Is it worth a river steal attempt?

phil12uk

Would appreciate help here.

Playing cash and against someone who I tag as a weak player. He is betting fairly small, in most pots, and not really wanting to tangle with anyone.  Im calling the flop any day with my hand but he dwelled before betting the turn which made me think he didnt like the K from the flop.  He then bets half on river to the amount he bet on turn. What would u do and why?

BA14	Small blind		£0.20	£0.20	£39.82
phil12uk	Big blind		£0.40	£0.60	£43.81
	Your hole cards	9 9
jerbroni	Fold
jacksson16	Call		£0.40	£1.00	£44.39
vill	Raise		£1.60	£2.60	£39.02
BA14	Fold
phil12uk	Call		£1.20	£3.80	£42.61
jacksson16	Call		£1.20	£5.00	£43.19
Flop
		K 6 4
phil12uk	Check
jacksson16	Check
vill	Bet		£1.60	£6.60	£37.42
phil12uk	Call		£1.60	£8.20	£41.01
jacksson16	Fold
Turn
		4
phil12uk	Check
vill	Bet		£4.40	£12.60	£33.02
phil12uk	Call		£4.40	£17.00	£36.61
River
		8
phil12uk	Check
vill	Bet		£2.00	£19.00	£31.02

Action_Dan

Once you've called the flop and turn, I'm not folding to that size bet on the river - the 8 changed nothing so you were either always behind to which you regret calling the previous streets or massively in front and you take down nice pot. It could be cheap bluff with AQ/AJ (diamonds perhaps) which explains his larger bet on turn but there's little value in raising the river - unless you genuinely believe he could lay down K10/KJ, you should be happy with the chance to get to showdown relatively cheap and take it on the chin if he's reeled you in with the King!

Hogg321

just call it for me, if you raise then he folds, he had a worse hand. But if he has the king, a raise is called so seems a waste to raise on the river

Urdadi

Depends on how the other guys has been playing - passive or aggressive.  If aggressive then yes. Main risk is if he calls or raises, chances are he has you beat. But hey in for a penny in for a pound.

LadyFingrs

Call, 99 is good more than 10% of the time here.

CLIOKID

C/R the river here doesn't make sense to me and I doubt I'd be folding a K in that spot so I'd just  call down and be thankful that the river bet is so cheap.

SHANXTA

not at these stakes, jus call ur gettin a decent price, a small amount of the time u will be gd here

unknown_username

In Response to Re: Is it worth a river steal attempt?:

Call, 99 is good more than 10% of the time here.
Posted by LadyFingrs

This is why you're just calling.

If you raise you're only getting called by better, meaning you lose alot more for the same profit for when he folds as when you flat call.

scrumdown

i would just call

jakally

Got to ask yourself why you called on the turn.

If you called bc you thought your hand was probably good, then the river does nothing to change that. In that case just call.

If you called bc you thought you were behind, but could make some fancy play on the river, then ..............review your turn play imo.

xxLunaxx

just call.. if you reraised his river bet you prob would only get called if your beat...............

BIGSHANN

You need to rr on flop.  His bet is only 1/3rd of the pot and probably signalling that he has a hand but does not like the k.  If c/r here to a pot size bet £6 you will get an answer either way.  If he repops or calls you can get away and have lost no more than making the play you did. Or if he folds, which he probably will do, then you take the pot there and then.

Once you call a weak flop bet and then call his turn bet, very difficult to fold to a small stopper/ value bet on the river.  At this point you are either way behind to 10 10, jj, qq, ak, kq, kj, k10 etc etc, or just infront.  Either way you need to be asking the questions earlier.

thompson10

re raise on flop wud have been and answered ur questions on how strong his hand is