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Tough MTT river spot caught on video. Fold, call or shove?
Video clinic hands
:D:D cool!
It's a snap call isn't it? When I saw the thread and the way the action went, I was expecting him to jam the river, which would just be horrible for us.
We're getting great odds.
I would raise more pre too, 2.5x is fine normally but with the limper and the stacks being deep we can make it bigger and still get action.
So yeh not loving it, but I call.
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Comments
What's your play guys?
Watch the hand here;
http://youtu.be/eHDvTfrbTmM
Clearly have to call based on the price he has given you, but not loving having to. There is only two possible reasons he puts out a bet that thin. Either he has a hand like KJ-KQ and is hoping to block a shove, or he has K10 or the flush. Can't see him having a set way played, so for me its one or the other, and I'd have to think K10 seems most likely. But fingers crossed for KQ
Prob lead flop bit smaller.
I probably check back turn for some pot control, believing only getting two steets of value more often than not.
Calling river bet when checking turn back, but leading if checked to
Here is the unedited version of the hand with the villains hole cards;
http://youtu.be/iHBKmVLaU0Q
So to my surprise my hand was good (and I wished I'd shoved). His mistake was betting only 3K on the river; if he'd shoved he might have got a fold. As played he's not beating anything that calls and he's wasting 3000 chips, you may have noticed from the first video clip I'd already decided to check back the river if checked to.
Shame really, as see one hand from him and you shove the river. To be honest rereading first post I might have shoved anyway, as if he really was strong I'd have expected a shove or C/R maybe rather than C/C two streets and donk lead weak. Sure sometimes thats the way to get a shove by a weak lead, but dunno.
As said before only couple of things his bet could mean. Weak and blocking, or strong and hyper thin value bet. And in a BH I'd half expect a shove at a £3.30 buyin level if he was strong hoping to take your bounty as well. And as only real hands we can ever credit as strong there are K10 or backdoor flush think might have been tempted to shove thinking it over again.
Also, hope assume y ou wouldn't have checked this back to him on river? Be losing value most times in this spot if you did, as like said not much I could see him having other than an under pair or a king, as set is highly unlikely given his line, and really blinds to high to be set farming anyway if he knows anything. Though clearly not so much given his call with K7.
Summarising his PM it said 'he is weak, this is his range.........., therefore I shove'.
Because he sent it to me by PM I assume he wants to remain anonymous. However if he reads this and chooses to identify himself here I will verify it.