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Turning Opair into a bluff @ 40nl (love this thread title.)

edited August 2012 in The Poker Clinic


I'd just stacked this villain he opened utg there was 1 caller and I 3b the button with 85ss both players called.

Flop A98ss, they check to me, I bet he shoves I call, I make 2pairs otr v his AK.

Was £27 more to call, £60 in the pot.

Is it bad to try and represent a set/straight here? Think villain does have a fold button, his bet sizing looks weak to me so it's probably more likely to be 9s/Ts/Js than Q/K/Aces.....

I think my sizing is too big again too, but is this suicidal stuff again?

Ofc I have to shove the river if I take this line and he calls.
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
BWFC_DAVE Small blind  £0.20 £0.20 £27.93
bolly580 Big blind  £0.40 £0.60 £38.89
 Your hole cards
  • 8
  • 8
   
xxx Raise  £1.20 £1.80 £38.80
palace2008 Call  £1.20 £3.00 £44.16
VINEY73 Fold     
DOHHHHHHH Call  £1.20 £4.20 £93.44
BWFC_DAVE Call  £1.00 £5.20 £26.93
bolly580 Fold     
Flop
  
  • 6
  • 4
  • 2
   
BWFC_DAVE Check     
xxxBet  £3.20 £8.40 £35.60
palace2008 Fold     
DOHHHHHHH Call  £3.20 £11.60 £90.24
BWFC_DAVE Fold     
Turn
  
  • 3
   
xxxBet  £5.80 £17.40 £29.80
DOHHHHHHH Raise  £14.80

Comments

  • edited August 2012
    i'd fold turn unless you're sure he will fold 99+ on the turn.
  • edited August 2012
    I do think you will get folds from 99+ quite a lot here and I think it is a good spot to turn our hand into a bluff here against tight reg. However you need to be aware of the player your doing it against and probably more importantly your image. If he is a decent player he will probably realise that this raise is going to be a bluff a decent % of the time. 

    By the way if you have 2 pair or set do you re-raise turn?  
  • edited August 2012
    I reckon villain shoulda shove this turn as you're always bluffing with this overbet and just in case you spike a 2 outer on river........

    Good to have you back at the cash tables fella, makes things a little more interesting.  ;)
  • edited August 2012
    if u represent a set surely u raise on the flop for stacks hop he has a big overpair i dnt mind the raise on the turn but not very often u have a 5 in your hand but like above have stated could get 9s 10s even jacks 2 fold
  • edited August 2012
    So much riding on if oppo can fold overpairs in these situations, fink your line is fine to rep set/str but can oppo fold -

    would prefer to have a read if oppo can or can not fold overpairs espcially versus people that 3 bet btn with 85ss )

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