times than I've had hot dinners), other players must think your going for outside straight or trying to steal pot.