In Response to Re: The Sky Poker Jackpot is now £10,000. HOW MUCH? : sorry Spad3s, Pingu is right unless you want to determine before the main event which player is going to win it & then that same person has to then win the mini as well. Otherwise all you are calculating is the odds of whoever wins the main wins the mini as well. Posted by Woogie8688
No I want to estimate my odds of winning. So, we are both right, but calculating different things.:) Or maybe I am wrong.
main event, say 500 runners, a person's chance of winning is 500/1 mini event, also 500 runners, a person's chance of winning is 500/1
chances of you, or one specified person, winning both is 25,000 to 1.
however, there are 500 individuals trying to win, so the odds are back to 500/1 that the winner of the main will also be the winner of the mini. similarly, the chances of the winner of the main also going on to win the mini is 500/1.
the good news continues....
as the opportunity to do this is once a day it is fair to anticipate that the double will be done every 500 days, or a year and a half.
even more good news....
it is just as likely to happen on the 500th day as it is tonight.
Coming from poker players this is a scary lack of understanding of probability. Even Bearlyther thinks winning both is a tall order....
PS hope anyone who buys into a 500 runner tourney thinks their odds of winning are better than 500-1, otherwise financially better to go and play roulette.
Can't wait for tonight and hope to be winning the main and mini and taking down the Jackpot. Will be hard deciding who to give the seats too though. I will have to give one to my best mate as he will need to drive me to Nottingham, but who gets the rest? I feel a sale coming on.lol. Good luck to all participating(except against me). Best wishes. Shaun the Villa fan in Bham
. PS hope anyone who buys into a 500 runner tourney thinks their odds of winning are better than 500-1, otherwise financially better to go and play roulette. Posted by simonnatur
I think you your chances are better. Surely 500 runners means your odds of winning are 499/1 or am I missing something?
Forget the odds, just click some buttons, close your eyes when all in, get very lucky and booooooom you win the jackpot = simplez Nice promo Sky! Posted by dylan12
In Response to Re: The Sky Poker Jackpot is now £10,000. HOW MUCH? : No I want to estimate my odds of winning. So, we are both right, but calculating different things.:) Or maybe I am wrong. Posted by Spad3s
Forget the odds, just click some buttons, close your eyes when all in, get very lucky and booooooom you win the jackpot = simplez Nice promo Sky! Posted by dylan12
Good reason to remind everyone, then, you have to enter the 8.15pm Mini-Main to have a chance to win the Jackpot.
He or she would have been in for a Bonus of £11,360 had they won the Mini, for an outlay of around 10% of their Main Event Entry. Call it a fiver for a "free shot" at over £11,000.
Also note that last nights ME winner didn't even enter the Mini. Posted by GaryQQQ
Epic fail, although that gives me an idea:
How about when you register for the main, it comes up with the standard "Congratulations! You've registered blahblahblah" message, but also something along the lines of "To have a chance of winning the Sky Poker Jackpot, you need to enter the 8:15 Mini - Do you want to enter the Mini as well?"
Comments
Or maybe I am wrong.
one simple way is...
main event, say 500 runners, a person's chance of winning is 500/1
mini event, also 500 runners, a person's chance of winning is 500/1
chances of you, or one specified person, winning both is 25,000 to 1.
however, there are 500 individuals trying to win, so the odds are back to 500/1 that the winner of the main will also be the winner of the mini. similarly, the chances of the winner of the main also going on to win the mini is 500/1.
the good news continues....
as the opportunity to do this is once a day it is fair to anticipate that the double will be done every 500 days, or a year and a half.
even more good news....
it is just as likely to happen on the 500th day as it is tonight.
therefore...get in at 8pm.
only says it is 10,000 for the 3 days. we could have 3 winners
:-)
Oh, wait......
Quick reminder - this takes place AGAIN tonight.
Lovely jubbly.
Note that tonight's Main Event is the REBUY Open.
[QUOTE]Also note that last nights ME winner didn't even enter the Mini.
Posted by GaryQQQ
Ouch!
Good reason to remind everyone, then, you have to enter the 8.15pm Mini-Main to have a chance to win the Jackpot.
He or she would have been in for a Bonus of £11,360 had they won the Mini, for an outlay of around 10% of their Main Event Entry. Call it a fiver for a "free shot" at over £11,000.
Ooooohhh....