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What percentage chance did my opponent have here?

edited August 2012 in The Poker Clinic

We were all in preflop.

I had Ah Qs.

He had 9c 9h.

Flop came 7d Qd Qh.


According to pokerstove, there is 0% chance of tie.  (I agree).  

But it says I had 92.6% chance and my opponent 7.4%.


Why is it that high.

I calculate that there are 45 cards left.

His first card has to be one of the two 9s, and his second has to be the other.

So I make it 2/45 x 1/44 = 0.001

So about 0.1%.

What am I missing?


He/she made it, btw.  Hence the question ;)








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