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DYM Strategy - Fold or Shove?
A situation I've faced before and I'm still unsure about the best strategy and would be interested in your opinions, and why. Its a DYM tournament and we are down to 4 players. One player is way out in front in terms of chipstack. I'm second but only 500 and 700 chips in front (or thereabouts) of the 3rd and 4th chipstacks. In the hand below should I shove or fold. I don't see calling or raising less than an all in as an option.
Hotspur101 | Small blind | | 100.00 | 100.00 | 1205.00 |
Doubleblow | Big blind | | 200.00 | 300.00 | 1910.00 |
| Your hole cards | | | | |
lark1000 | Fold | | | | |
CILLA | Raise | | 800.00 | 1100.00 | 5905.00 |
Hotspur101 | Fold | | |
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Comments
Its a fold, IMO.
!. your m=6.5. You are not in a call all-in situation as you still have a good ss.
2. You are up v big stack and your fold equity with this stack size isn't quite there as he may feel he can afford the extra chips.
3. He should have a good hand as big stack otherwise why would he get involved?
4. Best bet is your up against two highers so 54%:46% ie coin flip. Other two players want you to take a hance.
5. If the roles were reversed(you on BTN) you could shove with this stack as its put the others to a difficult decision.
6. I notice Hotspur is down to m=4 (even less if blinds re about to change) so he is getting desperate now and other chap has about 3k so its Hotspur that's under pressure.
Hope this makes sense. Some may disagree but that's what make poker a competitive game.
Question for you though, If you swapped places with the big stack, so you were the btn and big stack was the BB with hotspur as the sb and it folded around to you, what would your action be?
If big stack is calling you with 50% of his range then we're a 60-40 fav.
Just out of curiosity, what stack size does lark1000 have as it's not showing up.
Sorry but I have to disagree with you here. At this stage we do not take a 60-40 flip (that's if he's opening 50% of his hands) whilst we have 4.5bbs more than the short stack. We only need to flip if/when the shorty doubles up.
Easy fold
Maybe I'll learn from my mistakes - well I can live in hope